malbis's blog
Posted at 1:44pm on Nov. 7, 2006 Last Stand Before the Koolaid...
By malbis
It is dawning on many pollsters and Democrat pundits that this election is going to be a watershed for the Democratic Party. As the day goes on, the realization is setting in that -- no matter what the final total ends up -- the odds are that it will be a loss for their party.
A loss that will mark the beginning of the end.
Some Democrats worry that those forecasts, accurate or not, may be setting the stage for a demoralizing election night, and one with lasting ramifications, sapping the party’s spirit and energy heading into the 2008 presidential election cycle.
“Two years ago, winning 14 seats in the House would have been a pipe dream,” said Matt Bennett, a founder of Third Way, a moderate Democratic organization. Now, Mr. Bennett said, failure to win the House, even by one seat, would send Democrats diving under their beds (not to mention what it might do to all the pundits)."
Forgive me if I fail to see this as a bad thing.
More after the jump.
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Posted at 9:39pm on Nov. 6, 2006 The Biggest Wednesday Morning News You Haven't Heard Yet
By malbis
Wednesday morning, the day after the election, something very important is going to happen.
It has nothing to do with "Wednesday-morning-quarterbacking" of why the Democrats lost or won, or how many lawsuits they are filing because they were diebolded out of their delusional, poll-predicted victory. It has nothing to do with Republican self-congratulations or reasoned excuses for their performance tomorrow. In fact, it has nothing to do with the Legislative branch of government at all.
At least...not yet.
Wednesday morning, November 8, is the day that the Supreme Court is scheduled to hear its first major abortion case in six years. The case concerns the constitutionality of a federal ban on partial birth abortions. It is a crucial case in determining just how much the balance on the Court has tipped with the addition of Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Alito.
It will also become another major partisan fight and a rallying point for the Democrats if they actually succeed in taking control of the House and/or the Senate. From our point of view, it is a vivid reminder of the most important reason to click on this link and do your part to Get Out The Vote and ensure that Republican control of the Senate (and the House) continues.
If you haven't already heard, reliable sources are saying that Liberal Justice John Paul Stevens is seriously ill and will be forced to leave the Court by the end of this year.
Oh boy, what a fight that is going to be!
More after the jump...
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Posted at 9:17pm on Nov. 5, 2006 Justice Stevens' Illness Makes This Election Vital
By malbis
Share this with as many people as you can in making calls or talking to people about why it is vital to vote Republican on Tuesday:
Reliable sources say that Arch-Liberal Justice John Paul Stevens is seriously ill and will be forced to announce his retirement from the bench by the end of this year.
Whoever controls the Senate after Tuesday will set the tone and control the direction of the Supreme Court for the next generation. If we lose the Senate, we lose for years to come, not just until the next election.
And we aren't the only ones that lose. Lives are at stake.
If this isn't something to talk about in making GOTV calls...then I don't know what is.
Chuck Schumer knows how important this election is. He said, "judges is the whole ball of wax." He has also assured Democrats that incumbent Senator Rick Santorum's opponent, Bob Casey, will lend his vote to continue Dem efforts to block judicial nominees. So will other so-called moderate Democrats like Harold Ford of Tennesee, Jon Tester of Montana, and Jim Webb of Virginia.
Streiff posted a RedHot about this, but it is so important that I don't think we can emphasize it enough in the lead-up to the election. Especially since I'm virtually certain that we will actually be looking at two liberal retirements from the Supreme Court if the Dems win on Tuesday.
Who will decide who fills Justice Stevens' seat on the Supreme Court? Who will decide any additional Supreme Court vacancies after this election? Do you care? Do your friends and relatives care?
What do Liberal judges and justices mean?
Gay Marriage in New Jersy extending throughout the country? Property rights decisions? Talk radio as hate speech? No funding for the troops in Iraq? Christianity out of all aspects of public life? The Pledge? Amnesty for illegals? No funding for the border fence? Cloning a constitutional right? Abortion "safeguarded" for another generation?
Does this election matter?
More after the jump
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Posted at 11:08pm on Oct. 21, 2006 Survivor! Barron's Magazine Predicts GOP Victory
By malbis
The next edition of Barron's magazine will report a detailed analysis of the upcoming election that may surprise some people.
They are predicting a GOP victory -- albeit a narrow one. A loss of only 8 seats in the House, and 3 seats in the Senate.
Now this is great news for Republicans, but is Barron's simply blowing smoke? Is it just wishful thinking? Could an analysis that flies in the face of all of those polls and all Conventional WisdomTM be correct?
The odds are, it is correct.
The method that Barron's bases its prediction on has a 93% accuracy rate going back to 1972. In more recent years, it has actually had a 98% accuracy rate.
More information on the analysis, and how Barron's has come to a conclusion certain to cause blood to stream from the mainstream media's collective ears, is after the jump...
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Posted at 4:58pm on Oct. 20, 2006 "Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never, never..."
By malbis
"Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never, never--in nothing, great or small, large or petty--never give in, except to convictions of honor and good sense".
Many people are familiar with this inspirational wartime quotation of Sir Winston Churchill. Most of us, however, are probably not familiar with where he made that statement and the rest of what he said.
This comes under the heading of a "the rest of the story" sort of article. That quotation has been running through my head a lot over the past week or so. I didn't fully realize why it kept popping into my mind until I did some research and refreshed my memory. I am struck by how well it applies to the situation we Conservatives and Republicans find ourselves in at this moment.
The speech was given almost exactly sixty-five years ago, on October 29, 1941. The speech was not given before Parliament, or in a radio address to the British people. It was given to students at Harrow School, a private, secondary school on the outskirts of London that Churchill had attended as a young man.
Why does it matter to us today? Read it for yourself and see.
