At The Risk Of Repeating Myself . . .
By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in 2008 | Barack Obama | John McCain — Comments (5) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
This may be a closer race than many people believe it will be:
Illinois Senator Barack Obama enters the General Election with a tight lead, 43% to 38%, over Arizona Senator John McCain, according to a new TIME Magazine poll of likely voters. The poll shows Obama gaining only a slight bounce from Hillary Clinton's departure from the campaign early this month.
When undecided voters leaning towards Obama and McCain are accounted for, the race narrows to 47% to 43%, barely above the poll's 3.5% margin of error. Thirty percent of those who remain undecided said they lean towards McCain, 20% said they were leaning toward Obama with 46% citing no preference. Overall, 28% said they could still change their minds in the four months left before the November election.
Check out the following paragraph:
After five months of bruising primaries, Obama's lead now is narrower than the one he held over McCain in TIME's poll this past February: 48% to 41%, including leaners. The bright spot for Obama is with Latino voters, a group he overwhelmingly lost to Clinton in the primaries, but now leads 51% to 34% over McCain. Among Catholics, another group Obama struggled with in Democratic primaries, McCain leads Obama 57% to 43%.
As RedState Brother Adam pointed out in an e-mail, if McCain is getting that high a percentage of Latino voters, Obama may well be in serious trouble.
Read on . . .
Also, take a look at this:
McCain, a highly decorated Vietnam veteran, edged out Obama on national security issues. When asked who "would best protect the U.S. against terrorism," 53% of respondents chose McCain to just 33% for Obama. And nearly half, 48% to Obama's 38%, trusted McCain to handle the war in Iraq, though 57% said they believed the U.S. was wrong to invade Iraq and 56% said they would like to see the troops brought home within the next two years.
The poll, conducted at the end of the second week of Obama's economic tour, found that 44% of people preferred Obama be entrusted with the the economy to McCain's 37%, and 46% said Obama would do a better job at tackling special interest groups compared to 31% for McCain. More than two-thirds, or 68%, felt the economy was getting worse with 27% believing it is holding steady. Only 4% said the economy is improving.
So McCain clearly leads on national security issues despite the public's preference for Obama's positions. And McCain is only down 7 points on the economic question. Maybe at some point, this race will be cracked wide open in Obama's favor, but notwithstanding some outlying polls, we certainly have not seen evidence of that taking place.
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At The Risk Of Repeating Myself . . . 5 Comments (0 topical, 5 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
is too hard core for this country....and the polls bear it out....this "change" agent should be kicking McCain's tail by 15-20 points at this point BUT he is not and he will not.
Freedom of Religion NOT Freedom from Religion
Then Obama is indeed in trouble. At this point in the polls, both Kerry and Dukakis enjoyed very comfortable leads. The general voting public tends to think "let's give the new guys a chance" during the summer. When fall rolls around they start thinking "hmmm, I need to think a little more carefully about this vote".
McCain can indeed win this, but he does have to run a competent campaign. Obama has given him more than enough ammunition to win the battle, he just needs to be willing to use it.
"If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country."
And let's not forget that since the end of the primary, Obama has largely gotten a free ride, with no real criticism of him or his record. (Hillary was doing it before.) Very soon, the general election campaign will start, and the McCain campaign and the RNC will start making their case.
If McCain is really down only 51 to 34% among hispanics, this could be a huge problem for Obama. Bush probably got 40% of that vote, which is very doable based on this poll.
Barack Obama is often seen as a man of change. On Obama's Senate website, a move to enforce the destruction of Constitutional Rights of Americans is on the table along with the support of Democratic buddies in the House and Senate. What a shock to discover the truth!
http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-40342