NH Debate Reaction Open Thread
200 comments is a lot... continue the discussion here
By Adam C Posted in 2008 — Comments (46) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Do you think McCain looked angry or on fire?
Did Romney shine under fire or look like a deer in headlights?
Is Rudy still there?
Can Fred win over anyone who doesn't already like his style?
Well, here is my way of analyzing this debate. This is a New Hampshire debate and the proper lens to analyze is "how will this affect the NH race?"
Overall, I don't think this debate changes much. There was not much learned that wasn't already known. Most importantly, when discussing NH the discussion comes down to how McCain and Romney did.
In my opinion, Romney handled the tough attacks as well as he could. Nevertheless, the main story line will be that the rest of the field smells blood, is ganging up on him, and landing punches on his flip flops and negativity. It was only a matter of time before his changing positions and relentless negative ads were going to come up. Tonight they did. I don't think he loses any supporters in NH, but I don't see him gaining much from this performance either.
McCain had a similar neutral performance. He did not take many attacks from the other candidates. The give and take with Romney on immigration was the best "debating" this cycle but it didn't really reveal anything new to over-saturated NH voters. McCain's barbs at Romney got a bit excessive, but it won't likely lose him any current supporters. With immigration and global warming as topics, McCain reminded conservatives of some sore spots. But NH Republicans are not Alabama Republicans. I don't see McCain losing any support after this performance and it's possible his appeal to Independents was helped a little.
Fred was great on substance, but I don't see this likely vaulting him up from his 2-5% current showing in NH.
Giuliani did well as usual but also not well enough to break away from the rest into 3rd. Ditto Huck.
All that said, this was the best debate so far in this political cycle. Kudos to ABC for allowing the back and forth but keeping people on topic. Well done.
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I agree he won't do well in the polls in New Hampshire, but that wasn't his audience tonight. His audience was South Carolina and those voters who may have to pick a new candidate it Mitt goes down in defeat on Tuesday.
Although I don't know how many SC voters watched this one. There will be future debates by then and the NH and MI results will have an effect. All that said, Fred obviously isn't trying too hard in NH. But 3rd, 6th, 6th isn't a strong way to go into SC. I think he should have put some effort into beating Rudy/Paul in NH.
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As I said here, Fred owned tonight's debate. It won't dramatically affect his finish in NH but his performance helped him with hawkish South Carolina voters and with his fundraising.
here
scroll down to comment at 7:39 on alternative energy, and take care you don't spill liquid on your keyboard.
Now there's no more oak oppression,
For they passed a noble law,
And the trees are all kept equal
By hatchet, axe, and saw.
I know he hasn't committed a lot to the race, but I figured he'd be pushing fairly hard here. He's almost as well-known a commodity as Romney and McCain here and his general reticence was unexpected.
I agree that the format works very well, both for the candidates and to keep the audience interest.
Will it affect the vote? Very little. Thompson might have shaken a few traditional conservatives loose from Romney had he been less low key. Huckabee did his bit quite well, but NH isn't particularly looking for it. McCain had a sharper edge than generally, but I'm not sure if that will help or not. Romney seemed either comfortable or smug, depending on what you feel about him. Most voters who have made up their mind are likely to feel that they haven't made a mistake up to this point.
(I was last post on open thread so I pasted- hope nobody is offended but I wanted to chime in.)
I avoided the internet before the PT broadcast.
Now that we are almost through, I would say this.
I think Fred had the best answers, but when he gets cut off, he does not fight back in enough. They are all hitting Romney hard, rightfully so.
If Fred was not in, because hard to hide my bias, I always like McCain in these debates. He's such a great American.
I'm not a Rudy fan, but I've never thought he looked bad in a debate, he was fine tonight, but it really seemed as if he is suddenly much less significant. Might just be through my eyes.
Huckabee had his weakest debate, he has to stop with the preachor attitude. I'm starting to feel talked down on.
