Redstate

I am predicting 218-217 in the House (Dems at 218) and the Senate stays Republican with the Dems only picking up OH, PA, and RI.

House: Republicans lose 13 to 18 seats, Senate four or five seats. And another prediction: it will be some time before we know the final totals and perhaps who holds the majorities due to court challenges.

Obviously, the lower and higher ranges in the House determine who will be in the minority, and I suspect basic legislative gridlock from what appears to be a likely and close outcome.

nothing to back this up - but I think we keep both houses, and Santorum wins.

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Say if ever thou didst find a woman with a constant mind

and so in that spirit, I offer these-

Senate: -3 GOP = 52R, 46D, 2I
House: -12 GOP = 220R, 215D

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Sometimes the hardest thing and the right thing are the same. -The Fray, "All At Once"

Me...

Senate: -5 GOP
House: -20 GOP

Wouldn't be surprised if the House number was a couple lower or up to a dozen higher. Wouldn't be surprised if the Senate ended up with anywhere from 49-53 Repubulicans.

Senate: Dems up 3 (unless Steele pulls a major upset as it looks he might)

House: Dems +12
(upset specials: Joe Negron keeps Mark Foley's old seat.
GOP takes nearly every "toss up" seat.)

"Every time some nitwit college student burns a flag on camera, that's one less idiot who can ever run for public office." - Crank

I think that while we'll lose what we'll lose, we may pick up some, esp in GA. I predict a house of Repub adv by 1-3. Same in senate. We'll lose a few but pick up maybe 1 or so. Senate will be repub adv of 1-3 also

GOP = -3 in Senate. I expect at least one race to literally be stolen by the Dems .. either Missouri or TN.

Losses: Chafee, DeWine, Santorum
Take aways: Steele

************
House:
Losses: 10 to 15 (Negron and Sekula-Gibbs win)
Take aways: Two seats in Georgia

US House: 225D - 210R (D +22 and Hastert resigns as House GOP head before the end of the month)
US Senate: 52R - 46D+2I/D (D +3 - p/u MD, loss OH, PA and two of the following - MT, RI, MO, VA - and we won't know which until Thanksgiving)

MA GOV:
Patrick (D for Dukakis): 56
Healey (R) : 39
Mihos (Unhinged) : 4
Ross (Green/Moonbat) : 1
MA House (160 total) : 145D - 15R (-4 R)
MA Senate (40 total) : 36D - 4R (-2 R)

Let the good times roll!

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"I don't know." -- Helen Thomas, when asked by White House spokesman Scott McClellan, "Are we at war, Helen?"

My spirits rose on Sunday, but they have since come back down. If the Republicans hadn't spotted Democrats so many seats due to scandal or vacancy, I think they would have held onto the House. Unfortunately, the Foley mess crippled the Republican message. I just hope some of the seats lost this year can be regained the next time.

House Democrats +25
Senate Democrats +6

I don't hold out much hope for Allen, Talent, Santorum, and DeWine. I'm a bit more optimistic about Burns and Chafee though. They will probably come up just short as well. Despite the tightening polls, I think the overall momentum is with the Democrats. I definitely hope I'm wrong. In fact, I pray I'm wrong so we can get another Supreme Court justice confirmed.

"We are entering the Mutara Nebula."

Senate to Republicans by +2
House to Donks by -3

New Senate Alignment 58-41, Republican
New Rep. Senators: Steele, Bouchard, Kean

Senate: Republicans hold on with 52 (-3)

(AZ) Kyl defeats Pederson - 54/46
(CT) Lieberman destroys Lamont - 52/39/9
(MD) Steel defeats Cardin - 51/49
(MN) Klobuchar defeats Kennedy - 56/44
(MO) Talent defeats McCaskill - 50/49
(MT) Tester defeats Burns - 52/48
(NJ) Menendez defeats Kean - 53/47 (hope for a miracle)
(OH) Brown defeats DeWine - 55/45
(PA) Casey defeats Santorum - 54/46
(RI) Whitehouse defeats Chafee - 53/47
(TN) Corker defeats Ford - 55/45
(VA) Allen defeats Webb - 51/49
(WA) Cantwell defeats McGavick - 57/43

House: Republicans lose 20 (lose the House)

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

I think the Senate races in Nebraska and Hawaii will be closer than expected. I have long thought the national GOP could a spent a little on these races as a long shot.

