A Way Forward: A Memo to Conservatives Interested in Avoiding Disaster

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Part one of a four-part series

We conservatives will never be able to protect the unborn, restore the prominence of the American family, and replace the welfare state unless we achieve minor victories. We need small successes that will earn us back the trust of the electorate. Approaching this upcoming election the wrong way will leave us stranded in deep waters for a long time, especially because first time voters tend to stick with their party and there will be many more young voters this election. Democratic control of Congress and the White House in 2008 will bring about a series of disasters.

• Terrorists will be emboldened by the increasing protectionist and isolationist attitude pervasive especially in the Democratic Party, though partly creeping into the Republican Party too.
• Major tax hikes in an effort to fund ever-growing entitlement programs will create economic stasis and remake us in the image of Old Europe.
• Activist judges will be appointed to the Supreme Court, ensuring the dominance of social liberalism for a generation.
• Assimilation as the American experience will continue to decay as multiculturalist principles split us apart.
• The “wall” between Church and State will grow.

This nightmare will become reality unless an optimistic version of Republican leadership unites conservatives together, while attracting most independents, retaining Reagan Democrats, and bringing on board some remaining Scoop Jackson-Democrats. This post is part one of a four part series that will try to provide a way forward. We must unite around common long-term principles but advance them practically in the short-term. My next post will look at why some core conservative principles should not be as relevant in the short term. My third post will look at who we should entrust to move these conservative ideas in the short term. My fourth and final post will look at one positive alternative conservatives can offer to alter Social Security, Medicare, and Medicad, while completely redoing the tax code.

We must first explore exactly what we should be uniting about in the short term. Let me submit two simple ideas. One deals with America’s place in the world. The other deals with government’s place in American society.

Internationally it is important that we seek a secure world premised on the superiority of the nation-state system. International institutions are a helpful addition insofar as they provide a framework for different nations to coordinate their activities. However, international institutions should not take over the nation-state. Our liberties and interests are better guaranteed by our own representatives, responsible to us through regular elections, than by distant bureaucrats with the interests of other people at heart. We conservatives have something unique to offer in this regard because liberals are increasingly interested in abandoning the nation-state in favor of the UN, the ICC, and other international institutions that might have lofty goals but do not live up to their billing. By placing our reliance on our own tried and solid institutions, and on our proven allies, we can fulfill our goals in the world: remaining on offense against the Islamic Totalitarians and promoting free commerce and free institutions. International institutions may supplement our efforts, but only if they are understood as tools, useful so far as they achieve our ends. If we delegate our primary powers to an international institution, they will not be returned to us. We will hardly be able to limp forward. Thus disabled, our friends will soon turn to a stronger nation, and our enemies will look upon us with confidence and contempt.

On the domestic front we conservatives must work to ensure that non- defense related government doesn’t continue to grow. Forget about cutting government for the mean time. It sounds limited as a goal but as a Republican Congress and a Republican Presidency demonstrated through its vast increase in discretionary spending, it is a worthy goal nonetheless. We have a duty to offer alternatives to the Democratic vision. Their idea of helping America is to raise taxes on people who create wealth in order to pay for people who depend on transfer payments. The American people don’t want huge tax raises, but unless Republicans offer an alternative they will accept the tax hikes for maintaining Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and other welfare state programs. In my fourth and final post a few weeks from now I will provide one way unified way to reform entitlement programs that now eat up government spending. However, pushing major reforms takes a long time and correct political environment. Conservatives first need to establish some credibility on fiscal issues again.

Abroad the combination of Jihadist Totalitarians and WMD pose an existential threat. Here at home we face a huge entitlement crisis and whoever holds the reigns of power will dictate how that crisis unfolds: reform or tax hikes. As Conservatives we must ensure America’s superpower reputation in the world and fight, militarily and diplomatically, for our interests and friends abroad. We must work at home to ensure that those who work can go home to their family with most of their paycheck still in tact. These are the two major issues facing us this election.

It is noteworthy that I have not mentioned abortion, gay marriage, gun rights, and other social and moral issues here as being the most important. In my next piece I will explain why in the short term we should push these issues to the side in order to better push them forward in the future.

your proposals are both conservative AND immediately achievable. For instance, stopping the national budget from growing (except for non-defense spending) would be a tremendous accomplishment, and would attract more attention to the conservative agenda as an EFFECTIVE and not just as a theoretically attractive political platform.

These ideas would definitely help us win back the middle of the country, and set the stage for more conservative accomplishments down the road.

