Redstate

But how do we know that the 27 who disapprove of Kerry are to his right, and not to his left? I doubt that any Republican captures the "I disapprove of John Kerry because he's not liberal enough" vote.

There is no President but Lincoln, and Reagan is his prophet

Lacking that 27% can still soften his support enough to let a challenger win. Think of people who stay home or vote for third parties.

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I'd say A list is: Gov. Weld, Curt Shilling

And Ogo is B list. That's a good catch for this year.

I mean AR has no opponent for the one term Sen. Pryor. SD, WV, and MT have B or C list challengers in those red states. It'd be nice to see NJ and MA have good challengers.

And heck, the political map might be different with a Clinton-McCain matchup (or a Edwards-Rudy matchup). Maybe the 35% R showing in MA will be 44%. That would make it much easier for an R Senate candidate to at least be competitive.

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Coleman for Senate
680 Transfer Road
St. Paul, MN 55114

Bob Schaffer for U.S. Senate Committee
P.O. Box 102135
Denver, CO 80250-2135

Friends of Gordon Smith
4949 Meadows Road, Suite 625
Lake Oswego, OR 97035

John Kennedy for U.S. Senate, Inc.
P.O. Box 14861
Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70898

www.republicansenate.org

which links to a donation page with all the Rs in the close senate races. I don't have Ogo on there yet b/c A) he's not declared and B) it's not close yet.

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Thanks

Why have the Republican not had any success in South Dakota yet? Did Johnson's medical condition really help him in the long run?

I wish Huckabee would run against Pryor

Mike Rounds was the only person in the state who could've made it a race against Johnson. He decided not to challenge him. He has, however, indicated that he would reconsider a bid if Johnson changes his mind and decides to retire. Should Johnson do that, it would likely set up a match-up between Rounds and Rep. Stephanie Herseth, which would be extremely competitive. The long and short of it is that we can't win unless Johnson changes his mind.

www.republicansenate.org

Thanks I guess LOL

I don't understand how the Democrats can always make competitive races out of republicans in Dem states and yet Republicans cannot do same to the Democrats.

It looks like Baucus, Pryor, and now even Johnson will have a easy road while the Dems have put us on defense in many races minus Landrieu.

I can't believe we can't have strong challenges to these people.

The Ds seem to have decided it's okay to have a large moderate wing. That's probably b/c there aren't enough liberals to win most places. Rs have been trying to get rid of Chaffee/Specter/Collins/Snowe while Ds have recruited people like Rep. Shuler to win in R districts.

I think it comes from being in the minority and really wanting to win. Maybe that pendulum will swing back after the Rs are in the minority for a while.

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Adam

Hasn't happened here in CA, and the "Purist" Social Conservative Wing of the CA Republican party is just sure the electorate is coming back soon. Insert some reference to Nero fiddling while Rome burns.

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Proud member of the Barry Goldwater wing of the party !

I know what you are saying. I lived in RI disagreed with Chafee on more issues but always knew without him that seat would be a Democrat one and now it will never go Republican again.

Its sad that someone like Harkin is not challenged. The Republicans have poor recruitment

on no credible challangers in alot of races, being from Illinois I was upset they could not find anyone to run to a credible race aganist Durbin. I chalked it up to the IL GOP being the worst run state Republican Party in the country, but when you look it the same thing in races like IA and SD it is the same thing. Who is "running" the RSC this cycle?

McCain '08

Senator Ensign is in charge of NRSC this cycle

We have had terrible recruitment and all open seats have hurt us. I am very worried about Virginia and New Mexico right now.

Its sad we can't challenge Johnson, Baucus, Pryor, Rockefellar, or Harkin strongly. These are Republican states and yet we give these Dems free rides?

I buy Pryor and Lincoln as being reasonably moderate, and perhaps Lantrieu because she's fighting for her job, but Dorgan? Conrad? Baucus?

Seriously, most of those folks are pretty reliable Dem votes, no?

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

I think they are not moderate at all. The media terms them moderate and yet will term someone like Nelson in Nebraska as a Conservative. They termed Chafee a moderate when he was a liberal,

Don't even get me started on those Dakota senators the fact ND has an all Dem delegation in DC puzzles me.

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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.

There are plenty of safe Republicans. In this cycle alone, Senators Sessions, Chambliss, Roberts, McConnell, Cochran, Inhofe, Graham, Alexander, Cornyn, Enzi, and Barrasso, along with the open seats in Idaho and Nebraska, are all safe.

www.republicansenate.org

I don't think Herseth would run under those circumstances. She's got a safe house seat, and Rounds would, at best, be a 50/50 matchup against her.

Also, rumor has it that she wants to run for Governor. If that's the case, I'd think she's have an excellent chance against Rounds replacement, who would have entered office unelected.

John Bolton for President
"FEAR THE 'STACH!!!"

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That would be great, wouldn't it?

Sadly, I don't think it's gonna happen.

2010 maybe?

John Bolton for President
"FEAR THE 'STACH!!!"

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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

Because Huckabee has a chance at winning and would be a huge improvement over Pryor.

I actually think he'd be much more conservative as a Senator then as a Governor. States like Arkansas are more conservative on federal issues then on state issues.

John Bolton for President
"FEAR THE 'STACH!!!"

This whole put any idiot with an (R) after their names in, seems to be on balance more trouble than value.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

Actually Huckabee was poised to be our Senator when Jim Guy Tucker imploded and Huck became Gov and abandoned his campaign to Tim Hutchinson.

Hutchinson was a genuine political conservative and his three boys are still great advocates for conservatism. But his consistent conservatism didn't include fidelity. Sadly he divorced his wife to marry a staffer and it lost him his seat. The base in Arkansas would not make the Faust choice. Not after they (we) had been so sickened by the degaded Clinton.

I do wish some on Red State could understand just how conservative this state is in ways other regions just can't seem to understand. Our current Dem Gov -Mike Beebe- actually governs to the right of every Dem I'm familar with and quite a few Reps.

We all have our litmus tests and our own definitions of true "conservatism." I hope folks can disagree while still respecting the integrity of others.

After Clinton and Tucker I hope you can understand why some of us thank God for Mike Huckabee's ten years as Governor.

There's something fundamentally different (at least to me) between having extra marital flings and ending a marriage. I have seen so many people that had no business being married to each other, that I can't fault a divorce.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

I think most here would agree there is a distinction and that infidelity (the term "extra marital fling" minimizes the betrayal too much for me) is far worse than a broken marriage being abandoned. But since the two are more often than not interelated there is a general assumption present that has to be addressed for many social conservatives.

Reagan got a pass because he was percieved as having done all he reasonably could do to preserve his marriage on his part.

In the particular of Hutchinson, the perception was that infidelity had precipitated the divorce and that he was the guilty party. I know this is a bygone standard in many regions of the country - but that is entirely my point.

Jim Ogonowski for Massachusetts

The HinzSight Report
Managing Editor

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I'm still having trouble getting my head around that apparently, John Kennedy has been resurrected, and as a Republican this time! lol!

Anyhow, I think the recent corruption allegations might just do Landrieu in. It's not good when you have to run around saying "I'm not a crook," while you're constituency has moved to another state, and the Republicans had an election last year in your state in which they gained control of most statewide offices by margins even greater then the constituency you lost, meaning even if you HADN'T lost a bunch of your constituency, you'd STILL be in serious trouble.

John Bolton for President
"FEAR THE 'STACH!!!"