Just How Bad Is It For Republicans?

By Erick Posted in Comments (18) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Jeanne Shaheen, the former Democratic Governor of New Hampshire, is thinking about running against Senator Sununu. She's been dragging her feet, despite being ahead of Sununu in the polls.

Her primary opponents have begun hitting her on YouTube with video clips of her old statements.

What does this have to do with Republicans being bad off next year? Well, the Shaheen clips have her saying things that sound very Republican, which Pat Hynes points out is a real indicator of how bad off the GOP is in New Hampshire.

You can see the clips here.


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Just How Bad Is It For Republicans? 18 Comments (0 topical, 18 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

...but even if Shaheen says some relatively conservative stuff (which she seems to be getting some blowback from), I'd rather take Sununu. A "conservative Democrat" remains conservative only until they end up in Washington, it seems like.

That being said, it's rare that a Democrat can legitimately run to the right of a Republican... if she somehow overcame the odds and won the Democrat nomination, this could get interesting.

"I don't understand why the same newspaper commentators who bemoan the terrible education given to poor people are always so eager to have those poor people get out and vote." - P.J. O'Rourke

2008 was the price to be paid for getting a 55 seat majority in 2002: we have to DEFEND those seats now.

But please don't spend the next year and a half telling us gloom and doom, it really doesn't accomplish anything does it?

Hooray!

We actually went from a 50-49-1 minority to a 52-47-1 majority, so it was only 3 seats. We'll have more seats up obviously, but it's not the overwhelming margin that 55 would be.

Vos can't ledo astrum si vos intentio pro clouds

Formerly known as ShowMeConservatism. For more common sense conservatism, visit the Show Me Conservatism blog.

And feel free to parse that statement any way you want to.

It's war -- so when can we start shooting back at the enemy Democrats?

so early in the day.

....next to Oregon. What does that statement above mean "sounding very Republican"?

Anyway, if Sununu goes down it will be due to collateral damage from Bush. The electoral landscape could look completely different in 2008. No doubt, the Senate will be tough, but I'm not a doom and gloomer who thinks all is lost by any means. I feel quite good about the House and the Presidency.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

...would imply that Sununu is close enough to Bush to get hit.

"I don't understand why the same newspaper commentators who bemoan the terrible education given to poor people are always so eager to have those poor people get out and vote." - P.J. O'Rourke

has not said anything important since she lost to Sununu in 2002. I Served in the NH House and Senate her whole term. Is she a threat to Sununu - I doubt it.

He was damaged in the 2002 race by former Sen. Bob Smith who he ousted in the primary. Smith and his supporters refused to back off and refused to support John in the general. Smith now lives in FL and his supporters got over it (Smith's picture which used to grace the GOP HQ in Concord) was relegated to a basement storage area over that incident.

The problems that the state GOP has boil down to the leadership of the party. They lost the legislature last fall by not finding a viable candidate for Governor, not supporting the one that did run and not energizing the base. The Dems got energized by the national efforts, the current Gov. and a now changed law on straight ticket voting allowed Dems to take over.

The rank and file GOP need to be enrgized. The actions of the Dems in congress and in the state legislature should help energize the base. Having a presdiential and senate race to top the ticket should ensure a large turnout, the registrations of GOP vs Dem still favors GOP. There are a lot of undeclared voters(independents) but the majority of them, when they bother to vote, usually swing GOP.

Taxes - especially any threat of a state income tax - usually energize the NH voters. No governor - including Shaheen and current Gov. Lynch - has won since the 70's without signing the no income tax pledge. The Dems have maneuvered the state budget and education funding to the point where an income tax may be the only answer.

RobBoyce

I always thought of it as fiercely independent and perhaps libertarian, whereas I thought of VT as the haven for socialists. Is NH getting filled up with rich white liberals from MA who moved there to get lower taxes but then push for state welfare galore like they had gotten used to?

I never understood the "importance" of one tiny state in the NE with a population smaller than the top 10 largest cities in the country. This goes for that big corn field called Iowa as well. I really don't think the average voter sits in front of the TV on election night waiting to see how NH and SD vote in order to decide on who he/she will vote for.

www.scottbomb.com
Click here to donate to the Fred Thompson campaign.

and all those people that complain about taxachusetts move up to NH where they do not have an income tax or sales tax and they vote for democrats. NH was a R state but now its a toss up. If you look at the votes for kerry in '04 by city/town, all the blue area's were on the border of MA and VT. The larger population base in NH is in the south. And because NH is a small state, it doesn't take that many people to start to make a change in the voting.

The main problem as noted in an earlier post is that the party has not put up good candidates for Gov. in close to 10 years. NH has gov. elections every two years, so when they have a much better candidate, their base is motivated and they turn out.

And I'm truly sorry for those Live Free or Die NHers. They must feel like a duck in an alligator filled swamp.

I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.

Cannot be cleaned up from across the aisle. As Jesus famously pointed out:

Why do you look at the speck of sawdust in your brother's eye and pay no attention to the plank in your own eye? How can you say to your brother, 'Let me take the speck out of your eye,' when all the time there is a plank in your own eye? You hypocrite, first take the plank out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to remove the speck from your brother's eye."

--
We would also like to know your advice for somebody like my daughter, who's going to graduate in two years, advice that you would give a young person.

SEC. RUMSFELD: Advice for a young person. Study history.

The worse thing you can do to a lib/dem is quote their own words back to them. If you have the video it's even a worse crime.

The last thing they want is for the public to be educated on where they really stand on the issues. '06 wasn't won on issues - it was all "hate Bush". I think now the voters are experiencing buyer's remorse. We need to capitalize on that.

www.scottbomb.com
Click here to donate to the Fred Thompson campaign.

For the life of me I don't know what is in New England water! Who can figure the politics of people who not only hide Ted Kennedy's culpability in the killing of Mary Jo Kolpechne, but continue to elect the perp to the Senate for the past 30-some odd years? He along with John Kerry and the Socialist Bernie Sanders are the result of the proud people of Massachusetts. Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Rhode Island are cut from the same cloth. Clearly there isn't enough racial, ethnic, and sociological "Diversity" up there yet. They will learn that neo-consservatives are liberals who have been recently mugged!

I'd define a Neoconservative as a liberal who can do math, and so can see the twin failures of the New Deal and the Great Society.

Hooray!

We need a Gingrich Contract with America II, Winning the Future. Newt has been calling for any Rep candidate to use the platform. A solid real commitment with plenty of sunshine and disclosure. People are tired of campaign lies not fulfilled and cover-up CYA games from Washington. Political stunts does nothing for America.

It has to be fairly simple and measurable. It has to be easily tracked in its progress on the net.

Give the people what we want. When we are deceived we go back to our regular lives making a living until things get bad enough to act. Then we'll clean house. Until then the other side wins by default by us not showing up.

It's really quite simple to accomplish. However, the will to do it is lacking.

Ask not what you can do for your country, ask what your country can do for you. Washington Elected Elite

 
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