jjfuller72's blog
Posted at 9:44pm on Jan. 27, 2008 "I'M MAD AS HELL. AND I'M NOT GOING TO TAKE IT ANYMORE!!": How McCain Lost His Integrity (& my vote forever): UPDATE #2
By jjfuller72
(Apologies to the film Network for borrowing the headline above . . . YouTube here--a great moment in cinematic history and worth the 4 minutes)
Much has been said on Romney blogs and elsewhere expressing outrage at McCain's desperate tactic to dishonestly smear Gov. Romney's stance on "timetables" and the Iraq war. It's blatantly apparent that McCain only did this to bring the issue of "Iraq" back into the race. McCain knows (and has repeatedly admitted) that "the Economy" is not his strong point, and that he'll lose to Romney in a head to head fight when that is the #1 issue. So, McCain's solution is to invent a controversial position for his main rival that plays to his own strength. Pitiful politics at its worst.
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Posted at 3:46am on Jan. 21, 2008 Post SC/NV Evangelical vs non-Evangelical Scorecard (with NV Mormon vote analysis)
By jjfuller72
Total voters thusfar: 1,731,000
Total "Evangelical/""Born Again" voters: 734,200
Total non-Evangelical voters: 996,800
Evangelical Numbers
Percent of total votes cast that were from Evangelicals: 42%
Evangelical Voters by candidate:
Huckabee -- 36%
Romney -- 25%
McCain -- 24%
Thompson -- 10%
Paul -- 4%
Giuliani -- 1%
Before SC, Romney was tied with Huckabee at 31% each with the Evangelical voters. Huckabee has an undisputed "base" among Evangelicals, but both Romney and McCain have proven that they can get a significant portion of the "Evangelical vote."
Non-Evangelical Numbers
Percent of total votes cast that were from non-Evangelicals: 58%
Non-Evangelical Voters by candidate:
Romney -- 36%
McCain -- 35%
Paul -- 9%
Huckabee -- 9%
Thompson -- 6%
Giuliani -- 5%
Yes folks . . . the appeal for Huckabee to non-Evangelical voters is on par with Ron Paul's (before this Sat he actually trailed Ron Paul among non-Evangelical votes by quite a large margin). Huckabee definitely HAS NOT proven in any contest thus far that he can get non-Evangelicals to support him in large numbers.
Huck's best showing for the non-Evangelical votes was 14% (both in IA and SC--4th place in both instances). In MI he got 8% of non-Evangelical votes. In NH he got just 6%, and in Nevada he got a Hunter-esque 3% of the non-Evangelical votes. This does not bode well for Huckabee from Feb 5th onward (let alone how in the world he could compete in a general election). He's yet to prove that he can move beyond his base (and his gaffe-prone campaigning the last few weeks isn't helping with any "outreach"). Additionally MI, NV, and even SC have shown that he's even having a hard time "locking up" his Evangelical base effectively.
I maintain my position from last week's similar post: Mike Huckabee's sole purpose in this race right now is to dilute Romney's access to social conservative voters so that McCain can win and then Huck can hope to be chosen as VP.
***************
Now onto the Mormon vote in Nevada. Most media outlets seemed to delight in repeating that Romney got 94% of the LDS vote in Nevada. It was repeated time and again as I watched the coverage live and many pundits said/inferred that this factor accounted for Romney's win. Actually, if you subtracted out every single Mormon vote for Romney he still would have won by a double digit margin and had nearly double the votes of either of his next two competitors.
With voting totals around 115,000 in the Dem race (I saw that number on Fox News) that would come out to approximately 3500 LDS voters NOT voting for Romney in the Dem caucus.
