National Wireless?
By J A Davis Comments (24) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
What would you think if a presidential candidate came out with a plan to cover the entire United States with high speed broadband wireless Internet service? It would be as free and available as broadcast television, and it could be as significant as Eisenhower building the Interstate system in terms of how it ties this country together and boosts our economy in the long and short term.
I really know nothing of the finer points of wireless technology, but how hard could it be to have universal Internet coverage? It probably wouldn't cost as much as many other government initiatives, and it could have a largely positive economic impact.
Imagine the cell phone market being broken out of its boxes. The price of high tech communication services would plummet because cell technology could now be routed through the Internet at much lower costs to the consumer and there would be greater competition between service providers.
It would cause a revolution in the entertainment industry because television and radio would be disconnected from their regional boundaries. Cable companies would really have to figure out how to transition to the new system quickly or they might get eliminated altogther. Either way, the costs of programming for the consumer would fall dramatically because of the ease with which they could pick and choose services.
E-commerce would be able to expand to even more areas. Imagine ordering a cup of Starbucks on your cell phone and having it ready when you get there. Since everyone would now have access to mobile data services, businesses could rapidly expand the level of digital services they offer to their customers.
I could keep on going about the possibilities that a national wireless program could unlock, so just let your mind wander about the ways it could change your life and make digital communication more accessible and affordable to the average person. Imagine the boost in emergency response services and law enforcement technology that this could provide. Imagine how this might affect education? Digital textbooks anyone?
There are countless positive benefits to this idea, but there are also some concerns. How much will it cost to build and maintain the system? How do we keep the FCC from regulating it since we all know they will try to? Regardless, I think most Americans would love to hear ideas like this coming from our presidential candidates. These kind of ideas come from nowhere and shift votes. I mean, who wouldn't vote for the guy who is going to give them free Internet and cheaper cell phone and cable bills?
It's just an idea, so let me know what you think. Discuss.
Joliphant, this project, wireless not porn, has already begun. MIT has been working on it for more then a year. They were the first to make entire universities "hot spots", a term referring to free wireless Internet. Their next step is to make the entire WORLD, not just the US a "hot spot".
It's happening all around us, go to yahoo maps, put in an address near a major city. On the map is an icon you click on, it'll show you the know hot spots already in existence.
A wireless laptop is all one will need soon, isp's are an endangered specie.
Theres many places that are entirely wireless. I just don't want the government stepping in to destroy or save an industry.
If the government is going to provide free internet why not free porn, free food, free movies let the government run hollywood?
you get the point.
Veritas magna est et praevalet.
Only two defining forces have ever offered to die for you:
Jesus Christ and the American G. I.
One died for your soul; the other for your freedom.
Nothing the government does for you is "free".
No offense to you, but I just keep being surprised by how many people seem to never actually trace the flow of funding from their wallet to all the myriad "free" services being provided by the government. Or fail to see what should be an obvious connection between lowering taxes and reducing spending - and vice versa.
And it has to be amortized on a 40-year schedule, like any other capital expenditure. According to estimates I've read, the bulk of this infrastructure won't be off the balance sheets till sometime around 2015.
Why does it matter? Well, who owns it? The monopoly telco providers. And what do they do with their spare change? They buy seats for Congresscritters.
That's one of the reasons why the US has the worst comms infrastructure in the developed world, and the most expensive too. It's also why Congress can be relied on not to consider anything like your plan.
In places like Europe, they laugh at us. In places like Korea (where elderly women are just about the only people who still use email), they probably wonder if we have modern comms at all.
If you spent $115,000,000, lobbying in Washington I bet you'd expect something in return as well.
There are those who look at things the way they are, and ask why ... I dream of things that never were and ask why not. - Robert Kennedy
I'd say it's just the opposite. Owning American politicians is one of the most cost-effective investments anyone can make. They're so cheap that the ROI is huge.
And they're cheap because of our anti-corruption laws. There's no way for an American politician to get rich from corruption, for example, as it is in nearly every other country. Because our people aren't allowed to take money, they're left having to compete over power. As I say, exceptionally cost-effective.
Look what China got in return for Bill Clinton.
