J Map's blog
Posted at 12:05am on Jan. 9, 2008 Momentum: Huckabee-McCain up, Romney-Rudy-Fred down
By J Map
First Huckabee. His strategy from the beginning had been "place in the top 3 in Iowa, top 3 in New Hampshire and win South Carolina." These is documented from post-Ames Huckabee campaign comments. In fact, Huckabee laid out clearly this plan when he said how he would win.
Huckabee currently holds an insurmountable lead in South Carolina, which Thompson has shown he is unable to dent. If he wins this State by as big of a margin which he has now, he will be tough to beat(it will probably shrink a few points before the primary).
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Posted at 11:41am on Dec. 18, 2007 On Tax Cuts and Balanced Budgets: Mike Huckabee
By J Map
This question is in regard to Conservative Philosophy regarding the benefits of both Tax Cuts and Balanced Budgets.
In 1994 we elected Republicans en masse to Congress who, under the leadership of Newt Gingrich, fought Bill Clinton to cut spending and balance the federal budget.
In 2000 we elected Republican George W. Bush to the Presidency who subsequently pushed through the largest tax cuts in History. These tax cuts were put forth and sold to the American people as viable during the 2000 campaign because the Government was running an incredible surplus. However, in coordination with the economic downturn in the last year of the Clinton Administration, the tax cuts were decreased government revenues drastically. This left a budget that was required to go into deficit spending.
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Posted at 12:17pm on Dec. 13, 2007 Who Should've dropped out first & Poll
By J Map
Everyone was hoping it would only be a race between 4, or even 3 early on. We had the "top-tier" "second tier" and my personal favorite "annoying tier" (I put Keyes in this one)...
Now there are legitimately 5 in that top tier and very little as to who would drop out first, when and how it will impact the race.
McCain should've dropped out first months ago because his campaign imploded. However, This failed to be a fatal blow, and he's crawed back into competition for 2nd in NH. If Huckabee improves to third there, he could transform a Giuliani failure to place in the top-three in Iowa and New Hampshire into additional votes in South Carolina, and Flordia.
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Posted at 12:13pm on Nov. 27, 2007 On Strategy and Survival
By J Map
History has shown that there are "3 tickets out of Iowa". Running through various scenarios, are candidates able to survive given momentum shifts through the continuing states. Does a compressed schedule help these candidates?
All Eyes on Iowa: January 3rd. If the trends given recent and past polling data remain the same, then Huckabee wins Iowa, Romney's in second with Giuliani in 3rd. McCain and Thompson battle it out for 4th. On the Democratic side, this would further allude to an Obama victory, followed by Edwards, then Hillary.
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Posted at 3:30pm on Nov. 26, 2007 Most Likely To Beat The....
By J Map
The Results are as follows:
Huckabee 44 Clinton 39
Thompson 44 Clinton 40
Romney 43 Clinton 40
Giuliani 43 Clinton 40
McCain 42 Clinton 38
All do Well, But Huckabee takes the title "Most likely to Beat" Hillary by maintaining a 5 point spread.
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Posted at 3:53pm on Nov. 16, 2007 Ducking Debate
By J Map
The December 4th Republican Presidential Debate cosponsored between FoxNews and the Republican Party of Iowa has been cancelled.
WhoTV reports that the December 4th Debate has just been cancelled. "Republican officials say the debate was canceled after Mitt Romney announced he wouldn't attend. Mike Huckabee was the only candidate who had confirmed he would be there."
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Posted at 1:43am on Nov. 14, 2006 Is Howard Dean's Strategy working?
By J Map
"All politics is local", is a phrase all political pundits know by heart. Yet, when Howard Dean revealed his plan to transfer money from the DNC to state and local committees he was said to be wasting valuable resouces. Later, in the final weeks of the campaign when the RNC held a $17.8 million advantage over the DNC, many in Democratic circles were calling for Dean's head.
However, Even though the RNC had a huge financial advantage in the final weeks of the campaign, the RNC failed to stem the tide and put enough Republicans over the top to maintain control of Congress, or at least the Senate. Could Howard Dean's strategy be part of the reason why Republicans lost so badly? An example of his strategy in action is below the fold...
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