Fred has hands down the best policies, he's stronger on health care than he showed tonight. He's great on eliminating waste on healthcare.
This is a good debate... everyone should be like this.
C'mon Fred, interupt back!
Romney sounds like a whiny little b word. He's getting absolutely clobbered, and Romney fans, I don't want that to happen. I wanted to see Huckabee get demolished tonight.
Fred calling Romney on the disagreement with Bush issue.
Holy Crap is Romney getting massacred. I'm waiting for Don Corleone to call the undertaker to do his favor.
When Romney commented in the last debate to Fred "takes one to know one" about him becoming a good actor, he officially lost me from every considering him unless I had to. If Romney's best comeback is "takes one to know one" he needs to go back where he belongs, the elementary school playground. We need real men running this country and should it not be Fred hands down the toughese SOB in this race, I pray its McCain. Rudy is 3rd, don't agree with much, but he's a tough fellow Italian Catholic.
One other thing... Huckabee about a 100 mp gallon car. I'm certainly not against, just remember, once we start making car companies make smaller cars, we totally kill the saftey of our vehicles.
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McCain didn't offer much in substance on what he would do. All I really remember were jabs at Romney and defending his position on immigration (not a winning move for me). Oh, and global warming. What?!?!
Rudy sometimes has trouble with "principles". He listed off goals not principles. In fact I was relieved when Huck and Fred finally answered the President's question. Everyone else was kind of empty on that. Rudy's immigration stand sounded like he agreed with McCain (again not a winning point with me).
Huck, great soundbites. A couple of jabs. You want to overhaul the healthcare industry?!? Preventive care?!? Don't you think that sounds more like a cultural change? Or at least something that the states should do instead of the feds? Ouch. Lost me there.
Ron Paul.
Mitt, you look like the second coming of GW. Don't get me wrong, I love GW. But you sound like compassionate conservatism when you talk about giving free stuff to those who "can't afford" it. I don't think you'll break it, but I don't think you'll make it the best it could be. Nice job taking the brunt of the attacks.
Fred, you crack me the heck up. I have to admit I'm learning to like you more and more. When you sat forward in your chair to answer a question I couldn't help but be reminded of my highschool days sitting bored in class until the teacher finally called on me. You answered everything tonight with the frankness a Rush baby like me can really enjoy. Simple answers like "No." to stupid questions on whether we should punish big corporations just warms my heart to know someone out there has some sense. Excellent answers on immigration, healthcare and principles.
Adam, Dan, Neil, Moe...
They can edit any posts for you - just tell them what you want.
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
I share your happiness that Fred replied "No" when asked if oil company profits were to high. Many of us watching this debate know that this is not the case.
Unfortunately, 70% or more of the country would interpret this answer as Fred simply covering for the evil oil companies. Were this a general election debate, It would be necessary to outline why this is not the case. Tell people that per gallon profits are not any higher than they have been in the past, explain that record profits are a result of a record market. Inform people that the entity that recieves the most profit when they fill up their gas tank is the government, both federal and in most cases state. State that the FTC has repeatedly investigated price gouging and found no evidence. And finally, call the opponent on populism. Tell them right to their face that this is BS, and explain to people that this is how liberals operate, by playing on people's sense of victimization and guilt.
I know it is to much to ask for.
The naive forgive and forget.
The foolish forget but do not forgive.
The wise forgive but do not forget.
With the caveat that I'm on death's door with flu and was flipping back and forth between the debate, the playoff football, and the coverage of the Ipswich/Portsmouth (metric football) match on Fox Soccer Channel...
You're right Adam, this was the best debate of the bunch - kudos to Gibson for keeping control. The fact that there were "only" 6 of them on stage helped a lot, methinks.
Both McCain and Romney looked tired - of each other and just tired - and probably didn't change any minds in any case.
It's pretty clear everyone in the race sees this as a golden opportunity to try to kick Romney to the curb for good - it may work, but if it doesn't they may regret having not finished Mitt off when he was "down".
