Play the Game?

By Neil Stevens Posted in Comments (17) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Scenario: Democrat in a rock-ribbed Republican state. He politics the snot out of his state to get himself elected statewide, then runs for national office.

Result: He goes off to Washington and votes the party line a maddening amount of the time. Democrats quietly snicker in triumph, Republicans tear our hair out while failing to get any attacks to stick.

Scenario: Republican in a decidedly Democratic state. He politics the snot out of his state to get himself elected statewide, then runs for national office.

Result: He never gets anywhere because Republicans are so scared of people who 'grow' in office that we get scared that any flipping will lead to flip-flopping. Attacks. Finger-pointing. Democrats quietly snicker in triumph.

Is this the way things ought to be? I'm not sure, to be honest. Clearly there is possible political improvement to be had, but I don't know if we want to play this game.

Theory: Republicans who start left then flip when they go to Washington are branded as unreliable, so only two kinds of Republicans get elected to Washington: those who start and STAY left, and those who start and STAY right.

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that disproves your theory but I can't really think of one. I suppose if we back a generation, we can say that Ronald Reagan began life more liberal than he ended up. He was never a leftist but he definitely evolved from some more moderate positions to adopt what we now consider bedrock conservatism.

you might get accused of blasphemy

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

He stays elected, but he started as a D and now he's an R.

"We should scrap this “comprehensive” immigration bill and the whole debate until the government can show the American people that we have secured the borders -- or at least made great headway."
Fred Thompson

Phil Gramm switched parties too, but it wasn't fears of flip-flopping that cost him the Presidency (sniff).

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or do I need to get this prescription checked again...?

I wish he'd BEEN our nominee, but he wasn't.

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Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

He's not exactly what you're looking for, but there are lessons learned in this example, too. GOP Sen. Packwood started left, and he stayed left. The only trouble is that when he was accused of nothing worse than accusations about Bill Clinton, his social vote liberal colleagues threw him under the bus. They did not care that he had voted with them on the social issues. He was not a Dem, and so they sent him to the pile.

"We should scrap this “comprehensive” immigration bill and the whole debate until the government can show the American people that we have secured the borders -- or at least made great headway."
Fred Thompson

We've elected Republicans from blue states to national office. Reagan is the obvious success story here. But note who he was: a ideological conservative who was a good enough leader to win over an essentially liberal state.

That's not happening this election for two reasons:

* The definition of "conservative" has been ratcheted upward. That's partly because of the bad example of Bush's "compassionate conservatism". It's also partly because of how close we're getting to a federalist-majority Supreme Court. (Reagan would be unacceptable to many pro-lifers if he were running today.)

* Our blue-state Presidential nominees aren't great conservative leaders. They've gotten elected in blue states by fitting in. Giulani is a liberal on several social issues. Romney preferred to bend rather than break. These are not terrible things in these VERY blue states; the Republican party has learned it's better to take a half-loaf there. But when it comes to the Presidency, that half-loaf starts looking a lot less tasty.

when he insisted it be in the platform in 1980; literally wrote and published a book against abortion while president and tried to get the life amendment thru congress.

Reagan brought the pro lifers into the party.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

and for the time, he was fantastic on the issue.

Take a look at his Supreme Court appointees, though, and you'll see he was more willing to compromise than we would now tolerate. You remember the reaction to Harriet Miers. Can you imagine what we would have said about a nominee comparable to Sandra Day O'Connor?

Since the 80's, the pro-life movement successfully persuaded more people that abortion should be heavily restricted, if not actually outlawed. With that success, its political demands have naturally increased.

But Reagan wanted to appoint anti Roe judges. He always got introuble when he trusted the country clubbers that he needed to actually run the government.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

When we nominated Reagan in '80, California hadn't been a hardcore D state yet. California had last gone Democratic in 1964 as part of the Johnson landslide of course, but after that Nixon, Nixon, Ford, Reagan, Reagan, Bush. It's only in 1992 that California flipped Democratic so badly. And heck even in 1994 we took the legislature, though Willie Brown did his best not to give up that chair.

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dying off?

or the drugs

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

The Bay area started attracting lefties.

The LA area had been attracting poor (the D sweet spot) immigrants, and the children of illegals came of age.

Rightists started leaving for points east.

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