Global Warming Links and reference Material
By Joliphant Posted in Archived — Comments (8) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
I started saving these when I realized I kept having to look up the same things over and over again.
Just added
With thanks to rbdwiggins
Heartland institutes report
http://heartland.temp.siteexecutive.com/pdf/22835.pdf
NOAA's historic data page and climate proxies
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/paleo.html
With thanks to Vladimir.
http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Articles1.html
An excellent site with an overview of earth history and collected global warming information. and the global warming test
http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/GlobWarmTest/start.html
Various Climate data sets
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/
Temperature for the last 160 years
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/
Greenhouse gas monitoring
http://www.cmdl.noaa.gov/dv/
This is a really nice piece I just found from the Hoover institute
http://media.hoover.org/documents/0817944826_173.pdf
It gives you the total Carbon Output per US citizen and the net output. The report pegs us 6 tonnes per person total and .3 tonnes net. so 90% of what we contribute is taken care of how much more does the world want us to do ?
Here is a link to the UN interactive online climate model
http://climatechange.unep.net/jcm/
Their own model doesn't even produce an overwhelming CO2 contribution.
2.15 watts from man and 2.04 watts from the sun.
The relevant numbers follow.
Their baseline for CO2 preindustrialization(1880) is 250 PPM
currently they are are using CO2 at a concentration of 380 PPM
If you punch this into their formula
CO2 rf = f * ln([CO2]/[CO2]prein)/ln(2) (f=3.74 W/m2 (3.74))
CO2 RF = 2.15 watts / sq meter
Thats from increased CO2 which when compared to the sun's change in output over the last 120 years (.6*(1366(solar watts/meter)/4(circle to sphere) = 2.04 watts meter sq.
so you have at most 2.15 watts from man and 2.04 watts from the sun.
Not impressive you can also play with the constants on the site.
The following is a scholarly paper (Peer reviewed) coming to the same conclusion by different means.
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2006.../2005GL025539.shtml
Here is a further list of articles from the Geophysical Union on climate and solar variability.
http://www.agu.org/history/sv/articles/ARTL.html
The following are a set of links describing the North American net carbon balance.
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/269/5227/1098
http://www.publicaffairs.noaa.gov/pr98/oct98/noaa98-67.html
http://www.princeton.edu/pr/news/98/q4/1016-carbon.htm
Carbon flux from noaa
http://www.cmdl.noaa.gov/gallery2/v/talks/annual_meeting_2005/wouter_tal...
These detail out how much CO2 the North American continent is putting out. The bottom line is that their is a credible scenario that we are absorbing more carbon than we put out and if we were to increase logging activities in old growth forests could greatly increase the amount. This however might upset the spotted owl nuts.
The following is a link to the April 1974 Newsweek article on global cooling.
http://denisdutton.com/cooling_world.htm
The following are all sources for temperature histories. Please note there is a great deal of dispute over what the actual temperature is at any given time, hence the graph may have many values that don't come close to agreement.
http://www.globalwarmingart.com
http://www.co2science.org/scripts/CO2ScienceB2C/articles/V10/N5/C1.jsp
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/MSU/msusci.html
This presents the south pole temperature measured from ice cores against the CO2 concentration measured by the same.
http://www.fcpp.org/images/publications/Antarcticacoolsasghgincreases500...
Here are links to temperature studies on other planets.
pluto:
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/pluto_warming_021009.html
Jupiter:
http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/060504_red_jr.html
mars:
http://www.mos.org/cst-archive/article/80/9.html
Saturn:
http://www.upi.com/NewsTrack/view.php?StoryID=20061109-022035-4126r
p,s. The rings need to be designated a national park
triton:
http://www.scienceagogo.com/news/19980526052143data_trunc_sys.shtml
Apparently we are causing warming everywhere. Or maybe the sun is getting hotter
You are talking about a change of 2 parts in 1365 for the sun. This is against a change of .3 in 293 for for temperature.
If you normalize these for comparison you get 1 part in 990 vs 1 part in 682
______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
Monckton of Brenchley - Paper, references and (2) companion articles (wide-ranging, very compelling). All but ignored by our partisan press, this series sent the Royal Society over the edge.
Two "must read" books. The Chilling Stars (Henrik Svensmark and Nigel Calder) is available for pre-order. It explains the "how and why" of Unstoppable Global Warming (Fred Singer and Dennis Avery), and a significant portion of Svensmark’s research is referenced in Unstoppable Global Warming.
A few articles of interest (self-explanatory).
There IS a problem with global warming... it stopped in 1998
Note: I'm awaiting shipment, re my copy of Unstoppable Global Warming (hardcover is a little pricy). The Chilling Stars ships from Amazon UK in March, but I'm going to special order that one from my local bookstore.
***
“The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they're ignorant; it's just that they know so much that isn't so.” – Ronald Reagan
Steve McIntyre, along with Ross McKitrick, debunked the original MBH98 study. Steve's websites are here:
We need more of these kind of references, as we seem to have to explain many of the same things over and over.
I remember after Saddam's execution, Jeff Emmanuel wrote an excellent summary on the events leading up to the Iraq war. Someone also had a link to an excellent commentary by George Will on the minimum wage.
It would be good to have a reference area for these kinds of things. I'd personally love to have some good references on the effect of tax cuts on the economy...
Anyway, more relevant to your post, I especially find interesting the links to the temperature finds on Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Pluto, and Triton.
I will definitely save this.
Do you remember if Jeff Emmanuel's Iraq lead up summary was a comment or a full entry? I'm not having any luck finding it.
It is very good to see some references cited in global warming discussion on Redstate.
On solar radiation, the science is still rather uncertain. The reason is that, until satellites came, solar radiation could not be accurately measured, and was assumed constant. Satellite measurements showed the following:
You need accuracy, because the variation is only about 2 parts in 1365, and that wouldn't do much warming. There is no big increase in that period.
There is an association observed there between radiation and sunspot numbers, and sunspot numbers have risen over the century. It is an inference that radiation has increased too, and that gives rise to the estimates of global warming. The current state of this knowledge is summarised in another paper you cited recently:
However, there is a qualitative difference between solar and CO2 warming. Sunspots come and go, and we have over 300 years of records to show that. We are doing nothing to affect that, and there is no reason to expect enhanced solar heating to go on indefinitely. Enhanced CO2-driven heating, however, is new, and due to the irreversible human transport of carbon from deeply buried deposits into the atmosphere. This will not only continue to increase, but, unless we do something about it, it will accelerate substantially as China and India move towards Western patterns of carbon burning.