Before someone throws rocks at me for appearing to espouse corruption: no, that's not what I'm doing. I'm just recognizing human nature. The right way to solve the problem is to defund and dis-empower the government. We'll still have rampant corruption, but it won't be able to screw up our lives as badly as it does today.
Owning a CongressMoron&trade, is indeed an excellent investment. My point about "waste" was the idea that the industry might be spending $115MM.
Heck, let's say that it takes two in leadership and a dozen Members in the House, two in Senate leadership and half a dozen Senators to appropriately influence legislation.
I figure $1MM for a leader is way overly generous and $250K for a member or senator is just silly, so I'll use those numbers. Owning leaders = $4MM. Owning Morons = $4.5MM. Total = $8.5MM. Throw in 100% overhead for cushion, you're up to $17MM. Leaves $98MM down a rat hole.
___________________
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Senior Writer
I don't anything about that $115 million number, it was just thrown out there by flyerhawk. It may refer to campaign contributions over many years. (The telcos have been answering to Congress since early in the 20th C.) Although I confess, I don't see how you could spend such a small amount of money on comms infrastructure and get anything measurable out of it.
What would you think if a presidential candidate came out with a plan to cover the entire United States with high speed broadband wireless Internet service?
I'd think he's a tax-hiking, socialist Democrat.
Run like Reagan!
I think this could easily fall under the category of a public good because the private sector really has done an absolutely lousy job in this area. This is why I compared it to the interstate system. Some things must be done through government initiative because they either will not be done at all or will be done so poorly that it is a complete waste.
I currently live in Japan, and I can tell you from experience that our comm infrastructure is embarrassingly awful. When I talk about losing a signal on my phone, the Japanese don't understand what I'm talking about. You can get Internet that would destroy anything we have in the States for half the price, and let's not even discuss cell phone technology. We are way behind in technological infrastructure and it is because of way we have gone about building it.
When it comes to destroying industries, who cares if the telecoms go under? Their system has cost consumers so much that they deserve economic destruction. I believe that the telecoms have about as bright a future as newspapers. Also, the economic benefits of this idea would far outstrip the initial costs.
On government spending I am a conservative and believe that spending should be cut all over the place. This project is economically worthwhile and a legitimate public good, so it should be paid for through other cuts. Even if it increased the deficit it would still be worth it.
I think this kind of thing is inevitable, so we should work to find ways to do it in a market friendly, conservative way. We know that if the Democrats did this, it would costs us 1000% above reality, so we should do it ourselves, and do it right.
If we're going to give in to all the 'inevitable' things around, we might as well just disband the Republican party.
Run like Reagan!
Why is it so ridiculous for the private sector to solve the comms-infrastructure problem? There is one obvious deal-killer, which is the huge, ossified regulatory framework that keeps the monopoly telcos in business and sheltered from market forces. There's no real solution to this problem in the near future, since Congresscritters of both parties are in the telcos' pockets.
But what if you actually wanted to build a private wireless infrastructure? In theory, it's not a bigger undertaking than the original telephone, railroad, or electricity buildouts. (I won't accept the Interstate system as an example, because that was (and is) a noneconomic initiative intended to solve a problem perceived by the government and no one else.)
So what's different about today's capitalism that makes this project seem like such a nonstarter?
Again obviously, the impact of modern health and environmental regulations. These vastly increase the cost of taking any action that affects the physical world.
What else? The ownership structure of modern businesses. In times past, truly risky projects actually could be financed by men with vision. By far the largest form of financing was fixed-income securities, until recent decades. Today, a considerably greater share of the public's wealth takes the form of equity, which is direct ownership of earnings streams from business activity.
And when equity ownership of large businesses is considered by the public to be an investment rather than a speculation, business takes far less risk. That's because the thing people want most from their investments is a steady rate of return to fund their retirement.
This is a systemic problem with capitalism as we practice it today in the United States. And far beneath the radar, it is changing, as more and more businesses eschew public equity markets.
Public financing of a wireless infrastructure would have no beneficial effect other than perhaps diverting some of the tax-money that might otherwise go to an equally-insane "alternative-fuel Manhattan Project."
