Some quick observations on last night's Democratic race.
By Moe Lane Posted in 2008 — Comments (52) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Alabama: EP O60/C37 (A O56/C42)
Arkansas: EP C72/O26 (A C70/C27)
Arizona: EP O51/C45 (C51/O42)
California: EP C50, O47 (Z O49/C36) (A C52/O42)
Connecticut: EP O53/C45 (A O51/C47)
Delaware: EP O56/C42 (A O53/C43)
Georgia: (Z O49/C29) (A O67/C31)
Illinois: EP O70/C30 (A O65/C35)
Massachusetts: EP O50/C48 (C56/O41)
Missouri: EP O50/C46 (Z O45/C42) (A O49/C48)
New Jersey: EP O53/C47 (Z C46/O41) (A C54/O44)
New York: EP C56/O43 (A C57/O40)
Oklahoma: EP C61/O31 (A C55/O31)
Tennessee: EP C52/O41 (A C54/O41)
Real quick: first, Zogby crashed and burned. Thank goodness: I really enjoyed mocking that polling firm. One wonders how they got California in particular so wrong.
Second: my last statistics class was over a decade ago, and it mostly concentrated on how to tell when people are lying to you about statistics (a very useful skill to have when you're fending off database vendors, which is why they taught it in a graduate library science program). That being said, the consistent under-performance of Senator Obama wrt exit polls suggests that, God help us, maybe there really is a Bradley Effect in play. I'd hate to think that of a political party that my parents belong to, but, well...