My reasons. NE is a red state. Voters may like Ben, but they don't necessarily like Harry Heid et al.

The democratic senator in Hawaii is unpopular and thus worth a long shoot. In 1998, Linda Lingle narrowly lost a race for governor (out of no where), before winning in 2002.

Senate: -1 R
House: -3 R

In short, I'm predicting that the Democratic wave will in fact turn out to be a puddle. We hold both houses of Congress easily.

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Internet member since 1987
Member of the Surreality-Based Community

GOP Held Senate Seats:

MO - Jim Talent hangs on.

MT - Bad weather in eastern Montana lifts Conrad Burns to victory.

OH - DeWine loses to Sharrod Brown. Tony Snow comes back to Ohio to beat Sharrod Brown in 2012.

PA - Santorum loses. Will be the Attorney General in Mitt Romney's Administration in 2008. :-)

RI - I'm hoping and praying that Lincoln Chafee loses. I think he will.

TN - Corker wins handily

VA - George Allen hangs on

GOP Gross Losses: 3

Democrat held Senate Seats:

WA - Bad weather in Seattle and Eastern Washington lifts Mike McGavick to victory.

MI - A rainy day in Detroit along with Mayor Kilpatrick's uncooperativeness in retribution for Gov. Granholm's endorsement of his opponant lifts Michael Bouchard to victory in Michigan.

MD - Black Democrats combine with the GOP vote in MD (both minorities) to form a coalition that lifts Michael Steele over the finish line.

NJ - Tom Kean upsets Bob Menendez

Democrat Gross Losses - 4

NET SENATE CHANGE: GOP +1

The House? Don't ask me. I don't know. Part of me really hopes that the Democrats win by a single seat so that Nancy Pelosi can be in the limelight and really torch the Democrats' chances in 2008.

Plus, there is a rumor that if the GOP loses control of the House, the conservatives might have a leadership revolt and we'd have a new GOP House Minority team comprised of a Minority Leader Mike Pence and a Minority Whip John Shadegg. Now, that's turning a loss into a first-rate victory.

I'd suffer 2 years of Nancy to get a Speaker of the House Mike Pence in 2008, for sure.

Showing a Democrat mocking a Republican about predictions of loss on a Republican blog.

The Dems will retake the House by a margin of five (5) or fewer seats. The only individual race I will predict is the one for Foley's old seat...I think Joe Negron (the GOP "fill in" who the Dems prevented the Secretary of State of even putting his name in the voting booth to explain he, and not Foley, was on the ballot) will win.

The Republicans will retain control of the Senate.

Here's how I see the contested seats breaking...

Current GOP seats:

Kyl (Arizona) (R Hold)
Talent (Missouri) (R Hold)
Burns (Montana) (R Hold)
DeWine (Ohio) (D pickup)
Santorum (PA) (D Pickup)
Chafee (RI) (R Hold)
OPEN (TN) (R Hold [Corker])
Allen (VA) (D Pickup)

Current Dem Seats:

OPEN (MD) (R Pickup [Steele])
OPEN (Minn) (D Hold)
Stabenow (Mich) (D Hold)
Nelson (NEB) (D Hold)
Menendez (NJ) (R Pickup [Kean, Jr.])
OPEN (VT) (D Hold)
Cantwell (WA) (D Hold)
Byrd (WV) (D Hold)

Thus, the Dems will pick up one (1) Senate seat. Even if neither of the "upsets" I have called pan out, the Dems only pick up three (3) Senate seats.

"Everybody needs money! That's why they call it money!"

House 219 Republicans with new congressman Negron and Senate 54 Republicans with new Senator Steele.

Peace through superior fire power:)

I'll predict what will be on the news and what some of the Dem reactions will be.

About 7:01pm EST we'll see "experts" at CNN and some others stating that it appears to be a tidal wave of Democratic victories. The true outcomes can be expected to come out closer to midnight. These could be quite different.

