Predicting NH Primary
By SteveLA Posted in 2008 — Comments (32) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
As a just for fun sort of thread, what are your predictions for tomorrow's NH primary?
As Moe (correction streiff) likes to call it, I'll beclown myself and start the ball rolling.
On the R side, my predictions
Mitt "The Hair" Romney wins by 1 point
John "Grumpy Old Man" McCain in second
Ron "He Who Must Not Be Named" Paul in third place with at 10 percent
Pastor "Fast Talking" Huckabee in fourth place with 9 precent
Rudy "Drive my Girl Friend" Giuliani in fifth place with 8 percent
Fred "Can I go home now" Thompson in sixth place with 4 percent
On the D side, my predictions
Barrack "Change" Obama wins by 15 percent
John "Silk Pony" in second place
Hillary "Stand by my man" Clinton in distant third place...Bill Clinton to be neutered.
Dennis "Keebler Elf" kidnapped by space aliens
I have no clue if I'll be right or wrong, but those are my guesses.
Let me get out my Excel spreadsheet and put some hard numbers on my prediction.
McCain 34
Romney 28
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 11
Paul 7
Thompson 6
Hunter 1
I am being a bit generous to Duncan Hunter.
Spiral
I'm surprised that you would show Rudy getting that high in the tally. I was watching a Luntz focus group on Fox, and one lady was positively steamed that Rudy had not done more face time with the good citizens of NH. It wasn't about issues or personalities, it was about not paying the proper level of attention to folks in NH...Oh my.
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Proud member of the Barry Goldwater wing of the party !
McCain 35
Romney 30
Huck 12
Rudy 10
Paul 10
Fred 3
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Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard
Not for nothing but doesn't that add-up to 110%?
Or at this point am I supposed to yell VOTE FRAUD!!! VOTE FRAUD!!! VOTE FRAUD!!! VOTE FRAUD!!! VOTE FRAUD!!! VOTE FRAUD!!!
( smile )
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
Yes it did. So I will now go edit it and no one will ever notice... shhh....
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Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard
... they can give us 110%.
Here's what i wish:
McCain - 51%
Thompson - 44%
Rudy, Romney, Paul, Hunter, Huck - 1% each
Here's what is going to be:
McCain - 35%
Romney - 32%
Huckabee - 16%
Giuliani - 8%
Paul - 8%
Hunter - 1%
I'm hoping for a Romney victory, but I'm nervous!
1: Romney 34
2: McCain 32
3: Giuliani 12
4: Paul 10
5: Huck 8
6: Thompson 3
7: Hunter 1
Nobody (except Hunter) drops out until SC.
Freedom and religion endure together, or perish alone. --Mitt Romney
But here's what I'll guess...
Romney: 34
McCain: 33 (loses by less than 5K votes)
Paul : 13
Huck : 9
Rudy : 8
Fred : 3
Duncan: 0
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
McCain 35%
Romney 26%
Huckabee 14%
Paul 12%
Rudy 11%
Fred 3%
Not that I have anything against the term, mind you. :)
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!
McCain 34%
Romney 32%
Huckabee 12%
Paul:10%
Giuliani:8%
Fred:2%
Other: 2%
Found this in a fortune cookie that I just picked up tonight:
Romney 32%
McCain 31%
Huckabee 14%
Paul 11%
Giuliani 9%
Thompson 3%
Hunter 0%
Obama 40%
Clinton 29%
Edwards 25%
Richardson 6%
Romney 31
McCain 30
Giuliani 12
Huckabee 11
Paul 9
Thompson 5
Don't care about the other side but I expect it to be Obama-Hillary-Edwards-everyone else.
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Finrod's First Law of Bandwidth:
A picture may be worth a thousand words, but it takes the bandwidth of ten thousand.
Romney 32
McCain 30
Giuliani 12
Paul 11
Huck 9
Thompson 6
“.....women and minorities hardest hit”
No...It was Sleeping Beauty who sang it...
Thompson - 34
Romney - 30
McCain - 20
Guiliani - 10
Huckabee - 6
Paul - 0
And yes, the song is...Once Upon A Dream but a girl can dream can't she?
I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.
I think it will be a long night Tomorrow and we might not know the winner until Wednesday morning. My best guess is
Romney 33
McCain 32
Huck 14
Paul 12
Rudy 7
Fred 2
Of course I am a Rombot.
Romney 08
Romney 40
McCain 20
HWSNBN 19
Giuliani 13
Huck 6
Thompson 2
"Go ahead, make your jokes, Mr. Jokey... Joke-maker. But let me hit you with some knowledge. Quit now". -White Goodman
McCain 35
Mitt 29
Ron 13
Huck 12
Rudy 09
Fred 02
Romney 36
McCain 30
Paul 14
Huck 9
Giuliani 7
Thompson 4
Romney 31
McCain 30
Huck 15
Paul 12
Giuliani 10
Thompson 2
I think the straight talk express hit a bridge abutment in the debates and suffered some serious clarity damage...
Paster Huck was shown to be a fool and fraud repeatedly in the debates over the weekend yet again... so my take is...
Romney Squeaks by with a W over McPain
The Huckster is a distant third although I hope reason and rational thought gives Rudy the number 3 spot with the Pro Life Liberal fourth or fifth behind the madman Ron Paul and Fred! a distant last, Duncan Hunter doesn't count.
Well done is better than well said. —Benjamin Franklin
McCain 29% (gets enough Indy's to win)
Romney 26% (losing IA might have cost him NH)
Paul 18% (if he has hidden support anywhere, it's here)
Huckabee 14% (just because of the IA buzz...then downhill)
Thompson 6% (only b/c NH wants attention he didn't give)
Giuliani 6% (same as above, combined with growing irrelevancy)
Hunter 1% (gained nothing from his tantrum today)
And those are certainly wrong. Thompson might get buzz from his third place finish in IA that I'm missing, and perhaps Paul won't get the bump, which would put Huck third and probably help Thompson (and McCain) more then Giuliani...but now I'm getting lost in pointless analysis and overly beclowning myself.
McCain 36
Romney 23
Huckabee 17
Paul 15
Rudy 6
Thompson 3
Hunter (is he still running?)
I think McCain will win by 6 points, with Huckabee about 15 points behind Romney. This means that Romney will be leading in the delagate count after New Hampshire.