Fred was as good as I've ever seen and even the ABC folks thought his performance tonight was (quoting now) "Super".
Ron Paul could crack 10% again, but I thought he was beyond bad tonight - but that could just be the DayQuil talking.
Were Rudy and Huck even there? I might have missed any of their bigger moments when I flipped back to watch Ipswich getting shafted with a ludicrous send-off in the 25th minute...
Sorry, that was the NyQuil talking.
Finally, and this is slightly off topic but I've been meaning to say this for weeks - given that every other campaign has been screaming "FLIP FLOP!!! FLIP FLOP!!! FLIP FLOP!!! FLIP FLOP!!!" about Romney to anyone and everyone who will listen since about March it seems a little freaking late in the game to be whining continually about "The Negative Tone Of The Romney Campaign"™ - but again, that just might be the NyQuil talking.
Lastly, can we just have the damn vote already?
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz...
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
He stayed silent throughout the lengthy discussion on immigration until Charlie Gibson called him on it. Then he proceeded to sound like his stance on immigration was similar to everyone's but McCain's.
No one called him on his stance supporting using our tax dollars to fund scholarships for children of illegal immigrants, because to do otherwise would be to punish them for their parents' mistake.
He got to pretend he held conservative views on immigration.
Right Again
Why pick on Mullah HuckaFraud when there are so many others to pick on?
I was leaning McCain until tonight, his stance on illegal immigration scares me that he has not learned his lesson. I am thinking who I will vote for in the CA primary a whole lot right now.
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Proud member of the Barry Goldwater wing of the party !
because aside from HWMNBN, Huckabee is the candidate I least want to vote for in the general. I still will if he wins because the Democrats all frighten me too much when it comes to the global war on terror and judges. But I really hope Huckabee's hit his high point.
I agree with you on McCain. He doesn't get immigration. I loved both Fred and Mitt hammering him with, "But do the illegal immigrants have to leave?" over and over.
I especially loved Fred's "compliance by attrition" comment. The argument, "are you going to round up 12 million people and send them back?" is a straw man argument. And "compliance by attrition" knocks it right on its butt.
I would not hesitate to vote for Fred, Rudy or Mitt.
Fred seemed to play the cats paw. No real strong statement, just poking at Rudy and to some extent Romney....
I was not impressed by Fred at all.
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Proud member of the Barry Goldwater wing of the party !
often gave the same answer as Romney, but expressed it much better. I thought he had a relatively good night. I wish he and Romney would team up to combat HuckaCain. I think they would make a very effective winning team.
I've been yearing for the day that the two got together and went to work. Fred & Mitt are our two most conservative guys out there. And they're both capable of hitting an argument very well, but in very different styles.
Mitt ain't folksy. And Fred all too often isn't polished. Together, they play the foil quite well.
"Don't ever be afraid to see what you see." ~Ronald Reagan
not so Thompson. One is real, the other is following political winds. I am sorry to say that since I previously thought that either Romney or Thompson was the only choice...now only Fred Thompson, (Romney reminds me of too many scripted, poll following politicians).
Formally known as Deagle... "Golf is a way of life..."
McCain knows he is in the lead in NH. He didn't try to take over the debate, just even the score with Romney a bit. That line about Romney being able "to spend his entire fortune on attack adds" and it not making a difference cracked me up.
McCain's biggest advantage in the debate, and probably in the race in general, is the tremendous esteem in which the other candidates (Romney excluded) hold him in. I think nearly every other candidate praised McCain for either his foresight on the winning strategy in Iraq or some other tough stand he's taken.
McCain remains one of the biggest stars in the our party.
-- Jonathan
"Go ahead, make your jokes, Mr. Jokey... Joke-maker. But let me hit you with some knowledge. Quit now". -White Goodman
I thought Charles Gibson did a professional job.
Interesting, as much as we rip the networks, he was much better than anyone on the cable stations.
