MA-05: Eye of the Tiger and Amazing Grace
By EaBo-Clipper Posted in Archived — Comments (14) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
As you all know I've been pushing Jim Ogonowski hard over the past six months. Besides my normal job, the campaign has taken most of my time. I've done this because I truly believe in Jim and his message that our government is broken and we need to reform Washington. Our differently winged friends have done their best to destroy Jim, because for them it's not about the best candidate winning, it's about their ideas not losing. Their ideas for larger more intrusive government and for socialism. Jim Ogonowski is a threat that eats at their core and they can't stand it.
I'd like to share with you why I think Jim Ogonowski is going to beat Niki Tsongas today. I have a few reasons.
Jim has plain worked harder than Niki. Ms. Tsongas saw this as a coronation not a political campaign. By all accounts in both th local and national press she has run a shoddy campaign. Jim on the other hand has been going at full throttle since May. I'm not sure of the exact number of doors Jim has personally knocked on but I know during most of the campaign he was spending at least 4 hours a day knocking on the doors of regular folks asking for their vote. I can do about 30 doors an hour on average so that translates to about 15,000 doors personally knocked on by Jim, by my best guesstimate. I would imagine that besides the doors Deval Patrick dragged Niki to this weekend that's 15,000 more than Niki Tsongas has knocked on.
The difference in work ethic between Niki and Jim was summed up in this Boston Herald headline: "Ogonowski Sprints, Tsongas Strides"
Today, the final day before voters go to the polls in a special election to replace former Rep. Martin Meehan, Ogonowski sprinted up and down the line of cars waiting at a Dunkin' Donuts drive-thru, seizing upon the captive audience - and open driver-side windows - to pass out campaign literature.
"Every vote counts," the farmer and former Air Force lieutenant colonel told one driver. "We're that close."
Democrat Niki Tsongas, the other headliner in the race, employed a slightly less frenetic pace, visiting several senior centers and holding an ice cream social ....
....Ogonowski flitted about looking for support, planning 40 rapid-fire stops on Monday,
This weekend was no different, Jim made 76 campaign appearances on Saturday and Sunday, including as I perused the schedule on the HQ wall 3 45 minute blocks of door to door campaigning. According to his schedule he was allowed two hours of sleep. So in the final 72 hours leading up to election day Jim Ogonowski made 116 different campaign stops. "Jim has the Eye of the Tiger".
Because Jim has spent so much time with regular everyday people at the places they congregate and because Jim is who he is, the connection made between Jim and everyday folks is amazing. At the few campaign stops I saw this past weekend and that I've heard about, his reception has been outstanding. I'd like to share a couple of them with you.
The first happened on Saturday in Concord Massachusetts. Jim was walking around downtown Concord talking to voters when a guy pulls up on his Harley jumps off his bike and grabs Jim sticks out his and and goes "Jim Effin' Ogonowski, you're gonna do it man!" I'm told scenes like that played themselves out all weekend.
The second story which gave me goosebumps and was reported in yesterday's Lowell Sun happened in Billerica on Sunday. Jim was with the WCVB-5 camera crew for a campaign stop at a coffee shop in Billerica Center. Jim and the camera crew go in to the coffee shop. Jim gets the warm reception he's been getting all weekend at the shop, shakes hands and passes out his ever present campaign flyer. After greetings, the WCVB-5 reporter asked questions of the patrons of the establishment. Most were enthusiastic in their support of Jim. The reporter asked the whole room if there was anything else they'd like to say. The entire coffee shop broke out spontaneously in "Amazing Grace". From all accounts it was a powerful and emotional display of support. Jim Ogonowski has touched people in ways that most politicians can only dream of. By the very fact of being and acting like Jim Ogonowski without airs he has connected with the electorate.
Ogonowski popped into the Coffee Emporium in Billerica Center. He was greeted warmly. A group of choir members from the First Congregational Church on Andover Road favored him with an a-cappella rendition of "Amazing Grace."
"That was awesome," Ogonowski said. "Impromptu, unstaged. You don't get to see that when you surround yourself with politicians like my opponent has done. That's the difference between the two campaigns."
This last story brings us to why Jim is going to win this election. His base of support is positively and enthusiastically supporting him. People who are voting for Jim are going to the polls because they want to vote for him. By all accounts this can't be said about his opponent. Niki Tsongas has not connected with the average voter in this district, her support comes from people who negatively don't want to see a republican, any republican get elected. Those are not motivated voters. Jim's voters are motivated.
Jim, before I end this blog post I want to wish you the best of luck today, and say that it has been my honor to work with you over these past 5 months. From the first time we met over coffee at the au bon pain in Woburn to now I have been proud to know you and I enthusiastically support you. While I no longer live in the district my family does and all of them from second cousins on out are voting for you. Oh and I can't resist this last line, Jim go kick some Tsongass!
I say this only because I've worked on a lot of campaigns, and I know what it's like to get emotionally involved and then lose. It sounds like that's what you are doing. I'm preparing you. Call me a pessimist if you want, but I'm honestly telling you this because I think you'll be crushed harder if I don't.
That said, I do think it'll be a close race, and I think it'll give Tsongas some scares, maybe serve the same function as Schmidt/Hackett did in 2005.
Thanks for your efforts, just don't be too disappointed when it doesn't come out right, which is very likely.
“I am telling people loosen your ties, fire up the coffee pots, get ready for the weekend, ... We've got a lot of work to do.”
- John Bolton
Man's trying to close the sale, so don't jog his elbow.
Moe
PS: Not mad, but am serious.
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!
There is nothing like giving everything you have in a contest. Nothing. And no matter what happens, you can look everyone in the eye, especially your children, and say "I did all I could."
Keep us informed.
What if this race does turn out close? Isn't there something to take away from that? Massachusetts; a district where Democrats hold a big registration edge; a candidate with a known name. If she doesn't win big, and Jim can get into the upper-40s, maybe we can turn that into something positive for the Party as a whole and get some of the "all is lost" crowd to take it somewhere else.
I recognize that, and I said so in my post.
Anyhow, it seems this isn't quite the super close near miss that would rattle chains i.e. Schmidt/Hackett, but it isn't exactly bad news either.
I just wanted to prepare the guy because I knew this would happen. Respectable showing, no victory. It just wasn't going to happen in this climate. When neither party is popular, people vote for whom they are comfortable with, and even though Tsongas was a crappy candidate, and even though Ogonowski was a very good candidate, it wouldn't be enough.
It would have to be 1994 to be enough, and it just wasn't.
“I am telling people loosen your ties, fire up the coffee pots, get ready for the weekend, ... We've got a lot of work to do.”
- John Bolton
As a resident of the district, I want to personally thank you for helping to make this a race. You're a good American...
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We would also like to know your advice for somebody like my daughter, who's going to graduate in two years, advice that you would give a young person.
SEC. RUMSFELD: Advice for a young person. Study history.
Hey Eabo, my prayer closet's working overtime today. That's a good man, and a victory here would also symbolically be a BIG lift, for everybody's outlook toward 08.
It's war -- so when can we start shooting back at the enemy Democrats?
When do the polls close? EaBo-Clipper will you update us on how the things stand?
Thanks for your hard work.
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They deserve the crappy representation they will get.
I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.
Tsongas wins, 51-46:
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/regional/politics/view.bg?articleid=103...

Thanks for bringing it to RedState.
Go Ogo!
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.