Early in the evening we'll also hear the Dem talking points from the set-up Nancy Pelosi provided yesterday. "All reports we're getting indicate our candidates are winning, but we are highly concerned that voting irregularities will provide false results. We certainly hope the Republicans aren't still involved in the same sort of chicanery we've seen from them in recent elections."

If the Dems get a slight edge in either house of Congress, we'll hear things like: "This is a clear repudiation of the Bush presidency and an overwhelming mandate for the Democratic plan [sic], so we expect to set the agenda these next two years."

If the Dems don't manage to win either house, in addition to saying that there is no mandate for the GOP because they stole the election, they'll also find some obscure reason to declare victory, such as: "Even though it appears we were denied from getting a majority in the House pending judicial review of the tainted districts/states, the voting totals across the country for Democrats exceeded that for Republicans, so it's clear there is a mandate from the country to let us set the agenda for the next two years."

Oh wait, wrong election.......

At best, we keep a slim majority in the House and bigger margin in Senate.

At worst, Dems get slim House majority and Republican Senate majority stays.

After one year of blathering on impeachment, tax increases, immigration amnesty, gay marriage, socialized medicine, Iraq withdrawal and "Sin Tax" on Twinkies from Dem's in House a coup d'etat or second Revolution that will wake George Washington from the grave.

"Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori"

House - D 220, R 215 - Chris Matthews faints from happiness when the 218th seat is won and the Drive By Media has prolonged, visible rapture. Tomorrow it will be Morning In America in the MSM. Pelosi accepts invite to appear on Katie Couric tomorrow, but has to wait in line after being elbowed out by "Ms. President '08", who takes up more face time on the CBS Evening News.

Senate - R 51, D 49

Kyl, Steele, Talent and Corker win. Close, crushing losses in VA, MT. Pundits pontificate ad nauseaum that the 'racist' pro-Corker ad was the turning point in that race. NJ Dem "Get Out the Dead" effort makes Menendez win seem larger than it was. Heroic GOTV efforts in OH, MI and PA fall short, but leave hope for 2008 electoral votes. Santorum acquires a type of heroic status in the conservative movement for his tenacity, character and grace under pressure. He gets a prominent, visible job in the Bush Admin. Allen's fall from grace crushes Movement Conservatives, who begin to take a look at Giuliani, Governor Romney and Governor Sanford for 08.

The big, and most hopeful, story of the night is that Maryland "Green Party" African Americans go into the booth and, with no pollsters or media looking, pull the lever in larger than expected numbers for Steele, who gets appointed to the Judiciary Committee and helps in the successful confirmation of Justice Janice Rogers Brown, replacing JPS.

Network outlets will try to jump start a Democratic bandwagon.

Sincerely,
Bob Miller
Indianapolis, IN

Senate:
52 Republicans, 48 Democrats
Talent, Allen and Burns all hold. Corker wins Tennessee. Steele comes up just short -- in any other year, he would have won.

House:
219 Democrats, 216 Republicans

If Republicans hold the House:
Howard Dean is ousted as DNC Chair.

same as I said last night

228-207 Republican House

52-48 Republican Senate

Even though our state nickname implies a dislike of polls and guesstimations, we will speculate every now and then.

I will go out on a limb and say that, in the great state of Missouri, Claire McCaskill will pick up a new title-Former State Auditor. I look forward to being at Talent HQ as he finds out that the people of Missouri are returning him to the Senate.

Nationally, I see a 3 seat loss in the Senate, with PA (God, I hate saying Senator Casey), OH, RI, and either MT or VA going to the Dems. However, that will be offset by the first African-American Republican Senator since Edward Brooke of MA, that being Michael Steele in MD.

In the House, I see it being far closer, but the R's maintain a 2 to 5 seat majority.

Overall, I see the Kossacks and the Pelosi/Kerry/Murtha crowd devolving further and further, dragging the old, responsible Democratic Party down to a period of irrelevance.

