NM SEN - Maybe Pearce, Not Wilson, Is Strongest Candidate
By BananaRepublican Posted in Archived — Comments (5) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
According to a Survey USA poll, the more conservative U.S. Rep. Steven Pearce out-polls the more moderate to liberal U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson in the New Mexico Senate race against potential and declared Democrat candidates.
U.S. Rep. Steven Pearce v. Democrats
55% Udall (Declared Not a Candidate)
37% Pearce
60% Richardson (Running for Vice President)
36% Pearce
35% Chavez (Declared Candidate)
56% Pearce
38% Madrid
54% Pearce
23% Wiviott
58% Pearce
U.S. Rep. Heather Wilson vs. Democrats
56% Udall (Declared Not a Candidate)
38% Wilson
62% Richardson (Running for Vice President)
35% Wilson
44% Chavez (Declared Candidate)
48% Wilson
45% Madrid
46% Wilson
34% Wiviott
51% Wilson
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0c284bce-cac2-4c56-88c...
As a disclaimer, I consider Survey USA polls more "interesting" than persuasive. But these results are certainly VERY interesting. I'd like to see a Rasmussen poll on this race with the same matchups.
If this is true, though, why should we sell ourselves short with a Senator Heather Wilson if we could have a Senator Steven Pearce?
Club for Growth RePORK Card:
• Steven Pearce
Score - 82%
Rank - 55th
• Heather Wilson
Score - 10%
Rank - 135th
Club for Growth's 2006 Congressional Scorecard
http://www.clubforgrowth.org/2007/03/the_2006_congressional_scoreca.php
• Steven Pearce
Score - 70
Rank - 63rd
• Heather Wilson
Score - 67
Rank - 70th
Club for Growth's 2005 Congressional Scorecard
http://www.citizensclubforgrowth.org/2006/07/the_2005_congressional_scor...
• Steven Pearce
Score - 53
Rank - 172nd
• Heather Wilson
Score - 42
Rank - 212th
National Right to Life Committee Scorecard 2007-2008
http://www.capwiz.com/nrlc/scorecard/?chamber=H&session=110&x=12&y=12
• Steven Pearce - 100%
• Heather Wilson - 50%
National Taxpayers Union
• Steven Pearce
2006 Grade - B
2006 Score - 64%
2006 Rank - 69
2005 Grade - C+
2005 Score - 55&
2005 Rank - 155
2004 Grade - C
2004 Score - 53%
2004 Rank - 165
• Heather Wilson
2006 Grade - D
2006 Score - 39%
2006 Rank - 223
2005 Grade - C
2005 Score - 46%
2005 Rank - 222
2004 Grade - C-
2004 Score - 46%
2004 Rank - 215
Citizens Against Government Waste 2006 Scorecard
• Steven Pearce - 36%
• Heather Wilson - 20%
So, Steven Pearce runs in a more conservative district and has a more conservative record. Heather Wilson represents a 51% Kerry district and has a more liberal record. That's not really all that surprising.
But this poll suggests that the slightly more conservative Steven Pearce actually has a better chance of capturing the Senate seat than does Heather Wilson. And if we really want the most electable candidate, perhaps Steven Pearce is our candidate, not Heather Wilson.
Just something to think about.
....if only for the reason that the GOP could very possibly lose Heather Wilson's house seat if she doesn't run for re-election. Heather represents a purple district, but has been adept in winning close elections there.
“.....women and minorities hardest hit”
And she's not going to back out and run for re-election to her seat just because Pearce jumps in.
On the other hand, the GOP has a county sheriff that they're really keen on winning her seat.
It's too bad that Heather doesn't hold onto her seat and run for governor in 2010 and allow the sheriff to win her seat that year.
Ah...but this is how things are now.
...but the primary for the Senate and the House - nay, all Republican nominations for all office in New Mexico - are held on the same day. Just like they are in every other state.
:-)
Unless Pearce jumps in and jumps out to a commanding lead, she sees the writing on the wall and goes back to run for her seat, the dye is cast, I'm afraid.
Recommended.
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