The whole speech -- which was surprisingly short and yet packed with meaning -- is after the jump...
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Posted at 8:38am on Oct. 20, 2006 The Way to Lose A Revolution
By malbis
The New York Times will have an article this morning that quotes numerous Republican and Conservative leaders on the upcoming election.
Nothing in that article is upbeat.
Nothing in it is positive.
Nothing in it is hopeful.
The article is designed to demonstrate the melt-down of the Republican Revolution. With help from our leadership, it does an excellent job of painting a gloomy portrait. With somewhat restrained glee, The Times points out the infighting and finger-pointing going on:
"Tax-cutters are calling evangelicals bullies. Christian conservatives say Republicans in Congress have let them down. Hawks say President Bush is bungling the war in Iraq. And many conservatives blame Representative Mark Foley’s sexual messages to teenage pages."
Quotations from prominent Republican and Conservative leaders are used to show exactly how much disarray and division exists and how little hope they have of continuing to control Congress and the American agenda. Reading that article does not inspire confidence.
After reading the article, and after observing what has been happening for the past few weeks, I feel compelled to say something to our leaders within the Republican Party and the Conservative Movement:
Stop acting like Jackasses!.
I mean that quite literally...with all of the political symbolism the word holds.
More on this, and on what I think we should be doing in the last 19 days before the election if we want to maintain Republican control of Congress, after the jump...
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Posted at 8:45pm on Oct. 18, 2006 If the Democrats win...babies will die
By malbis
Now that I have your attention...I wish that I could say that the headline of this story was simply an outrageous exaggeration designed to lure you into reading my article.
It is not.
It is a statement of cold, hard fact. A fact that too many people who are thinking of sitting this election out or casting a "protest" vote against the Republicans seem to have forgotten.
If the Democrats win control of the House, or worse still, control of both the House and the Senate, then people in America are going to die. It has happened before. I don't want to see it happen again.
The stakes are actually that high, and if you don't believe it, then you'd better refresh your memory of exactly how serious this mid-term election is by watching the videos that accompany this post.
More videos, and more dispassionate, reasoned discourse, after the jump...
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Posted at 11:38am on Sep. 14, 2006 See, I Told You the GOP Would Keep the House and Senate
By malbis
The Hill published an article today by Patrick O'Connor that lends further support to what I wrote in a recent blog post. The GOP, barring some unexpected disaster or event, is no longer in danger of losing control of either the House or the Senate this November.
Much of the good news was shared in a private meeting at the Capitol Hill Club, and full details of all that was said are not available. It was, however, an upbeat presentation reflecting the rapid change in Republican fortunes I mentioned previously.
Some of the details of that private meeting, and the reason that Republicans left smiling, are after the jump...
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Posted at 7:02am on Sep. 13, 2006 What the Mainstream Media Doesn't Want You to Know About the November Elections
By malbis
The recent non-reaction of ABC to threats by the Democratic leadership over the Path to 9/11 miniseries revealed a dirty little secret the mainstream media doesn't want you to know.
The GOP is going to win. The Democrats are going to lose seats.
They know it.
The Democrats are beginning to know it.
You can count on it.
How do I know it, and why am I so certain? The answer to those questions, along with the facts and figures to back it all up, is after the jump...
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Posted at 7:42pm on Sep. 10, 2006 Path to 9/11 Airs in New Zealand With Minor Cuts, Mostly Intact
By malbis
Overseas, the ABC miniseries The Path to 9/11 has already aired--and most of the controversial scenes are still in.
They were softened somewhat, but only a little.
Some commentary from a write for Editor and Publisher who saw clips from the New Zealand airing is after the jump.
Read on...
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Posted at 8:13am on Sep. 8, 2006 Path to 9/11 Isn't Real History: It's Much Too Tame
By malbis
On April 5, 1997, President Omar Hassan al-Bashir of Sudan wrote a personal letter to a senior Democrat in the House of Representatives. That letter said, in part,
"We extend an offer to the FBI’s Counterterrorism units and any other official delegations which your government may deem appropriate, to come to the Sudan and work with [us] in order to assess the data in our possession and help us counter the forces your government, and ours, seek to contain.”
The "data in our possession" was a reference to extensive files on the then largely unknown terrorist organization al-Queda. The intelligence data was gathered during the years Osama bin Laden lived in that country. The files had been offered to the United States previously, and no one in the Clinton administration was interested in taking Sudan up on their offer.
But that is just the tip of the iceberg. The true story of the diplomatic mis-steps and failures of the Clinton administration that forms the real "path to 9/11" is much worse than anything ABC plans on airing.
What mis-steps and failures? Details after the jump.
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Posted at 6:27am on Sep. 5, 2006 Immigration: They just don't get it
By malbis
Most of America will be waking up to a New York Times headline that is certain to be repeated in various ways in MSM news stories across the nation, and across the world.
The Times headline reads: G.O.P. Sets Aside Work on Immigration.
As the paper goes on to explain, "Congressional Republican leaders have all but abandoned a broad overhaul of immigration laws and instead will concentrate on national security issues they believe play to their political strength."
To be specific, the current GOP leadership intends to focus on Pentagon and domestic security spending bills, port security legislation, and measures that would authorize the administration’s terror surveillance program and create military tribunals to try terror suspects. They feel it would be politically risky to get bogged down in a divisive fight over immigration.
The strategy is to minimize the number of seats lost in the House and Senate by concentrating on basic national security issues of major concern to voters in the Republican base.
As this "strategy" sinks in, Conservatives will be waking up to something that is a bit more jarring and to the point than the Times headline: They Just Don't Get It
Immigration is a national security issue.
This Republican "strategy" might have just handed the House to the Democrats.
More below the fold...
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