WaPo to GOP: You Are Doomed
Security Moms Flee, But It's Unclear Where
By Erick Posted in 2006 — Comments (3) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
According to Jim VandeHei, "security moms" are more likely to leave the GOP than not in this election year.
Married women with children, the "security moms" whose concerns about terrorism made them an essential part of Republican victories in 2002 and 2004, are taking flight from GOP politicians this year in ways that appear likely to provide a major boost for Democrats in the midterm elections, according to polls and interviews.
This critical group of swing voters -- who are an especially significant factor in many of the most competitive suburban districts on which control of Congress will hinge -- is more inclined to vote Democratic than at any point since Sept. 11, 2001, according to data compiled for The Washington Post by the Pew Research Center.
The War in Iraq, that the Bush Administration increasingly seems disengaged from, is one of the key reasons. Gasoline prices are another reason, though I am at a loss as to what these moms really think that has to do with security (I bet it's more a pocketbook issue).
Interestingly, VandeHei also says . . .
Married mothers said in interviews here that they remain concerned about national security and the ability of Democrats to keep them safe from terrorist strikes. But surveys indicate Republicans are not benefiting from this phenomenon as they have before.
I suspect that gives the GOP an opening. A Carter appointed judge, with an ACLU backed lawsuit, said the wiretapping program, which has helped prevent terrorist attacks, is unconstitutional. The Democrats, in the midst of a foiled terrorist attack, are screaming about the President politicizing the foiled attacks while at the same time trying to politicize the situation.
"Security Moms" may be turning cold toward Republicans, but I suspect at the end of the day they are not going to want to pass off the job of keeping their kids safe to a party that has surrender as it's official policy.
The War in Iraq is hurting the GOP right now. There is no doubt in my mind about that. But I suspect that should the administration get tougher than it has been, as opposed to bringing troops home, people will feel better. I also wonder how completely valid the Washington Post's story is. It reads to me like another run of the mill "Republicans are doomed" story -- just like we read in 2002 and 2004.