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Posted at 1:48am on Jan. 20, 2008 Pre-Florida GOP Election Scorecard
By jjfuller72
Election Scorecard:
Delegate Count (via CNN):
Total Cumulative Vote Tally (after 95% of SC vote)--1,679,675 votes cast thusfar in GOP contests (excluding Hunter and Keyes):
Romney - 537,070 -- 32%
McCain - 513,131 -- 30%
Huckabee - 339,801 -- 20%
Thompson - 121,628-- 7%
Paul - 107,428 -- 6%
Giuliani - 60,617 -- 4%
Medals Count (can you tell who I support?):
Romney - 3 Gold, 2 Silver
McCain - 2 Gold, 1 Silver, 1 Bronze
Huckabee - 1 Gold, 1 Silver, 2 Bronze
Thompson - 1 Silver, 2 Bronze
Paul -1 Silver
Hunter - 1 Bronze
Giuliani - NADA
In the face of all the data above, the media are now saying that McCain is unstoppable.
Some other considerations:
Romney also has:
1) RAISED the most money AND has the biggest purse to continue on to future states?
2)Won the largest plurality of voters in any contest ested state thusfar (39% of the vote, Romney's total in Michigan, is the highest percentage of any candidate in any contested state thusfar)
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Posted at 12:29am on Jan. 17, 2008 Evangelical vs. non-Evangelical Scorecard: Some Surprising Results
By jjfuller72
[Sorry for the funky formatting below . . . however, a lot of math and calculating went into this and I wanted to post it here for the analysis of the fine folks at RedState]
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Posted at 4:15am on Jan. 16, 2008 Election Scorecard
By jjfuller72
Election Scorecard:
Total Cumulative Vote Tally:
Romney - 450,740 -- 37%
McCain - 367,126 -- 30%
Huckabee - 210,402 -- 17%
Paul - 85,807 -- 7%
Thompson - 51,536 -- 4%
Giuliani - 49,772 -- 4%
Winner: Mitt Romney (he was winning this BEFORE MI too)
Delegate Count (via CNN):
Winner: Mitt Romney (he has more delegates than Huckabee, McCain, and Rudy COMBINED)
Medals Count:
Romney - 2 Gold, 2 Silver
Huckabee - 1 Gold, 2 Bronze
McCain - 1 Gold, 1 Silver
Thompson - 1 Silver, 1 Bronze
Hunter - 1 Bronze
Giuliani -
Paul -
Winner: Mitt Romney
Which candidate has both RAISED the most money AND has the biggest purse to continue on to future states? Mitt Romney
Which candidate has won the largest plurality of voters in any contest thusfar? Mitt Romney (39% of the vote is the highest percentage of any candidate on either side in any contested state thusfar)
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Posted at 3:16am on Jan. 16, 2008 A Contrast--Associated Press Has Blatant Pro-McCain/Anti-Romney Bias
By jjfuller72
When McCain won New Hampshire by 5% (37% for him vs 32% for Mitt) the AP headline read: "McCain wins in New Hampshire, where he bet it all" (incidentally, if you look at the top bar of your Internet browser it reads "McCain Triumphs Where He Bet It All."
The contrast . . . When Romney won Michigan by nearly 10% and nearly 100,000 votes the AP headline reads: "Romney Edges McCain to Win Michigan"
And if that's not bad enough, check out the lead paragraphs to those AP articles . . .
McCain:
John McCain rode the Straight Talk Express straight into first place in New Hampshire, and back into the thick of the race for the Republican presidential nomination.
''I hate to use to the word kid, but I think we showed the people of this country what a real comeback looks like,'' the Arizona senator told The Associated Press in an interview Tuesday, savoring victory . . .
Another AP article about McCain's NH win leads with:
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Posted at 4:51am on Jan. 15, 2008 Why the Nevada GOP Race Matters As Much, or More, than South Carolina (or at least why, objectively, it should)
By jjfuller72
I posted the following on some pro-Romney blogs, but thought the message might be of interest to Romney's fans at RedState and to rival campaigns:
Most Romney supporters were pretty peeved about how the media has downplayed his WY victory. (a recent Newsmax story addresses this) However, I can see how it was easy for the media to ignore WY results since it's the least populous state and due to the odd caucus system they used (mostly party insiders and/or major activists.) However, their 12 delegates were as many as NH awarded, and Mitt actually got more delegates out of WY (8) than McCain got out of NH (7).