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needs to be the standard for all future debates, even in the general. Charlie Gibson did a great job. Even though he approached most of the issues with questions from a liberal viewpoint, he let the Republicans discuss the issues from a conservative viewpoint.
They were able to take the liberal-slanted questions and turn them to show why our solutions were superior to those of the Democrats in every case.
You're right, who would have guessed that one of the big 3 networks would host the best debate?
Yes he approached from Lib perspective, but it was almost like he tried to "lead the camel to the water."
He really gave everyone opportunities a chance to speak, or clarify when the goofed.
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I think Hillary got destroyed... her performance was simply lousy. I think she needed to impress coming off her 3rd place finish in Iowa, and she didn't do it. Obama did really well, which is unfortunate, since he will be a lot tougher to beat in the general.
Unfortunately i missed the Republicans but tuned in time for the Democrats.
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Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. - Milton Friedman
Yes, let's avoid nation building, throwing around our weight, but let's hold the codes to Pakistan's nukes.
Not only to the Dems want to control everything in our country, but every other.
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I loved the format. I hate the 2 minutes to respond, 30 seconds to butt into an issue format.
Now on to who did well...
Obviously I am a McCainiac, I think he did well, but I'm not going to rank him because I'm pretty biased.
I'd say Fred was probably the best of the rest, followed by Rudy. Next was Huckabee. I think Romney came across like an upset child who had his candy stolen from him. Ron Paul is the crazy nut who was fun to listen to but of course i don't take him too seriously.
I was pleased with Fred. He has much better views on healthcare though than what came up.
Eliminating Fred, I thought McCain looked good.
I've always been a Fred supporter, but my #2, or my "hope it will be him if not Fred guy" has switched many times, but #2 always goes back to McCain for me.
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That kind of dominating victory would just destroy Romney.
Well, good luck with that expectations management problem McPain is going to have when he doesn't win by that sort of margin.
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
No one is expecting a 14 point win, and I don't need to manage my own expectations anyways.
I do think McCain will win by at least 7 or 8 points, though.
I actually meant to post the above comment in a blog but I had 2 windows open, and I've had a few beers so....
My NyQuil (aka, 2x4 to the back of the head so you can sleep medicine) kicked in about 20-minutes ago - I can barely see the screen...
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Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock.
I think he and Fred compliment each other well, but I'm worried what will happen if he doesn't win NH. Just like Fred and SC.
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On Iraq, he was showing that they would have been wrong to pull out troops.
Funny, Obama and Richardson kept trying to shut him up... Yes, they didn't want the truth out.
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with all the kids saying "but-" to the teacher. He's really doing them a favor with the additional homework assignment.
Before tonight I was trying to decide between Hunter and Romney. I had gained respect for McCain also.
BUT: McCain totally lost me. It was apparent why he cannot get along with others and we do not need that in the world we are living in today.
Romney's attacks have been issue based, which is alright in my book, but McCain's were personal and below the belt and his incessant laughing and rudeness were unbecoming an American hero, which we all consider him. I will not vote for McCain now or in November. He lied about his immigration plan and what it would do.
Huckabee started the nastiness by turning to Romney and attacking him. And, then he quoted from our founding documents about all being equal. I would like to ask him if that includes Mormons? It scares me to death to think about him in the White House. I will not vote for him now or in November.
Ron Paul did not even belong on the same stage with the others.
Guiliani also was in the personal attack mode per Romney. It made Romney look so much better. He was a gentleman and was a little wordy, but he needed to get his points across, which he did. He was his weakest on the health care issues, though he ended that on a high note by saying it should be free enterprise doing it.
Thompson was the best I have ever seen him. He is good on the issues, but he is stodgy and does not come across well. He laughed and chuckled at Ron Paul a couple times, which was not necessary. Paul killed himself and should have just been ignored by the other candidates.
That leaves Romney. I will now pretty enthusiastically support him, as there is no better candidate and he has stood up and been a man. Answered the hard questions, the attacks, the rudeness of the other candidates, and has admitted he made mistakes in the past and changed his position.
