Did the media fail to disclose key details in the polling story & mulling over my "Crazy" theory
By Erick Posted in 2008 — Comments (59) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Here's an added wrinkle in this whole phone call issue. From the Salt Lake Tribune, we have this:
Rose Kramer, a Romney supporter in Dubuque, Iowa, received a call on Tuesday evening that she said made her "very upset."
"After phone call, I told my husband I was infuriated," Kramer said. "I don't know where it's coming from but it's just not called for at all. I just don't like it at all."
Marshan Roth, of Fairfield, Iowa, got a call on Wednesday night. It started out like a regular poll, she says, but then asked positive questions about McCain and delved into disparaging things about Romney.
You'll never get this from any of the coverage, but given the uncommonness of Marshan Roth's name, I wonder if it is the same Marshan Roth who gets paid $500 a month by the Romney campaign.
Likewise, is Rose Kramer the same Rose Kramer that gets $1,000 a month from the Romney campaign?
Now, let me throw out a new theory that I've been mulling over since talking to a friend this morning.
Gage and Target Point have denied doing push polling. These calls lasted about 20 minutes according to the people who have been interviewed about them. What if these weren't push polls, but actual polling by a campaign? And the people who ran to the press were hypersensitive to the issue because they're already supporting Romney (and paid by the campaign?).
Let's get directly to my theory, which I admit is a bit off the wall. What if a campaign conducted a legitimate poll (push polls don't last 20 minutes), asked about the Mormon issues in the polling, and Romney supporters who happened to get the call ran to the media screaming about them being push polls.
Now, and here's the wild speculation on my part, what if legitimate polling was being done by the Romney campaign or a third party group or a Democrat who really doesn't care, to find out why the Romney campaign has reached an apparent ceiling in Iowa and New Hampshire and, out of an abundance of caution, wanted to see if "the Mormon factor" is actually having an impact? Because of the nature of the questions, some Mitt supporters thought they were being push polled, and the whole thing blew up.
A wild theory, I admit, but when you consider the length of time these calls lasted, they do seem to be extremely extensive to be a real push poll, which are usually as fast as they are dirty.