McCain Catches Obama
By California Yankee Posted in 2008 | Barack Obama | John McCain — Comments (22) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
As pointed out by Pejman, a new AP-Ipsos poll finds that Senator John McCain, the Republican Presidential Nominee to be, has erased Obama's 10-point lead and is now tied with Obama 45%-45%.
Perhaps the constant hammering Obama has taken recently, from nonpartisan fact checkers and numerous media outlets, for his, and the Democrats', gross distortion of McCain's 100 years comment caught up with Obama.
The AP-Ipsos poll, like this recent Rasmussen poll, provides more evidence that the Democrats face a serious problem with Democrat deserters:
About a quarter of Obama supporters say they'll vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee. About a third of Clinton supporters say they would vote for McCain if it's Obama.
Obama is losing ground among various groups:
Against McCain, Obama lost ground among women — from 57 percent in February to 47 percent in April. Obama dropped 12 points among women under 45, 14 points among suburban women and 15 points among married women.He also lost nine points or more among voters under 35, high-income households, whites, Catholics, independents, Southerners, people living in the Northeast and those with a high school education or less.
Not a good omen for Obama.
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McCain Catches Obama 22 Comments (0 topical, 22 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
...What? Hey, I was also told this race would be over a month ago. :)
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!
The Christian evangelicals who turned out in droves for Bush in the 2004 election, just won't do that for McCain in 2008. They don't see him as one of them. Thus, Karl Rove's strategy of networking through the Christian community won't work this time.
Besides, McCain wants to try to pick off some Blue or Swing states (in fact, he must do so if he can't win Ohio), where the Christian evangelical movement is weak anyway.
It seems to me that if the pro-war organizations like Gathering of Eagles and so on really care about not losing in Iraq, they should volunteer to be the nucleus of a grass-roots McCain organization. The gun-rights organizations like the NRA as well.
This time around, they seem to be the ones with the big emotional stake in the outcome, not the Christian evangelicals whose pet issue of abortion seems to be less vital this year.
Host extended Halloween celebrations with $1.00 beer, $1.00 jello shots, and $1.00 dogs, burgers, etc in every college town beginning on Friday, October 31st and not ending until Tuesday November 4th.
With any luck we could surpress at least 25% of his vote by making his volunteers too drunk or hungover to function.
M Penny
There just isn't enough alcohol. That's for the rank and file, forget about the upper levels do you know what it takes to incapacitate a Kennedy ?
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
Slightly off-topic but did anyone see the 3 candidates on American Idol? I'm not a big Idol fan, but my kids love the show. They were invited to make taped
Hil & the Hope Pope made standard comments about appealing to our dreams, bla bla bla. They were no better than a low-production campaign commercial.
McCain came on with a wicked grin and made some jokes. Said "American Idol is just like a Presidential primary, except the votes from Pennsylvania and Michigan will count". He also made a crack about deporting Simon Cowell. Hilarious, I couldn't stop grinning for an hour.
McCain has a wicked sense of humor and pretty good delivery. (ie, Letterman appearance, the "Woodstock / I was tied up at the time" crack).
Elections are as much about personality and character as they are about ideas and programs. He needs to get out there and show his "personal" side more. Otherwise the Dems are going to define him as the older, crankier version of Bush.
-- Guerc
The twin democrat party machines in PA are infamous for voter fraud.
...a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right...
---Thomas Paine---
Yes, McCain does have a wicked sense of humor or a great joke writer -- all the same he managed to get rid of his terrible habit of laughing at his own jokes.
I am an American Idol fan and I did enjoy McCain's message. It was light hearted and funny and with the spirit of the show.
M Penny
Ooops. Not enough coffee this morning.
McCain's crack was: "American Idol is just like a Presidential primary, except the votes from Florida and Michigan will count"
the polling companies ALWAYS overpoll more dems than Republicans and independents. If they are showing it tied, it means really McCain has a lead..
Obama is Jimmy Carter- only without the sweater.
But there is a lot of evidence now that there are not equal numbers of self-described Rs and Ds in the country. For the first time in 80 years in 2004, the self-described numbers were equal. But most surveys (Gallup, Rasmussen, etc) show Ds with a 2-5 point advantage in partisan ID. If we assume there are equal numbers, it may be that assumption that is wrong.
______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard
Rick A.
If McCain is tied (or as stated probably slightly ahead) in polls now, naming Clarence Thomas as vice presidential nominee would make him unbeatable.
Bring in the conservatives. Expose Obama as the empty suit he is.
Justice Thomas does, and will continue to do, far more for the nation and for conservatives from his current position on the Court than he could ever do carrying that "bucket of warm spit" around.
____
CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.
Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson
McCain's polling right now will probably be as good as it gets. After Obama clinches the nomination, Comrade Hillary's former supporters will abandon her like rats from a sinking ship. They are more anti-GOP then anti-Obama. After that, the combination of Obama's experiences ground operation, his huge money advantage, and the general anti-GOP sentiment in this country will result in an Obama blowout (with huge gains in both houses for the Dems as well).
This will not end well.
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
With both Obama's and Hillary's number going down the more people learn about them, I think McCain has plenty of room to expand his numbers.
Just wait till the 527s start playing the Rev. Wright's greatest hits.
No, buddy. McCain hasn't hit his peak by a long shot.
Did I mention compare and contrast commercials of the bios of McCain vs. OBillary. Anyway you slice it, if McCain plays his cards right, he's got room to grow.
Obama's numbers are down because the Dem nomination fight is ongoing. When he clinches it, that acrimony will no longer be a factor and he'll be able to go full out against McCain, and have months to do it.
Remember, the MSM will portray McCain in a negative light and make hay out of any misstep, while they gloss over Obama's mistakes and go out their way to help him.
Right now McCain has a chance to shore-up his base and has a temporary monopoly on defining himself. Sadly, I don't see him taking advantage of this temporary good polling to make any permanent gains.
Quit paying attention to polls in April!
Go back to the polls taken last fall. Not even close to what has happened in the spring. Nothing is going to happen until the Dems choose a candidate. All those "die-hards" who would rather vote for McCain than the other Dem will soften their stance when given the Soros/MoveOn full-court press. The Dems will all likely fall in line behind the Dem contender, just like many Reps are doing now with McCain.
Really folks...it's April! Wait until Labor Day before you start salivating over polls.
Let's not get too excited. These polls will change. When the Dems settle on a candidate -probably Obama - then that candidate will get a surge as the Ds rally around him/her. And McCain will look old and out of it.
But, the good thing is that the polls themselves can't undermine the underlying realities of this election. If Obama is the candidate, than he will gradually show himself to be what he is - a weak, inexperienced candidate, without much intellectual heft. He keeps making mistake after mistake - "typical white person", "hicks with guns who hate foreigners", etc. And, unfortunately, it is a fact that some voters will vote against him for being black - mostly Democratic blue collar voters in the East and South, but also including Democratic leaning Hispanics. (Some voters, latte liberals and squishy moderates, will vote for him because he is black; but there are less of them and they would probably vote Democratic anyway.)
Shockingly enough, I am beginning to think this election is McCain's to lose. (Of course, this could change if Hillary wins the nomination. She has huge negatives, but is a much better candidate than Obama.)
....and how he can/will compete with Obama's enthusiasm amongst his supporters on election day.
“.....women and minorities hardest hit”