Elections Are Over When People Have Cast Their Votes . . .
By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in 2008 | Democrats | Party Identification | Republicans — Comments (7) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
And people may not cast their votes the way conventional wisdom seems to think they will:
The number of Americans who consider themselves to be Republicans jumped nearly two percentage points in December to 34.2%. That's the largest market share for the Republican brand in nearly two years, since January 2006 (see history from January 2004 to present).
Read on . . .
At the same time, the number of Democrats fell to 36.3%. That's down a point compared to a month ago. During 2007, the number of Democrats has ranged from a low of 35.9% in July to a high of 37.8% in February.
These results are based upon tracking surveys of 15,000 adults per month. The margin of sampling error is less than one percentage point, with a 95% level of confidence. Please keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not Likely Voters.
Back in May, the Republicans fell to their lowest level of party identification of the past four years (30.8%). Then, the immigration debate raged in Congress and some Republican legislators helped defeat an unpopular Senate immigration bill. Republicans have gained ground in five of the seven months since then. But, the gains in December--1.7 percentage points--matched the total gains for the previous six months combined.
The December gains for the GOP coincide with increased public confidence in the War on Terror. It's interesting to note that this did not improve President Bush's Job Approval ratings while helping the Republican Party overall.
The gap between the parties now shows a 2.1 percentage point advantage for the Democrats. That's the smallest advantage for the Democrats since January 2006. It represents a dramatic change from the previous five months when the gap favored Democrats by a margin between 4.5 and 4.9 percentage points each and every month.
You know all that talk about how 2008 is foreordained to be a Democratic year? Well, that may not necessarily be the case. By the way, is it possible that this could be a related factor?
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Elections Are Over When People Have Cast Their Votes . . . 7 Comments (0 topical, 7 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
Am I the only one who has read story after story over the years about the "death" of the republican party & the conservative movement over the years? I was 14 when Reagan took office, & have heard that story over & over & over again. I guess some are trying to speak it into being?
What the republican party - & especially the individual candidates need to do - is "get on back to where they belong." This is with the core conservatism of us - the base. This wins elections because it gives something positive & different from the democrat left, & something that voters can vote for & those of us in the base can energetically support. My local State Rep. in Tennessee, Phillip Johnson, gets this & in turn gets me talking to people on the phone & door to door to door.
Message to the republican leadership & any candidate that may read this: Give us the right thing to vote for! It may not win every time against an entrenched incumbent; however, it will get people on your side ready to expend the time, energy, & money needed to run the race! Core conservatism wins.
When the votes were counted. Then came 2000.
No matter what the case we still would have to fight it out till the end. Hopefully not the way Gore did.
______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
Yeah... remember when losers didn't sue to reverse the results? Between that wonderful new precedent and the global warming nonsense, Gore has sure been bareknuckling our society for the last decade. What a weirdo.
His day's coming, though... even the New York Times is now calling his claim to Nobel fame crap. Not impossible that by the next time we turn over a new year, his herculean efforts to become a universal laughingstock will finally pay off.
...having moved away from being a self-identified Republican and preferring to identify as a conservative libertarian. Sadly, there seems to be a difference.
"No matter how much lipstick you put on the taxation pig, it's still a pig... and it's currently snout-down in your wallet." - Michael Fisk
I wonder how his campaign back then compares to the campaigns we see today?
www.scottbomb.com
Click here to donate to the Fred Thompson campaign.
I don't know about anyone else, but I switched registration from independent to republican last month so I could vote against Johnny-boy McCain in the Arizona primary.