Good Lord, I would hate to have a person as President like McCain or Huckabee who think they know everything and like McCain who does not think, since he was 17, that he has ever needed to change any of his positions. A person who will not or cannot change with new data, scares me to death.
Romney is a big man for standing up and saying he has made mistakes. God bless him, and actually, God bless all of our candidates, Republican and Democrat. Whoever wins will need our prayers and the Lord's help to get us through the road ahead.
I thought he did an excellent job ... particularly after the TERRIBLE moderators in other debates. I thought he asked quality questions, and let the candidates do the talking. Good for him. I was really shocked ... I expected much less of ABC News.
I thought Rudy was very good. He was informed and articulate. Overall, a strong performance.
Fred was a little quiet, but did very well in my opinion. I really like this guy, and I think he would be a very good president or attorney general. I just wish he loved to campaign ... it is the only thing missing.
I thought that Mitt did a decent job, given that he has irritated all of the other candidates and got hit time and again. I could swallow my pride and vote for this guy in the general, but I don't see him defeating any of the Dems. Well, maybe Richardson. I still think his immigration policy is extremely cynical, and designed to catch voters who really care about it, only to jettison them if he ever got in office.
McCain did a good job on his policy answers. He is in a tough spot on immigration because the base wants to hear what it wants to hear, even if it is divorced from reality. I wasn't a fan of his zingers at Romney, but Romney deserves everything he gets. I wish we could see more of the Townhall McCain at the debates ... his townhalls are absolutely superb. Overall, it was a wash for him, so he comes out just fine. I doubt many minds were changed.
Ron Paul was Ron Paul. Love it or hate it. I'm not buying, but he deserved to be heard.
MOlsen6
Proud supporter of McCain '00 and McCain '08
I don't watch TV, but last night I watched the debate live feed on my laptop. This is the FIRST time I've seen the candidates in action. I found Romney as phony, and Paul as annoying, as many of you have been describing them. I was surprised (negatively) by Giuliani. I very much doubt that many people in flyover country (where I live) will vote for a man who speaks from the side of his mouth with a thick NY accent. Sorry, all you Fredheads, I really wanted to like Thompson, but found him highly uninspiring in "person."
Interesting comments, I too thought that Fred did the best overall. I would have liked it very much if he had just a little more fire.
Initially, I had thought and I mean early on before too many had announced their candidacy that I would be in support of Giuliani, but I have since decided that like McCain, Huckabee, and Romney there is a serious problem for all of these candidates for me, because of their views on immigration. McCain showed the same meanness I have seen with him before, and the rest just seemed to be too busy trying to do in Romney than to share their ideas. And Paul is just not even in the same league with the rest of these men. He really needs to be a third Party candidate.
Fred is the only one that seems to be in agreement with my point of view. Every other single one of them had the whole idea wrong, like it would be ok somehow for these law breakers to pay some sort of fines and get a pass and go to the end of the line. From my perspective, with the exception of Fred, they all hemhawed around. They should be more afraid of losing my vote, than future Hispanic votes. Illegal aliens are just exactly that. Fred is correct when he says closing the borders and no sanctuary cities, no fines and short cuts to citizenship, stringent enforcement of current laws will begin the process of attrition.
Amnesty is exactly what all the illegals got with the first immigration bill and I really don’t care if Reagan was President or not. We need for this not to happen again, look at the result twenty years later, county hospitals across this great nation are in financial crisis as a result of treating illegal aliens, our jails are filled with illegals, and several states offer instate tuition, while giving out of state rates to neighboring states US citizens higher tuitions. This is crazy. That bill was supposed to stop the practices of hiring illegals, and did not. So we have anarchy.
Immigration is the one true Achilles heel of the Democratic Party, and I can not say enough times how important it is that Republicans get it right.
After watching the Democrats I think that they all need to polish up their style. None of these guys exhibited any charisma.

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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777