Don't be afraid to see what you see.-Ronald Reagan

For more common sense conservatism, visit the Show Me Conservatism blog.

nm

I feel like I always overestimate Dems, but I'm gonna say Dems pick up 4 in the Senate (including VA) and 20 in the House (8+ open seats).

So I used the userid that came on my GOP daily fax to log into the Diebold web interface for my district, and was able to drag and drop Dem votes into the GOP column, and checked the box next to "minority disenfranchisement", but I can't remember how to save changes. I thought it was Ctrl+F7, but it's not working. Can I get some help here?

The GOP will retain control of both houses.

Senate -

Dems pick up three seats -- Pennsylvania, Ohio and Virginia. Of these only Virginia could have been held in this cycle.

Reps pick up one seat - Maryland. With a better selection of candidates, at least Nebraska and Florida could have been pickups.

Net loss 2 Rep

House - R 220, D 215

Just returned from voting in DC. Turnout light. But then the election is pretty much ratifying the Dem primary results.

The most interesting races are in Maryland and Virginia Senate . Winning as a Republican in a blue state and a Democrat in a red state, Steele and Webb will be hot prospects in their respective parties. I think the Reps will be a whole lot happier with Steele than Dems will with Webb.

Steele will be the Republican Barack Obama. Webb will be the Democratic John McCain.

...any GOP surge has been too little, too late.

-25 in the House.

-5 in the Senate.

The only hope is in the Senate if somehow Steele pulls the Upset.

I haven't been paying loads of attention this year. Judging from the last few months, though, I'm expecting that the Dems take the House, but are still barred from the Senate majority. Not sure by how much. Not certain my own Rep, Northup, holds her seat (I'm thinking she wins reelection, but it's hard to say).

On the off-chance that the Democrats fail to take either chamber of Congress, I expect much recrimination, but little of it directed inward (where it ought to be). They've managed to completely miss out on introspection for the last twelve years, I don't see why they'd start now. Expect more and louder hue and cry about stolen elections, Republican vote-tampering and corruption, et cetera and so forth.

The only prediction I can make with great confidence is that I won't be paying any attention to the coverage until tomorrow morning.

Well, I should be the winner for simply being the one to state that Steele is not going to win. And very few volunteers worked as hard as I did for him.

Senate:
GOP- 51 Seats
Dem/Indy- 49

Dems gain 21 seats in House.

What do I get as my prize for being most accurate?

United States Air Force
Cross Into the Blue

I predict Democrats will pick up 14-16 seats in the House. Even if they do get a majority, Pelosi isn't the speaker because a few conservative dems refuse to vote for her.

The Senate is more interesting. I think Chaffe hangs on (similar to Specter in 04), I think we keep Talent, Burns, Allen, pick up Steele, lose Santorum, De Wine. Obviously hold TN and AZ. So I think the net loss is 1 seat. I can't see it being higher than 4 though. NJ probably won't be in our favor but I will be happy if it is!

In the Senate, Cardin wins and we lose Burns, Santorum, DeWine, Allen, Talent, and Chafee. 49 R 49 D 2 "I"

In the House, I won't itemize, but we'll lose 23-25.

And I'll go on record saying that this will help us possibly get a new GOP president in 2008. Long view.

Disclaimer: Works for Alan Schlesinger (R-CT). Volunteer, no pay.

I think we'll see a confusing night. We'll see races that we thought were going one way go the other. Seats on both parties that we thought would be close, end up in blowouts.

Senate - Dems pick up 2 to 3
I think Webb will win for some reason while Burns pulls it off in Montana. McCaskill/Talent literally feels like a coin flip. I think how close all these races will be will be the story of the night.

House - Dems pick up 23
Not very optimistic of the House while looking through the polls. To keep a majority, things would really need to break GOP and I just think that it being a 6th year and the high disapproval numbers for both congress and the President, this could be a rough go.

Big Prediction of the Night
I really think we'll see some seats on both ends that no one even thought about go the other way. The media (and political junkies) have really seemed to only focus on select races while almost completely forgetting the other 350 some odd races. With little national attention, these come down to local issues, and I just think we'll see some odd things go down in the so-called "safe" races on both sides.