Content by Illinicon
Posted at 11:56am on Jun. 3, 2008 Hillary to concede tonight
By Illinicon
The AP is reporting that Hillary Clinton will concede that Barack Obama has 2,118 delegates that are needed to win the Democratic Party nomination for President. Though she will keep her campaign in tact, even though most of her staffers will be let go June 15, as a way to get something from Obama.
But why should she quit now? There is an item on Drudge this morning that her campaign expects to win South Dakota by 25 points. The other contest of the evening Montana has simlair demographics to South Dakota, so logic would dictate she has a strong chance of winning Montanta then if they think they will win South Dakota by that margin. The "whitey tape" rumor should give her a chance to convince the super delegates that he is unelectable. The outlook right now for her to pull an upset looks its brightest since Super Tuesday II and if she gets 40,000 more votes than Obama tonight she could even have the popular vote lead minus Michigan.
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Posted at 7:19pm on May 7, 2008 Super Delegate wants to trade bribe for vote
By Illinicon
After the late night/early morning vote counting tactics in Lake County, corruption has yet again risen in the Democratic Primary. This time a super delegate by the name of Steven Ybarra wants $20 million in exchange for his vote. He wants the money so that he can start a voter registration drive to get more Mexican-Americans on the voter rolls for November.
The larger question as it pertains to the Fall campaign is whether or not the super delegates are something we can use against Obama? He proclaims to be anti-lobbyist because they have corrupted the political process with the money they peddle, but is not the same thing if you have promised super delegates your endorsement in their races, cabinet or Ambassador Positions in exchange for their vote? It is something I think the Conservative media should look into because if it comes out he offered patronage for a vote; it can just be another piece of the growing mosaic that despite all of his proclamations, my Junior Senator is just another Old-fashioned Chicago Pol.
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Posted at 12:48am on Feb. 26, 2008 Update on Illinois Congressional races
By Illinicon
Illinois has two critical House races this cycle. The first is in the 11th district which combines parts of Southern Cook, Northern Will, and Western Dupage counties. It is a swing district as Charlie Cook rates the district as R +1. The latest news for Republicans is not good. The winner of the Republican Primary New Lenox Mayor and Chicago Ridge Police Chief Tim Baldermann has dropped out of the race, citing lack of time. The local scuttlebutt is that he did not want any part in fundraising. My advice to the NRCC would be to ditch the race unless Rep. Weller pulls a Shedegg. It was going to be a tough race as the Democratic candidate Debbie Halvorson is a Chicago Machine faviorite and with Obamamania out of control here in the Chicago 'burbs and I would rather see money go to more winable contest.
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Posted at 3:47pm on Feb. 1, 2008 An Educated Guess on how the Delegate Count will look on Feb. 6
By Illinicon
With the Super Tuesday contests four days away I wanted to take a real hard look at what the delegate count might look like when we wake up on Feb.6. So I went and did some delegate math.
Winner Take All States
New York (101 Delegates) McCain
Missouri (58 Delegates) Huckabee
Arizona (53 Delegates) McCain
New Jersey (52 Delegates) McCain
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Posted at 6:58pm on Jan. 29, 2008 After 2 waves of exit polls: McCain leads
By Illinicon
Jim Geraghty over at the Campaign spot on NRO, has released the numbers of the 1st 2 waves of exit polls. They are:
McCain 34.3
Romney 32.6
Giulani 15
Huck 12
These include absentee ballots. According to the AP the top issue was the economy, followed by Terror (40%), Iraq, and immigration all getting under 20% each. Also 80% of voters today were cacaussian, 10% were hispanic (Half Cuban, half not) and the rest were of other ethnic backgrounds.
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Posted at 2:45pm on Jan. 26, 2008 Zogby FL Poll: McCain with narrow lead
By Illinicon
The first Zogby poll of Florida in awhile shows a 2 man race race with Giulani and Huckabee falling. The numbers are:
McCain 31
Romney 28
Giulani 15
Huckabee 10
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The only numbers on demographics Zogby gives out is on gender and they are,
Men:
McCain 33
Romney 27
Giulani 18
Women:
Romney 29
McCain 28
Rudy/Huck 12
Posted in 2008 — Comments (28) / Email this page » / Read More »
Posted at 12:43am on Jan. 26, 2008 Novak's latest column has some interesting news
By Illinicon
Robert Novak's column has some interesting news in it:
* According to Dems close to Obama, the Breck Girl will be the AG in an Obama White House.
* Private polls (which I am assuming are McCain internals) show McCain getting the most Fredheads in FL.
* McConnell is telling the other GOP senators to shut up about earmarks.
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Posted in Miscellanea — Comments (4) / Email this page » / Read More »
Posted at 11:20pm on Jan. 13, 2008 Joint Chiefs Chair calls for Gitmo shutdown
By Illinicon
Admiral Mike Mullen told reporters on his weekend trip to Club Gitmo he would like to see it closed because of the damage the jihad respit has done to our national image. He also told them that the decision is for President Bush and Defense Secertary Gates to make and such a decision on its future will not happen any time soon.
I think in terms of the Presidential campaign this is good news for Fredheads. First of all because in SC he is the pro-Gitmo candidate in the race. McCain has advocated closing Gitmo for awhile now and Huckabee has flipped on the issue. The second reason this helps Fred is because combined with the DC gunlaw ban gives him the chance to run a Sarkozy-type campaign, running to the right of unpopular center-right adminastration. Fred is the unique postion to run this type of campaign because he is the only Pro-Gitmo and Pro-Gun candidate in the Republican field.
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Posted at 9:48pm on Jan. 10, 2008 Why this former Rombot is now a McCainiac
By Illinicon
Over 18 months ago, I made the decision to back Mitt Romney for President of the United States. I did so because I felt he was the best candidate to unite conservatives due to his strong efforts to reduce the deficit and defend marriage from activist courts in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. However, I have decided end my support for the Former Massachusetts Governor to take a seat figuratively on the Straight Talk Express.
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Posted at 6:00pm on Jan. 4, 2008 A New Hampshire bounce for Mitt?
By Illinicon
Real Clear Politics has the numbers for Today's Suffolk University/WHDH tracking poll and they are:
Romney 29
McCain 25
Huckabee13
Giulani 9
Given that Obama is going to steal some independents from McCain and I am sure Rush will go after McCain on Monday and Tuesday signs are looking good for Romney. It also would not surprise me if Huck takes some indies from McCain also. Even if Mitt finishes in 2nd, he will most likely lead the delegate count while also outpacing everyone in the GOP field in money. The fact that MSM wants to write him off so badly is telling because he is the one candidate they fear because he can unite Def, fis, and so cons.