Speaking of Polls
By Erick Posted in 2006 — Comments (11) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Be sure to read both Pat Hynes and Jim Geraghty.
The generic ballot, which we have been ignoring, all of a sudden has the GOP within 6 points of the Democrats. To put this in perspective, the week before the 1994 election the GOP was down 5 points, according to the Washington Post/ABC Poll.
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Speaking of Polls 11 Comments (0 topical, 11 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
while I will admit the AWB ticked some people off, I seem to remember a lot of outrage over the congress writing themselves endless bad checks at the congressional bank...something that the average citizen could relate to if they have even had a check of their own come back for NSF!
Then there was the congressional post office scandal...seems like a lot of were equally ticked off that they could just post anything they wanted to at our expense...even campaign stuff guaranteed to keep their sorry a**es in office.
Maybe that was the straw that broke YOUR back, but I seem to remember a number of issues that rankled the public!
The single issue in 1994 was gun control, years later Bill Clinton, I think right before the 1996 election, in one of his more sane moments said the "NRA had cost him 60 seats in the House because of the AW ban" and he wasn't going to touch gun control again.
I went to the 1994 rallies, helped with the fund raising for zillions of RADIO ADS and we pulled it off. The Democrats were stunned, they thought that the AW ban would be a big election winner for them, which is why they held the vote on passage until September 1994. Big mistake. As with most things Democrat they plan in the Washington bubble, not the real world.
Why was Foley a big target, the AW bill had failed in regular order, the speaker stood there at the House podium and held the vote open for near two hours while the Democrats broke fingers to get the additional two votes to pass the bill. And for that he was de-Foleyated. Heck I still have some of the flyers we handed out at gun show meetings to raise money.
Foley was the first sitting speaker to fail in re-election since the civil war.
Sure there were other issues, but the engine that drove the process was the NRA and the AW ban of 1994.
That is what is missing in 2006, there is no single issue that is galvanizing the public, driving the process. The Democrats have tried to make that issue the Iraq war, but every time they do, they trip over the terrorists and the thousands of dead countrymen who fell in New York City on 9/11.
I say again, the voters I knew had no clue in 1994 about the rest of it -- Contract with America, that was just Newt poaching what was about to happen, he saw it coming and rushed out in front.
So just vote, lets kick some A and stick it to the hate filled media and their traveling companions in the Democrat party.
Proud former member of the angry white guys brigade, now transferred to the vast right wing conspiracy
In 1994 we had the post-Civil War sectional alignment ready to end. And on top of that, the Democrats gave us plenty to run on. Democratic Congressional scandals, guns, midnight basketball, the 'middle class tax cut' that turned into a tax hike, and Hillarycare come to mind.
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If you're seeing shades of gray, it's because you're not looking close enough to see the black and white dots.
Hynes wants Cook, Rothenberg, and Zogby put in the stocks, and rightly so (I'll be the guy handing out the tomatos in the town square). But while I like a good Zogby-bashing as much as anyone, he actualy looks good in comparison this year.
Erick, are you hearing the same things that Pat Hynes is reporting? His site is new to me, but he's apparently plugged into the situation.
but GC doesn't know how. Please school GC!
link to pic at my personal website
http://gamecock.townhall.com and www.race42008.com
"The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they're ignorant; it's just that they know so much that isn't so." - Ronald Reagan
I'm with you GC. We now have two RedState Experiences. I haven't even figured out how to do links now that my little bracket things don't work. And here is Steven Foley with his whale pictures, YouTube videos (which I couldn't even watch until ConservativeD schooled me a week or so ago) and the classic LooneyDems picture (I would link to it and show you if I knew how.) Not to mention those hilarious doctored pictures.
After this election is over, we're going to have a thread on all those helpful little hints. Remember on the old site where the guys with the tricks showed the rest of us how to play? We're gonna make 'em do it again.
I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.
These four generic polls tell dramatically different stories.
ABC News/Wash Post 11/01 - 11/04 LV 45 51 Dems +6.0
Pew Research 11/01 - 11/04 LV 43 47 Dems +4.0
Newsweek 11/02 - 11/03 838 LV 38 54 Dems +16.0
Time 11/01 - 11/03 679 LV 40 55 Dems +15.0
Looking at the internals of the ABC news poll this morning I believed that it was overpolling Republicans
whereas the other two were over-polling democrats. The Pew poll
suggests the ABC new poll may be closer to the mark. Time and Newsweek's polling may be as high quality as thier copy.
Does anyone recall what actually happened in 1994? Do they realize there is a missing ingredient in the 2006 election? Yes there is a big missing ingredient, the elephant in the room. In 1994 there was an event so large in scope that voters turned out in droves to vote Democrats out. It was so huge that even the Speaker fell to it's wrath. Remember him, Foley, remember de-Foleate? Why did that happen? You think the media will tell you, no way, never.
... Why yes I do recall something about that -- Hah, I was there. We de-Foleyated the Congress on one issue and one issue alone. I recall making up radio ads, on my Mac, playing them for co-conspirators and then airing them in Foley's district. It was a revenge fight. I was in CA, not even in Washington.
The rage was real, and it could only be quenched with total defeat of Democrats. Revenge for what? That would be the trigger, the focus of the rage -- The passage of the hated Assault Weapons ban of 1994 -- It happened in September right before the election. Ahh maybe it is coming back. Yes, that was the fight that spread across the land, drove voters to the polls and stole the Congress from the Democrats.
Newt Gingrich, contract with America, what was that, we never had a clue about that. It was one issue and one issue only that caused 1994. How do I know, Bill Clinton said that the NRA had cost the Democrats about 60 seats in 1994 because of the AW ban. Have you counted the people at a recent anti-war rally? You should have seen the hoards at the gun shows in 1994 -- overflow capacity and everyone knew what had to be done.
Ahh, now you remember -- Me, I was one of the proud angry white guys.