Well, I think that we can guess who the Old Grey Lady will be endorsing.

Hint: it will not be Barack Obama.

By Moe Lane Posted in Comments (16) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

You do not have to be an Obama supporter to recognize a hit piece against him, particularly when it gets it out of the way early:

Obama to Urge Elimination of World’s Nuclear Weapons
By JEFF ZELENY

WASHINGTON, Oct. 1 — Senator Barack Obama will propose on Tuesday setting a goal of eliminating all nuclear weapons in the world, saying the United States should greatly reduce its stockpiles to lower the threat of nuclear terrorism, aides say.

(bolding mine, but I suspect that Mr. Zeleny circled that passage with red ink and a scrawled "Has to stay in." Or whatever the modern equivalent would be.)

You do have to be an Obama supporter to achieve more than a certain detached tut-tuttery about the whole thing, but that's a different issue.

Read on.

The article is really kind of amusing, given that it goes to some trouble to preemptively deflate what the Senator probably hoped would be a strong policy speech on nuclear issues. Some highlights:

* Senator Obama wants to greatly reduce our stockpiles... and the NYT helpfully points out that the Bush administration is reporting accelerated efforts to do just that, with stockpiles already slated to be cut in half by 2012.

* Senator Obama's early opposition to the war is mentioned... and the NYT helpfully points out that he hopes to have this emphasized over the amount of time that he's been a Senator.

* Senator Obama says that we "should not threaten terrorist training camps with nuclear weapons." I wasn't aware that he was in fact making this argument, until the NYT took the time to helpfully point this out to me*.

* Senator Obama wants to stop production of American nuclear weapons and make the existing ones not ready to be launched at a moment's notice. The NYT took pity on him for that one and didn't say anything, but I won't: that last is a damfool idea, Sparky. In case you haven't quite noticed, the country that we primarily built those stockpiles up for in the first place isn't exactly a paragon of predictability and hard common sense. I'm not quite ready to tell them that we've decided not to get MAD at them if they go squirrelly on us.

* Senator Obama wants to use "diplomacy and pressure" to stop Iran's and North Korea's nuclear programs. The NYT helpfully notes that his aides had no answer to the question of what happens if that strategy doesn't work.

* And, oh, yes, this was the subtle one, and it only works in the online version: Senator Obama's apparently basing this off of an initiative by several former government officials who wrote some commentary in the WSJ last January. Fine, as far as it goes. Does the NYT link to the article? Nope. Does it list the officials? Yup. Does it link the officials' names? Only Henry Kissenger's.

Not that it all really matters. The first sentence was the killer. I'd say "unfair," except that even when you rewrite it to mean "Obama wants to have the US do these things to help other countries to reduce the threat of nuclear terrorism" it's still, well, incorrect. To use an analogy that either Niven or Pournelle once used: I can't quit your smoking for you. Even if I smoke. Analogy breaks down right after that - unless I'm smoking out of self defense of your smoking - but you get the point.

Now, I'm under no illusion that this hit piece was done to make me happy. Indeed, my happiness is an unfortunate by-product. I don't know whether the NYT has officially endorsed Hillary Clinton yet, but the odds of them not doing so are, well, low. I'm not saying that there's anything official going on, but the narrative's the narrative, and Obama's doesn't have the starring role.

I was going to finish it there, but it occurs to me: an Obama supporter may be reading this, and may be wondering what the Senator can do to counteract this problem. The short answer?

Nothing.

Moe

*I'm sure that's going to play very well with the people who thought that, say, Tora Bora would have looked much better after a tactical nuclear weapon was set off in the middle of it.

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Well, I think that we can guess who the Old Grey Lady will be endorsing. 16 Comments (0 topical, 16 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

There is no other explanation beyond grinding naivety or sheer stupidity. Sen. Obama seems to be purposfully running away from a VP invitation, as if he had a chance.

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Develop alternatives to existing policies and keep them alive and available until the politically impossible becomes the politically inevitable. Milton Friedman

It's going to be rough enough on Her Charisma-challengedness just having Wild Bill around to upstage her every time he needs some lovin' (from a large crowd, that is). If I were her, the last thing I'd want is Obama hanging around, making her look fat and ugly too.

And she's probably calculating (rightly) that she doesn't need Obama to bring in the black vote, the anti-war vote, or the state of Illinois.

I think Richardson or Vilsack make more sense as her VP.

She's going to need to give the far left a reason not to vote Ron Paul...

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Reality: Thompson/Romney Dream: Santorum/Watts.

is playing the far left foil so that HRC can position herself more to the center? Obama is the best thing that could have happened to her, and the Clintons are VERY good at having good things "happen" for them. The Left side minority of her party clusters to Obama who's job it is to give them things to cluster to. This allows her to be ever so rational and centrist. She beats Obama in the primary, and the Leftnuts have no place to go but to her and she doesn't have to do anything to get their support in the General. In exchange for his "great service" some good thing will "happen" for Obama.

I know I'm paranoid; my only question is whether I'm paranoid enough?

In Vino Veritas

That scenario implies that the half of the netroots that are supporting Obama are being played for suckers all down the line.

...which I could buy, actually, but you'd have to get the biggest pro-Obama bloggers in on it ahead of time.

...yeah, point taken. :)

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

Of course they'd play the useful idiots for suckers; that's what they're for.

In Vino Veritas

ago and the other benefit is that Obama's big old war chest of cash will accrue to Hillary as well. Yeah, just what needs to happen, more money to the Clintons. As dedicated as the nutjobs are to their various causes--winning being primary among them--how much howling will they do when HRC starts tacking more strongly to the center if she gets the nomination? That might be fun to watch--possibly a replay of the '68 convention in Chicago?

"No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong." - Winston Churchill

So only Iran will have nuclear weapons. What a pleasant thought that must be to the leftists.

...multiple times. The rule is "Don't, please."

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

she's the more vicious of the two, by far.

"a man's admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him". Tocqueville

It would be difficult, I think, to have someone tell you that you're not allowed to have nuclear weapons while they themselves have a huge stockpile. Yes, I want to be safe and protected, I'm just saying. The world would be better off without any at all, but I guess there's no way to be sure no one has them.

______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

I'll never understand why its less moral to blow things up with nuclear weapons than it is with gunpowder (or TNT).

 
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