Content by Spiker

Posted at 10:58am on Jan. 26, 2007 SEN 08: Schumer versus Ensign, the battle so far

By Spiker

In an unprecedented move, New York Senator Chuck Schumer stayed on for another cycle as Chairman of the DSCC, following what has been widely hailed as an impressive stint during the 2006 cycle, especially relative to the lackluster charimanship of Elizabeth Dole for the NRSC. Schumer embodies everything that the Democrats want in their Chairman: he's aggressive, overwhelmingly partisan, and a complete hack. He's perhaps the most hackish member of the Caucus, which makes him bad for TV interviews (despite the fact that the most dangerous place in D.C. is between Schumer and a television camera), but excellent for campaign politics.

John Ensign, who can't avoid (positive) comparisons to Elizabeth Dole, is described as young, charismatic, and truly conservative, a difference that could lead in stingy Republican senators paying their dues to the NRSC this cycle. But in a cycle where 21 seats are up for the Republicans, compared to only 12 for the Democrats, the oddsmakers already project another steamroll victory for Schumer. Though the election is more than twenty months away, let's see how the two have matched up in the first three.

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Posted at 3:55pm on Jan. 17, 2007 LA GOV: Jindal (R) up 27 points on Blanco (D)

By Spiker

Poll conducted by Southern Media and Opinion Research, 1/12-14/07, surveying 600 Likely Voters. MoE: +/-4%

General Election Matchup
             All Dem GOP Ind                         All Dem GOP Ind
Jindal       58% 37% 92% 67%        Jindal           59% 39% 92% 67%
Blanco       31  48   3  27         Blanco           35  53   4  27
Campbell      6   9   2   3         Other/undec       6   8   4   6
Other/undec   5   6   3   3

http://www.nola.com/news/t-p/capital/index.ssf?/base/news-4/116901684457...

(No registration required, but you may have to enter in your zip, age, and gender)

We knew for months that Blanco was very vulnerable and that Jindal would start off with the advantage, but I for one didn't think the incumbent would start off 27 points down. This means two things: 1) The gains Republicans have made in the state in the last six years (see David Vitter, for example) are continuing, which is great news for the impending challenge to Sen. Mary Landrieu in 2008. 2) Democrats will surely introduce a strong replacement to Blanco, with the hope of pulling enough independents from Jindal to force a run-off (with the hope that the new challenger makes it, not Blanco).

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Posted at 12:46pm on Dec. 21, 2006 Senate 08: Silver Lining?

By Spiker

Coming off the heels of a major over-turning midterm election which saw 6 seats in the Senate flip, giving control to the Democrats, many have looked forward towards 2008 with, depending on which party you belong to, a sigh of exasperation or a triumphant fist-pump. 21 seats for the Republicans are up for grabs, compared to only 12 for the Democrats. Surely any hope of re-capturing the Senate in two years is sqaushed now, just by the numbers, right?

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