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

This is very thoughtful, DMEaton, but two questions regarding your first point on national defense:

1. Are the majority of Americans now opposed to more defense spending and in favor of more diplomatic and "multilateral" approaches in foreign affairs? (The media claim they are. I am not sure, but it's quite possible that they are.)

2. If so, how do we win them back on these issues when the Iraq War is (unfortunately) so unpopular? Like it or not, the Defeatists have succeeded in persuading the majority of the country that we cannot make any more substantial progress in Iraq, and it looks more and more as if Bush has missed his chance (for over 3 years) to do more than the same failing strategy. Yes, he has just changed the strategy, and it just may work, but it could be too late.

So let me know your thoughts when you get a chance.
Thanks for a great blog.

Jonah Goldberg had an interesting piece on NRO about having to have a democratic president before much of the left starts actually believing the threat posed from terrorism is real. I think we will win back trust by having a completely honest president who bares no bones on what he believes. I think it is also important to have a president that is extremely articulate and can hold daily press conferences rather than rely on his Scott McClellan to make the case for the war against Jihadist Totalitarians. More on this in a future post.

i will be eager to hear about this in your next blog. i'm a bit surprised you haven't been given hell yet for saying this.

but maybe you're onto something....

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

And I am going to do a review of that as it relates to skills translatable to the presidency, along with an overall assessment of Rudy from a number of different angles.

One hint

I believe Rudy's message in a few months on those issues will be phrased quite differently that his disastrous appearance on Hannity.

more later

maybe tonight

kinda tired and watching the Great America Race

But, this Eaton is a genius and one of the best new guys we have gotten

so I will have to be careful!

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

recommend the blog? :)

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

I usually review a lot of blogs at one time and do all reccomending periodiacally and had jumped in to this blog due to a comment and hadn't read it all yet..

blah blah blah GC

I corrected the sleight!

and hey, genius up there, keep your hat on

is my jealousy apparent?

smile

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

i wish you were in virginia so i could vote for you for governor or senator

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

book of his (GREAT BOOK) against him. But, I am part of the Carolina dirt

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

The Democrats know this. If we get Iraq turned around in the next 12 months or so, the Democrats will get slaughtered in the 2008 elections. This is why they're trying to strangle the surge in its crib.

That's not to diminish your points at all, though; Iraq might control whether Republicans regain Congress in 2009, but your points would help ensure that Republicans stay in control of Congress in 2011, 2013 and the future.

---
Internet member since 1987
Member of the Surreality-Based Community

The Dems may not believe the surge will work or may not care. They seem much more concerned about being able to use the situation to stick needles in republicans no matter what it is. As long as the MSM will publish terrorist videos it can appear we aren't winning.
______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

which is why the Pres's and GOP's failure to take on the MSM directly has been so costly to the war effort.

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

Your emphasis on the importance of the nation-state system shows me that you are a wise man. On a practical level we can and must exhibit the results of the UN, the Dems love for the UN and the appeasement emanating therefrom.

Quite frankly, the Dems in congress and their nominees help us every time they discuss the war, and defense and foreign policy generally. We have never elected an appeaser but the dems have been fooled again by the unique year 6 election in 2006 and their sycophant echo chamber in the MSM (plus the absence of Bill Clinton to shut them up) to think that America agrees with their McGovernism.

I think that the 2004 election fits history in that when war and national security are issues, we win, despite specifics on the particular war.

See 1968, 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988 and 2004.

Dems won congressional elections throughout, but could never get their McGovernites in during war-time.

I look forward to your 4th, as I have been saying much the same thing.

And, while I am a Bible believing southern baptist pro life anti gay marriage evangelical, the war is the number 1 issue. And most southern evangelicals are war hawks who know that we can, if we must, fight the social issues w/o govt help.

In fact, we should declare victory for now on many fronts since we expect Roberts and Alito to solve most of the problems on the court.

more later on a Rudy book review tonight

again great work, and I am happy you are here
wee need you

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson
The HinzSight Report
Race 4 2008
The Minority Report

I eagerly await your next three installments. I hope you don't work at a university---the Kossacks will soon hunt you down. May I recommend adding lots of sandbags to the walls of your office. And don't forget overhead cover for your carrel in the library.

:)

"Who will stand/On either hand/And guard this bridge with me?" (Macaulay)

Well I go to a university but it is more southern and relatively conservative compared to the Ivy Leagues so I don't have to walk around with a gun or anything to defend myself from liberal attacks.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

Great start to what promises to be an interesting series. However, I do wish to split a hair or two with you on one of your points.

