WaPo to GOP: You Are Doomed

Security Moms Flee, But It's Unclear Where

By Erick Posted in Comments (3) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

According to Jim VandeHei, "security moms" are more likely to leave the GOP than not in this election year.

Married women with children, the "security moms" whose concerns about terrorism made them an essential part of Republican victories in 2002 and 2004, are taking flight from GOP politicians this year in ways that appear likely to provide a major boost for Democrats in the midterm elections, according to polls and interviews.

This critical group of swing voters -- who are an especially significant factor in many of the most competitive suburban districts on which control of Congress will hinge -- is more inclined to vote Democratic than at any point since Sept. 11, 2001, according to data compiled for The Washington Post by the Pew Research Center.

The War in Iraq, that the Bush Administration increasingly seems disengaged from, is one of the key reasons. Gasoline prices are another reason, though I am at a loss as to what these moms really think that has to do with security (I bet it's more a pocketbook issue).

Interestingly, VandeHei also says . . .

Married mothers said in interviews here that they remain concerned about national security and the ability of Democrats to keep them safe from terrorist strikes. But surveys indicate Republicans are not benefiting from this phenomenon as they have before.

I suspect that gives the GOP an opening. A Carter appointed judge, with an ACLU backed lawsuit, said the wiretapping program, which has helped prevent terrorist attacks, is unconstitutional. The Democrats, in the midst of a foiled terrorist attack, are screaming about the President politicizing the foiled attacks while at the same time trying to politicize the situation.

"Security Moms" may be turning cold toward Republicans, but I suspect at the end of the day they are not going to want to pass off the job of keeping their kids safe to a party that has surrender as it's official policy.

The War in Iraq is hurting the GOP right now. There is no doubt in my mind about that. But I suspect that should the administration get tougher than it has been, as opposed to bringing troops home, people will feel better. I also wonder how completely valid the Washington Post's story is. It reads to me like another run of the mill "Republicans are doomed" story -- just like we read in 2002 and 2004.

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WaPo to GOP: You Are Doomed 3 Comments (0 topical, 3 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

won't want Ned Lamont and Jack Murtha making security decisions regardless of the cost of gas. As the election date gets closer, they'll start analyzing instead of emoting, and so long as Republicans don't go all wobbly (so there is little difference between them and their "Surrender now!" opponents), they can win in November. Of course, Bush's support for the cease fire in Isreal absent an overwhelming victory over Hezbollah won't help on that count.

but... by MF

I agree that what you state above SHOULD happen, but disagree that it WILL happen. Sadly, a high percentage of voters don't put much of an effort into their decisions. They frequently go by what they hear on the nightly news (which we all know is hopelessly skewed).

Also, I don't think Bush's ill-advised support for the cease-fire will have any effect at all. In fact, to most people, the cease-fire was a good thing. After all, it sure _sounds_ good that the mini-war there has come to an end.

The reality is that most people are sadly ill-informed and completely misled.

"Republicans are Doomed" articles are highly popular in the Washington Post's local market. We can expect more of them, right up until election day. Then they'll tell the local gubment workers that it's "too close to call."

The Post's readers are used to this. They know it's BS, but it's fun to read anyway.

Drink Good Coffee. You can sleep when you're dead.

 
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