Adam C's blog
Posted at 7:05pm on May 8, 2008 Not an Olive Branch
By Adam C
After participating in two threads ostensibly geared toward bridging some divide between FredHeads and McCain supporters, I wanted to put my thoughts into a coherent reply.
First, I don't think there are two such camps that are at loggerheads. As someone who supported both of them, I resent the idea that if I am inspired by Fred's ideas and philosophy that I can't be a strong supporter of McCain for President. I don't see any need for a "compromise" because I don't see two factions here. I see a lot of people who support McCain for President because he is the best choice of the candidates.
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Posted at 10:36am on May 8, 2008 I agree with Karl Rove
By Adam C
Rove has a synopsis of the race in the WSJ:
- This will be a very difficult year for Republicans. The economy's shaky state, an unpopular war, and the natural desire for partisan change after eight years of one party in the White House have helped tilt the balance to the Democrats.
Mr. Obama is significantly weaker today than he was three months ago, but Democrats have the upper hand in November. They're beatable. But it's nonsense to think this year is going to be a replay of George H.W. Bush versus Michael Dukakis or Richard Nixon versus George McGovern.
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Posted at 10:37am on Apr. 27, 2008 AL-05: The Rare R Pickup Opportunity
By Adam C
There is no new news in this article. In AL-05, old school Southern conservative Democrat "Bud" Cramer is retiring. AL-05 is a Republican district now. Bush beat Gore 54-44 and then beat Kerry 60-39. National Democrat liberalism has cost the local democrats in this district, similar to other parts of the South.
The district is the northern top of AL. It centers on Huntsville and includes a lot of rural areas. This is also the only part of AL that fits within the edge of "Appalachia" where Sen. Obama is doing very poorly compared to other Democrats. Obama is likely to be a big drag in AL-05 as well as other Appalachian districts. From a look at some Clinton-Obama national maps, it looks like Clinton won this area easily in the D primary.
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Posted at 9:00am on Apr. 21, 2008 ex-SEN Santorum endorses SEN McCain
By Adam C
After spending the last few months beating up on Sen. McCain, Santorum has come around. Santorum still takes a few shots on the Bush tax cuts and says he "often wished McCain would have joined me on the Senate floor in debating Barbara Boxer on issues like the partial-birth-abortion ban." But then again that strategy didn't work so well for Santorum who lost as an incumbent by the wide margin of 59-40 in his last election. Perhaps McCain's quieter pro-life advocacy is less polarizing.
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Posted at 12:07pm on Apr. 19, 2008 Sen. Specter Gains Conservative Support
By Adam C
Given the drop in support for the GOP and Sen. Santorum's blow-out loss, it probably isn't surprising that Sen. Specter is less likely to see a primary challenge in 2010. Furthermore, since Republicans will be in the minority in 2010 (perhaps 45 Rs), there should be more focus on winning back some other seats (although 2010 doesn't have a lot of R opportunities).
However, it is still notable that Grover Norquist has gone from hater to support with respect to Sen. Specter. And it is notable because it was based on policy changes:
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Posted at 7:22pm on Apr. 17, 2008 Alan Keyes Leave Republican Party... Yawn.
By Adam C
Keyes leaves GOP. Well, I guess he wins the race with Ron Paul to be the first to go 3rd Party with their grievances. It worked so well for Nader and his goals, I can see why everyone is jumping on the bandwagon (i.e. Bob Barr, Alan Keyes).
Heck, if Ron Paul doesn't run as a 3rd party candidate he might make more news.*
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Posted at 3:11pm on Apr. 15, 2008 NC-SEN: Dole leads, but not in the clear
By Adam C
Rasmussen (who has been favorable to Rs this cycle) has the following numbers on the NC SEN race:
Elizabeth Dole (R) 52%
Kay Hagan (D) 39%
Elizabeth Dole (R) 51%
Jim Neal (D) 37%
Those are good leads for Senator Dole but she is barely over 50 against C list candidates from a friendly pollster.
