House 08: Republican Challengers Step Up

In Praise of Tom Cole's NRCC

By Adam C Posted in Comments (14) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Despite the hostile environment that will supposedly drown all Republicans in 2008, the NRCC is getting some good recruits in districts that lean Republican. Keeping in mind that 2008 is a) a Presidential election year and b) not going to have Bush on a ballot, here are some races to watch with new R challengers. If you want to help the GOP, find one you think would be a great Congressmen and help them win:

IN-08 (Bush 62%): Freshman Dem Ellsworth will face a challenge from former Rep. Kerns (R-IN) Chief of Staff Greg Goode (R). Follow this race at Paint The 8th Red.

TX-23 (Bush 64%*): Quico Conseco (R) is raising money and putting his own on the line against freshman Dem Rodriguez. This south Texas district saw anti-comprehensive immigration reform Republican Bonilla lose to a liberal Democrat. Rodriguez is far to the left of the district's makeup and Conseco looks to be a good challenger.

KS-03 (Bush 55%): Incumbent Dem Moore has won in this lean R district for several election cycles. The KS GOP has had a bad split between business moderates and social conservatives and ill will during primaries has helped allow the KS DEMs to win elections in R leaning areas. However, the entrance of state senator Nick Jordan (R) seems likely to unify the two wings of the state party and thus present a serious challenge to Moore. Follow the race at Stay Red Kansas.

GA-08 (Bush 73%*): Rep. Marshall (D) barely won in 2006 despite the anti-GOP sentiment. Although ex-Rep. Collins (R) is considering another try at the seat, national Rs are pushing retired Air Force Major General Rich Goddard (R). Check out his site at Goddard For Congress.

Other challengers are set for freshman Democrats in NY-20 (ex-NY GOP Chair Treadwell, Bush 53%), FL-16 (Tom Rooney, Bush 55%), and CT-05 (David Capiello, Bush 49%) among others.

Also the NRCC is placing a radio ad to point out the ethical misconduct as well as votes giving illegal immigrants healthcare benefits, cutting Medicare and raising taxes in the following districts: Rep. Chris Murphy (D-CT 05), Zack Space (D-OH 18), Paul Kanjorski (D-PA 11), John Murtha (D-PA 12) and Alan Mollohan (D-WV 01).

While the NRSC hasn't got its top recruits so far (neither has the DSCC), the NRCC under Rep. Cole is doing well in recruiting and targeting. After 2006, there are a lot of good targets for Republicans and making sure strong challengers step up is Cole's #1 responsibility.

*This district's boundaries changed and is more Democratic than in 2004.

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House 08: Republican Challengers Step Up 14 Comments (0 topical, 14 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

Also, the NRCC blog is a good starting point for following the important races of 2008 in the House.
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Bobby Jindal Saves Louisiana

It's good to get the early idea for where the battlegrounds will be next year.

A few other recruits the NRCC has landed off the top of my head... Looks like Steve Greenberg, a wealthy businessman from the Chicago suburbs will be taking on Melissa Bean in IL-8. John Gard is looking at taking on Rep. Kagen in WI-8.

Be good to see Redstate flex it's muscles in the electoral direction in the months ahead.

"My heart was here...I feel like I have unfinished business here." - Roy Hibbert

These are some good candidates, but Chairman Cole needs to keep his pledge to stay out of primaries. His PAC has contributed to Goddard even though Collins is still considering a bid. It's fair game for other people to get behind Goddard (no surprise, I'm backing Collins), but Cole said that he'd stay out of primaries, and he needs to keep his word.

www.republicansenate.org

There's a difference between Cole giving money to a candidate and the NRCC endorsing them. Voters don't give a darn who Cole has given money to, and so long as special favors aren't given/withheld by the NRCC (research etc.) to one of the candidates, then he's not messing up anything.

"My heart was here...I feel like I have unfinished business here." - Roy Hibbert

I continue to be proven wrong on this issue, and continue to fight it, probably because I have no problem with the committee backing what it perceives to be the stronger candidate.

My biggest problem so far with the various committees is the buttkicking we're receiving at the hands of the Democrats on the fundraising front.

"My heart was here...I feel like I have unfinished business here." - Roy Hibbert

Is there any word about whether Rob Simmons will try to get his seat back in CT-2 (eastern Connecticut) where he lost by less than 200 votes in '06?

I also received a fund-raising flyer from a Dr. Deborah Honeycutt, a Republican candidate against a Democrat Rep. David Scott in Georgia, who is reportedly accused of paying family members out of campaign funds. Does anyone here know whether Dr. Honeycutt has a chance in this district, or would this be a lost cause?

The bad news: Conservatism is hard to sell. The good news is that it works.

Got 64% of the vote in Bobby Scott's district in 2004. I'm not sure how much the district changed in redistricting. I don't think it's going to be a targeted race though.

As far as Simmons goes, I was under the impression he wasn't going to try and retake his seat. It was a bad seat for Republicans to begin with...Kerry had 54% of the vote there in 2004.

"My heart was here...I feel like I have unfinished business here." - Roy Hibbert

Even in another bad Republican year (which 2008 may well be) with Hillary! on the ballot, these district will be dangerous for Democrats.

BTW, according to the latest Politics in America, Texas-23 went 57-43 Bush/Kerry. When one considers that Bush has an unusual amount of residual goodwill as a popular Governor, and that the state as a whole went 61% for Bush in '04, I'm not sure how heavily Republican the district really is.

http://www.myelectionanalysis.com

That is the one race where coming out against 'comprehensive'(i.e. amnesty + huge increases in permanent legal immigration) immigration reform probably did prove decisive in a Democrat victory. Pretty much all of the other oft-cited examples are cases where liberal-on-immigration conservatives like Fred Barnes tried to mislead Republicans on what actually happened.

....I know that TX-23 has a very large Hispanic population, and there are probably a good number of illegal immigrants, but.....illegal immigrations can't vote, and why would LEGAL immigrants/Hispanics who are either natural born citizens or earned their citizenship be in favor of amnesty?

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

...we don't do a good-enough job of selling it as being for the good of all Texans, regardless of ethnic group.

It would be easier to sell Hispanics on the GOP if the overall level of immigration were much lower. High immigration plays into the Democrats hands.

Some legal Hispanic immigrants are no doubt offended by pushes for amnesty. Some are no doubt indifferent and base their vote entirely on other issues. Some, however, will respond to the Left's demagoguery of the issue and buy into the false charges of xenophobia/racism/anti-immigrant leveled at Republicans. With Bonilla, I wouldn't be surprised if he were accused of being a traitor to his ethnicity.

This is the dilemma for Republicans; they can either accept a 'path to citizenship' for illegals and unending mass legal immigration and thus face near certain demographic doom as they engage in a futile attempt to win over ever-growing immigrant communities; or they can try to implement conservative immigration reform, in which case they will still face a daunting demographic challenge over the long-run, and will lose a significant amount of latino (and Asian too I would expect) support now as a result of the inevitable demagoguery.

That's what we get for allowing for decades an immigration policy -- legal and illegal -- that seems as if it were designed to import a Democratic majority and destroy the GOP.

 
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