Redstate

Operation Chaos Continues!

It's so laughable to believe those so-called super-delegates will hand this to Hillary. They simply do not have guts to piss of black voters.

To these party elders, whether it's McCain, Obama or Clinton, it probably won't matter in the end.

The Bradley Effect has hit again.

Once again, the polls overestimated the strength of a black candidate with a white challenger, just as they have in prior primary contests (but not caucuses). Just as I predicted earlier today. So did Governor Rendell, by the way.

That means that we can likewise expect the polls to consistently overestimate Obama's strength and underestimate McCain's strength going till November.

Unless the pollsters really start doing something to correct for this bias.

There's also bias in the news stories that Hillary has been contending with too--a constant stream of "Obama surging" and "Hillary gets desperate" stories--but that's another story for another time.

in quite a few areas from OH

Among white men he went from a 19pt deficit to a 12 pt deficit. From 39% to 44% overall. Among white democrats he went from a 43 pt deficit to a 28 pt deficit. He went from 27% of white dems in OH to 36% of white dems in PA. Among seniors he went from 26% in OH to 37% in PA. Among white seniors he went from 24% to 33%.

So he had a few bright spots as well.

And 43% of the Jewish vote is not bad at all. He went was getting in the high 20s/low30s in NJ and JY among the Jewish vote. The Jewish vote is so small that it's really meanningless anyway, at least in PA. It means she beat him 90,000-70,000 among jews.

All this is after Wright and Farrakhan and the Hamas bulletin in the newsletter and the Clinton's historic ties to the Jewish community. I'd say 43% for a black guy named Barack Hussein among Jews is pretty darn good all things considered.

Coincidenatlly, the poll avg was of by around 3-5%, the very same # that Rendell gave as the black penalty back in February. I.E. he said that being black will end up costing Obama around 3-5 pts.

He's still ahead by 150+ delegates with a big win in NC in 2 weeks to add to it.

I think he's still in good shape for the nomination, worse shape for the general and for Bill and Hillary this is all about clearing the deck for 2012.

Maybe in June Hillary can say "Mission Accomplished"

Two weeks ago Clinton was polling with a 20 point lead in Pa. The pundits and Obama's camp are saying he 'closed the gap' and Hilary won by only ten. Consider this: Only slightly more than half of registered Dems voted in Tuesday's primary. In other words, if voter turnout was better in Pa. Clinton's victory would have been much larger than it was. This makes a good argument to the Super Delegates not to be too hasty in throwing their weight behind Obama. Voter turnout is always better in GE than in the primaries.

Given his continued tendency to shuck and jive when asked pertinent incisive questions recently,he is rapidly morphing into the Algonquin J. Calhoun of Democrat party politics

they might ditch both these losers. My money is on them drafting Al Gore.

"Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty"
Kyle

Anti American, anti military, anti religion, anti patriotism, anti flag, anti gun.
Every thing the founding fathers stood for, he ain't.
This is the result of the metamorphosis into a state where the electorate has learned how to loot the public treasury for its own benefit, disregarding the needs of the country as a whole, the ultimate in electoral pandering.
Wachovia Bank, founded and incorporated in 1888, twenty three years after the Civil War ended, has agreed to pay reparations for slavery.
This National self guilt over slavery has driven the politicians, beginning with the LBJ's Great Society, to bestow largesse upon largesse on this one group of Americans, creating a caste to which the government essentially ministers to all of its needs, eliminating any personal need to rise to every day challenges. No need to get an education, the welfare check and food stamps guarantee the next meal. Housing subsidies ensure that shelter is always provided for. Free medical care guarantees the doctor's offices are always overfull. Self reliance and personal responsibility are archaic concepts for this post Great Society caste.
As a result, millions of Americans choose to remain outside the work force.
This has led to the influx of another ethnic group, imbued with a strong work ethic, ostensibly to do the work "Americans won't do" because they're paid not to.
This immigration has been so large that this new group of strangers on American soil has formed political alliances, and the Government's largesse to America's first caste has not gone unnoticed. Like the Japanese seventy years ago, half a world away, taking note of just how "graciously accommodating the Western Democracies were" to Adolf Hitler in Munich, September, 1938, deciding "that's for me" and making their own plans, the 'La Raza' affiliated groups are making their own demands. The returns of California, Oregon, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas, to the Mexican fold, for instance, fully expecting the pandering politcians in Washington to cave to their demands.

Volunteer
The Penn primary is already old news. Hillary by a head and shoulders win.
On to North Kalinka, where Mr. O's comments and his associations with the Rev W. will play big. The folks in the hills of NC take thier belief systems with a seriousness that the rest of us could do well to emulate. The results in Penn show where the USA, in the final stand, really are. That is horrible grammer, but you get my drift.
As to Indiana, anyone who has watched thier crops drown, fly off in a dust storm or freeze in May, knows the power of faith. Mr. O will not find a welcome committee in the South of Indiana.
And West (by gum) Va. If Mr O thinks for one minute, that his comments about Guns, G.. and the rest are forgotten or dismissed, he has a whole new awakening.
Hillary has found her voice... She finally is embracing the original Liberalism that the Dems would like to be, know they should be and have forgotten about. Hillary will push our 4 Freedoms of Speech, Faith, From want and fear. The old Pols in Denver, AKA Ted Kennedy, even if they have sold out to Geo Soros, know the score.
end

Who was the big loser last night? Howard Dean. Its pretty evident now, that this race will go all the way to the convention. The superdelegates will then have to step up and decide the nominee.

Imagine their challenge: The Obamaniacs will continue to come out from under the ether. Hillary will surge in the remaining primaries. The superdelegates will begin to come to the conclusion that Obama is unelectable in November. Yet, they know that if they take the nomination away from him and give it to Hillary, they will probably be doing irreparable damage to their party. Additionally, it will only add to the chaos that is already looming in Denver.

Yesterday, I saw in interview Fox did with one of the superdelegates. He indicated that short of extraordinary circumstances, he would vote for the candidate that his state favored in the primary.

I wonder if, given the very poor choices the superdelegates will face, that most will take the easy road and choose based on that same criteria. They will then always be able to explain away their decision (for Hillary or Obama), by saying it was the desire of their constituents.

If there isn't a nominee on the first vote, then things will get very exciting.

"There is not in all America a more dangerous trait than the deification of mere smartness unaccompanied by any sense of moral responsibility." Teddy Roosevelt 1903