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Posted at 3:29pm on Apr. 14, 2008 Pres-FL: Swing State Status Going Away
By Adam C
Don't look now, but FL may not be a swing state this Fall. The Obama-McCain polls show McCain winning handily. The last poll released by Rasmussen shows a 53-38 margin. Quinnipiac has it at 46-37 and the Democratic pollster PPI says 50-39.
RCP has its average at 50-38.
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Posted at 12:54pm on Apr. 11, 2008 The Changing Electoral Map: OH, AK, MT
By Adam C
Three Rasmussen polls show that we still are learning what the new map will look like in 2008.
AK:
McCain 57
Clinton 42
McCain 48
Obama 43
MT:
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Posted at 11:50am on Apr. 11, 2008 Republican Online Activists: Stand Up and Be Counted
By Adam C
Compared to the online activism on the left, Republicans lack woefully in many capacities. No one person can change this overall difference in online activism, but here are some basic things you can do to make sure Republicans are standing up and being counted in the online competitions. Note that Tech President keeps track of facebook friends, myspace friends, web traffic and other indicators of online activity. Without costing you a dime, you can help Sen. McCain and Republicans show they exist online by doing the following:
Posted in 2008 | Facebook | MySpace | Online Activism | Republicans — Comments (8) / Email this page » / Read More »
Posted at 2:16pm on Apr. 10, 2008 MS-01: Bush 62% District is Toss-Up
By Adam C
As further evidence that the R brand sucks, REP Wicker's former seat is a dead heat despite President Bush's 59-50 and 62-37 victories in 2000 and 2004. Along with Hastert's district and LA-06, the trend this year seems to be closer or worse than 2006 rather than similar to 2004. If this trend continues, Rs should brace themselves for major Senate and House loses (5-7 and 10-20 seats, respectively).
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Posted at 12:04pm on Apr. 10, 2008 AK-SEN: Pork Doesn't Pay
By Adam C
Senator Ted "My Pork Is More Important Than God" Stevens is polling badly. Rasmussen has Stevens up 46-45. Pork may have been popular when no one was looking, but it turns out that pork only pleases those few who personally benefit. The rest of us are appalled at the corruption and Big Government mentality that leads to men like Sen. Stevens.
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Posted at 2:26pm on Apr. 8, 2008 ME-SEN, TN-SEN: Rasmussen has Republicans Ahead Big
By Adam C
Collins(R) 54
Allen (D) 38
Fav/Unfav:
Collins 72/27
Allen 59/34
Notably, Collins wins 55% of moderates and 32% of liberals. She isn't most conservatives favorite Senator, but a vote for Roberts and Alito is winning a third of the liberal vote in a blue state. That's the big tent working.
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Posted at 2:23pm on Apr. 2, 2008 MS-01 (open), MS-03 (open): Republican Primary Favorites Lose to Upstarts
By Adam C
Southaven Mayor Greg Davis (R) and ex-Rankin Co. GOP Chair Gregg Harper (R) both pulled off surprise wins last p.m. in their MS runoffs, and go into the fall (and the 4/22 special, in Davis' case) as heavy favorites.
MS-01:
GOP
Davis 16,830 51%
McCullough 16,305 49
DEM
Childers 20,729 57%
Holland 15,439 43
MS-03:
GOP
Harper 29,351 57%
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Posted at 4:01pm on Mar. 25, 2008 Your Chance to Ride Along on the Straight Talk Express
By Adam C
Showing some creativity in fundraising the McCain camp has started to push for small donations with the following solicitation. It's a neat shtick (although possibly copied from the Obama campaign's "Dinner with Obama" effort). McCain needs to increase his donor numbers and amounts. Hopefully, this draws in a few more small donors. And I encourage bloggers to donate so we can have another blogger opportunity on the Straight Talk Express.
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