You write that the two simple ideas have to do with America's Place In The World and with Limiting Growth of Government. And yet, the idea itself doesn't speak of America's place in the world as much as it does about our relationship with international institutions:

Internationally it is important that we seek a secure world premised on the superiority of the nation-state system. International institutions are a helpful addition insofar as they provide a framework for different nations to coordinate their activities. However, international institutions should not take over the nation-state. Our liberties and interests are better guaranteed by our own representatives, responsible to us through regular elections, than by distant bureaucrats with the interests of other people at heart. We conservatives have something unique to offer in this regard because liberals are increasingly interested in abandoning the nation-state in favor of the UN, the ICC, and other international institutions that might have lofty goals but do not live up to their billing. By placing our reliance on our own tried and solid institutions, and on our proven allies, we can fulfill our goals in the world: remaining on offense against the Islamic Totalitarians and promoting free commerce and free institutions. International institutions may supplement our efforts, but only if they are understood as tools, useful so far as they achieve our ends. If we delegate our primary powers to an international institution, they will not be returned to us. We will hardly be able to limp forward. Thus disabled, our friends will soon turn to a stronger nation, and our enemies will look upon us with confidence and contempt.

Even in full agreement, I do not believe that it answers the fundamental question: Shall we lead, even the unwilling? Or shall we withdraw, and leave them to their own fate?

Throughout American history, insular isolationism has been a pretty strong thread in American political thought. Insulated by two oceans -- despite them being mere illusions in this day and age -- Americans have always preferred not to venture abroad. Only since World War 2 have we had a really robust interventionist foreign policy predicated on fighting international communism.

What I sense -- hence cannot prove or provide evidence for -- is that a large part of the American public is tired of being Globo-Cop for a world that won't take responsibility for itself. Israelis and Palestinians want to kill each other? Why is that my problem? Sunnis and Shi'a want to murder each other? Why should we intervene? You even hear voice among conservatives and Republicans who advise a course of withdrawal from the world rather than an imperial engagement.

So please, focus on that idea more squarely. What is America's proper role in this world we have today, beset with confident Islamist movements, resentful spoiled brat Europeans, and a Dragon flexing its wings in the East?

Your formulation simply charts a course for preserving our national self-interest in a world gone mad with global bureaucracy. It is essentially defensive. What of our "offense"?

When facing fascism, we offered not only guns and men against it, but an ideology of freedom and democracy as the better political system. Facing communism, we offered the ideology of freedom and capitalism as the better economic system. Facing Islamism, we offer platitudes about "freedom" and mealy-mouthed apologies to the likes of CAIR and nervous tics of obeisances to the gods of political correctness. This the American people also sense. The so-called theocratic Christo-Fascist Bush regime bends over backwards to be solicitous to the "religion of peace" while the average American wonders what is so peaceful about Islam in its current manifestation.

My own thinking has evolved much in recent months. One cannot fight Faith with Faithlessness. The secularization of our society, of our culture itself, makes us near-fatally weak when confronted with Real Belief. Consumer goods could bring down communism: we can provide it, you cannot. But it has no power against genuine religious faith, no matter how misdirected or ill-conceived.

Most of us conservatives, as people of faith ourselves, understand just how powerless material goods, new blue jeans, and Diet Coke are before genuine belief. The Liberal cannot understand; he can only sputter, "But how in the world could people... do that over a piece of myth..." and rationalize it away as desperate actions of desperately poor people. All the while ignoring the fact that Osama bin Laden is the scion of one of the wealthiest families in the world. All the while ignoring the fact that the 19 hijackers were well-educated men with bright futures. All the while ignoring the fact that the London bombers were middle-class English lads before they embraced jihad. We are not so blind.

So then... herein lies the challenge of America's role in the 21st century, the Age of Faith. What do we as a people, as a nation, as a culture believe strongly enough to die for? If the answer is "Nothing", then what shall we conservatives say about that?

-TS

"What is a moderate interpretation of the text? Halfway between what it really means and what you'd like it to mean?" - Justice Antonin Scalia

Good of you to push us all to a deeper level of thinking...

"During my lifetime, all our problems have come from mainland Europe, and all the solutions from the English-speaking nations across the world." - Thatcher

isolationists could unite. I am an FDR-HST-JFK-Reagan-Wilson-Clinton-Dubya neo-con for moral, strategic and otehr reasons. I have been so always, as a dem and now as a repub.

http://www.redstate.com/blogs/gamecock/2007/jan/28/danger_of_an_isolatio...

http://gamecock.townhall.com/g/dd2f841c-40ea-4ce7-a28b-55f7533956ae

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

 
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