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Posted at 4:54am on Jan. 6, 2008 As Recession Looms, Who's Best for Economy? Barron's Online Say Romney
By jjfuller72
Yesterday, I reviewed how the Economy is a vital issue for both Repubs and Dems--also pointing out there is increasing concern of a looming recession and how McCain's not quite up to snuff on this issue (even by his own admission)
But who would be best for the economy? Barron's Online back in July said that Romney would be the best GOP candidate and McCain the worst GOP candidate for the economy (Huck's lucky that he wasn't included in their rankings back then). Their cover story article was called "The Mitt and Bill Show" Parts One and Two.
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Posted at 9:28pm on Jan. 5, 2008 Huckabee Lies again: Said he supported the surge when Romney didn't
By jjfuller72
In tonight's debate Mike Huckabee accused Romney of not supporting the troop surge when he did: "I supported the president in the war before you did. I supported the surge when you didn't."
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Posted at 7:16pm on Jan. 5, 2008 McCain Endorses Romney!
By jjfuller72
That was in 2002 of course . . . now McCain spends most of his limited advertisin
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Posted at 5:24pm on Jan. 5, 2008 "It's the Economy Stupid": John McCain Admits He Isn't Ready to Oversee Economy
By jjfuller72
So "The Economy" constantly ranks up there among the top issues/concerns among voters of BOTH parties. With the Iraq issue being far less polarizing of late, the Economy, Illegal Immigration, and Healthcare look to be the key issues for the general election. Additionally, this New Hampshire Fox News Poll last month had the Economy and Illegal Immigration as the two most important issues to GOP voters with the Economy being by far the most important issue.
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Posted at 11:58pm on Dec. 23, 2007 The Huck-a-bust is coming
By jjfuller72
Huckabee and his supporters always seem to point out that Romney's attacking him. The already nascent Huck-a-bust will undoubtedly be blamed on Romney by Huck and his supporters. However . . . I don't think that Romney had anything to do with the fact that essentially every conservative with a microphone or blog has been railing against Huckabee for the last few weeks. Need some evidence?:
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Posted at 9:14pm on Dec. 23, 2007 More Evidence that MLK and George Romney DID March Together---UPDATE . . . EVEN MORE EVIDENCE
By jjfuller72
A little independent research via Google can apparently get more better "fact-checking" than the MSM reporters can.
You've probably heard before that two eyewitnesses have come forward and said that they saw George Romney and MLK march together. Well, now FOUR historical books have confirmed the same thing. Also, Mitt's brother, Scott states that he heard his father say that he had marched with MLK (in that same last link).
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Posted at 12:58am on Nov. 15, 2007 Huck's Fibbin
By jjfuller72
The below is cross-posted at my Iowans for Romney blogsite.
http://iowansforromney.blogspot.com/2007/11/youtube-of-fox-news-huckabee...
Not a good day for Huckabee:
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Posted at 1:30pm on Jun. 7, 2007 Giuliani/McCain Campaigns on "Life Support" . . . They Flip-Flop on Ames Straw Poll
By jjfuller72
Much of this is being addressed here and elsewhere, but I wanted to chime in from the Iowa perspective.
"Life Support" is a modern medical marvel that can sometimes tide people through horrible acute illnesses/traumas until their own organ systems kick back into gear. Unfortunately, the VAST majority of people on "Life Support" are simply artificially and temporarily avoiding imminent death. This is the decided direction of the Rudy Giuliani and John McCain campaigns as evidenced today by their decisions to not participate in the Ames Straw Poll on August 11th. They are attempting to delay their Iowa embarrassment and continued downward slide from August until the actual caucus in Janurary.
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