I Don't Believe This For A Minute . . .
They Haven't "Stopped Thinking About Tomorrow"
By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in Democrats | Featured Stories — Comments (8) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
I just don't (Read on):
FRIENDS of Hillary Clinton have been whispering the unthinkable. Despite her status as the runaway frontrunner for the 2008 Democratic nomination for president, some of her closest advisers say she might opt out of the White House race and seek to lead her party in the Senate.
The former first lady longs to return to the White House with husband Bill as consort. Only last week she told television viewers America would be led by a woman one day. "Stay tuned," she said.
First, however, she has to win the election. Some Democratic party elders -- the American equivalent of the Tories' "men in grey suits" -- say Clinton may back out of the race of her own volition.
"I would not be surprised if she were to decide that the best contribution she can make to her country is to forget about being president and become a consensus-maker in the Senate," said a leading Democratic party insider. "She believes there is no trust between the two political sides and that we can't function as a democracy without it."
As senator for New York, Clinton has forged alliances across party lines with leading Republicans such as Senator John McCain and Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House of Representatives. In the eyes of the electorate, however, she is a potentially divisive figure.
A recent poll for Time magazine showed that 53% of the electorate said they had a favourable impression of Clinton and only 44% viewed her negatively, figures that President George W Bush can only dream of at the moment. Even so, 53% of independent voters said they would not vote for her.
"The prospect of a Hillary for President campaign has put much of the Democratic establishment in a bind," Time concluded. "The early line is that Hillary would be unstoppable in a Democratic primary but unelectable in a general election."
The solution, insiders say, is for Clinton to take over as Senate minority leader in 2009 from the lacklustre Harry Reid, senator for Nevada. One well-respected blog, The Washington Note, recently claimed that Reid privately told Clinton the job was hers if she gave up her presidential ambitions.
Reid's office denied it, but the claim made its way into the Los Angeles Times where it was suggested she would make a "superlative Senate leader" while keeping her options open for the 2012 presidential race.
Seriously, give me a break. We learn little new from the original Washington Note post and the following passage is going to be the one that most determines whether or not Hillary Clinton jumps into the Presidential fray:
Terry McAuliffe, the former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and a close friend of the Clintons, believes she will be able to see off all challenges in primary elections should she stand. "She is very tough and very determined. Nobody is going to think she is not strong enough on national security. If she decides to run, clearly she will have the necessary resources and she will give people reasons to vote for her."
Among them, McAuliffe believes, will be former President Bill Clinton. "He is a gigantic asset. He is probably the most popular politician in the world."
On one subject, Clinton's friends are united. They all believe that Bill, her closest adviser, wants her to go for it.
(Emphasis mine.) Against that bit of advice, all of the speculation in the world doesn't stand a sand castle's chance in an earthquake of prevailing.
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I Don't Believe This For A Minute . . . 8 Comments (0 topical, 8 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
is that Hillary will be 61 in 2008. If she doesn't run in 2008, she gives up control of her own destiny. If the country elects a Democratic president that year, the she has to wait all the way until 2016, when she's 69, to run (unless said Democrat is so unpopular as to nullify the advantage of incumbency or decides not to run for some reason). Even though Reagan was 69 when he was elected, Hillary's age will be a significant handicap in that race. If the country elects a Republican in 2008, then she has to count on that Republican being unpopular enough by 2012 to have any chance at a successful bid - again, something not under her control. If that's not the case, she'll be stuck waiting until 2016.
Hillary's best opportunity is to run after an unpopular Republican President has been in office, the field of potential challengers is weak, and her age and health are not and issue. Her best opportunity is 2008, and if she declines to run then, she probably won't run at all.
Linked back to you... as the post inspired a little Queen Hillary fun.
If she doesn't think she can win, she won't run. There would be nothing more embarrassing to her than losing the primary (can you imagine?) or the general. She isn't stupid or delusional (like some of the others with their hats in the ring) and if she doesn't think she can pull it off, I don't think she'll run anyway. She has another couple shots at it before it's all over.
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"I am a great believer in luck. The harder I work, the more I have of it." -- Thomas Jefferson
>>If she doesn't think she can win, she won't run
Which means that even she doesn't know for sure yet. Since fundraising will be no problem, she is under no pressure to commit herself either.
Quentin Langley
Editor of http://www.quentinlangley.net
The Clintons were famous for releasing them while Bill was in Office. I get the feeling this is the same.
A ploy for her senatorial '06 campaign. All the wizardry and imagination of a caged rat.
"a man's admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him". Tocqueville
...the Main Battle Tank is becoming obsolete.

Since Senatrix Clinton hasn't yet announced her plans, that unknown simply provides an opportunity for people to speculate. Some will speculate that she'll run, and some will speculate that she won't. If she doesn't, those who said she wouldn't will get some (very undeserved) credit for being prescient, but that'll just be the 50/50 chance on a yes/no question on which people speculate.
Dana
Common Sense Political Thought