But don't lose hope yet that some bright, ambitious (and well-funded) young people will find a way to make it happen privately.
I empathize with the interest in having an "ideal telecommunications system". It would be way neat, fun, all sorts of interesting techno-cool things might come about. To you (and sure, to me too) it "sounds valuable" - it sounds like a "public good".
But you can't just look at it through your eyes. What percentage of people in America would actually benefit from 100% broadband wireless Internet service across America? What compelling features would they all utilize were this available? If we turned the switch tomorrow and coverage began, how would people's lives be made sufficiently more positive such that the costs of establishing it would be satisfied? Now, a for-profit business surveys whatever playing field they're in, and does the same kind of analysis: how big is the pie, and if we do X, how big a slice of that pie can we take? Their future depends on creating genuine value for people. Now there are a lot of odd products and services out there but one thing you have to admit, if they last any amount of time then evidently they're valuable to enough people that pay for them and keep them in business.
Contrast this with the government. They have very little riding on the "value" (or lack thereof) of what they do. People don't selectively pay the government for ala cart services, that choice isn't given to us. We throw a lump percentage their way every year, good service or bad. They tend to retain a monopoly in whatever they do. Perhaps they decide to do what you suggest, create this huge 100% wireless network - even though the pie of potential users is currently only 10% of the population and then only half of that might actually sign on to whatever government service there is. But they don't need to worry about that, do they? They can take more money from all of us (100% of us), and deliver a service that most of us don't really want or need - at least we're evidently not willing to pay for it directly. Which is why to date no private entities have attempted such a feat, although I'm quite certain there are a number of wireless Internet providers across America serving specific finite markets where the pie is large and where they stand to capture much of it.
The basic question then, is do you think it's better for consumers - the "people" - if private entities that have something to lose are the determining factor in providing services and products, or if the government, which has essentially nothing to lose, determines what products and servicces are provided? Which one of those two is more likely over repeated attempts to create genuine value for the people? And if you agree with me that it is not the government, then can you more clearly express and argue for an exception in this case - keeping in mind that your interests in technology and the Internet actually may not be shared by the great majority of Americans.
You observe that we seem to lag behind, anecdotally. Yet American universities and scientific research centers, medical research centers, large corporations, all have extremely good connectivity between themselves and other necessary entities - in other words, the people who really want fast, stable, robust service have no problem getting it and using it. Don't look at a segment of "middle America" who feel quite satisfied with their cable modem and assume they must be suffering in comparison with other country's citizens.
Also, especially if you are talking public equity, multiply the number of things that can go wrong by the number of plaintiffs' lawyers and you have another reason to fear genuine risk-taking.
"No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong." - Winston Churchill
...of the American economy. That thought occurred to me when I was imagining how an orthodox economist would respond to my post. A person like that would look at a developing economy (China, India) and tell you that simple arithmetic drives the decision to put risk-capital there instead.
But I'm not buying it in the slightest. The very fact that this diarist is in effect asking "why does our comms infrastructure suck so much" tells you that our economy is ready for another step up.
If only the Democrats (and the Republicans) weren't standing on the brakes.
it might be more a case of our regulatory structure. As you pointed out the existing telco companies have large sunk (no pun intended) costs on infrastructure. In most places they are either a monopoly or a duopoly and heavily regulated. It makes no sense for them to innovate their capital out of existence.
Veritas magna est et praevalet.
The existence of a government-protected monopoly is a huge barrier to rationalizing our comms infrastructure. It adds greatly to the business risk that would accompany any attempt to disrupt the existing system.
But every other major private innovation in the past faced similar barriers. Are the incumbent telcos fundamentally harder to disrupt because they're pinned in place by government power as opposed to old-fashioned market power? I think that's a question worth knowing the answer to.
My totally unsupported, seat-of-the-pants wise*ss guess would be: no. I still think that large businesses face limits on their appetite for risk that come primarily from their ownership structure.

while we are at it ? I mean how aout providibg free porn to everyone (this is the internets purpose ?) The government is great at printing documents and making video. How hard could it be ?
Veritas magna est et praevalet.