More Troops Needed In Iraq

And Public Memes Changed At Breakneck Speed

By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in | Comments (11) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

So sayeth the commanders on the ground (read on):

Top U.S. military commanders in Iraq have decided to recommend a "surge" of fresh American combat forces, eliminating one of the last remaining hurdles to proposals being considered by President Bush for a troop increase, a defense official familiar with the plan said Friday.

The approval of a troop increase plan by top Iraq commanders, including Gen. George W. Casey Jr. and Lt. Gen. Raymond T. Odierno, comes days before Bush unveils a new course for the troubled U.S. involvement in Iraq. Bush still must address concerns among some Pentagon officials and overcome opposition from Congress, where many Democrats favor a blue-ribbon commission's recommendation for the gradual withdrawal of combat troops.

But the recommendation by commanders in Iraq is significant because Bush has placed prime importance on their advice. The U.S. command in Iraq decided to recommend an increase of troops several days ago, prior to meetings in Baghdad this week with Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, the defense official said.

Gates, who returned to Washington on Friday, will join Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley in meetings with President Bush today at Camp David. White House Press Secretary Dana Perino said the meeting was part of the Iraq strategy review, and Bush was not expected to make a final decision on the administration's new policy.

Commanders have been skeptical of the value of increasing troops, and the decision represents a reversal for Casey, the highest-ranking officer in Iraq. Casey and Gen. John P. Abizaid, the top commander in the Middle East who will step down in March, have long resisted adding troops in Iraq, arguing that it could delay the development of Iraqi security forces and increase anger at the United States in the Arab world.

The defense official said commanders had not determined the exact number of extra troops they would request.

Military officers have debated an increase of about 20,000, about five extra combat brigades. But while some officers think five extra brigades will be difficult to muster, others believe more troops will be required.

"People are warming to the realization that some sort of surge is necessary," said another military official.

It should be noted, as an aside, that one of the prime critiques against former Defense Secretary Rumsfeld was that he never listened to his commanders on the ground. Interesting then that one of the Rumsfeld critics--I am certain there are many others in his camp--now argues that we ought not to listen to the commanders on the ground.

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More Troops Needed In Iraq 11 Comments (0 topical, 11 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

I'm curious about the thinking here. Do you endorse "The Surge"?
For my own answer, I favor a significant boost in troop numbers.

"At times one remains faithful to a cause only because its opponents do not cease to be insipid." --Friedrich Nietzsche

I think what has happened is Bush has finally realized its all or nothing. Many of us knew from the begining that if we were really going to try to defeat the terrorist that it would be long, bloody, expensive, and widespread. in short it always was All Or Nothing. AQ knew this that if we didn't roll up all the terrorist governments and the terrorist supporting governments that at the end of the day there movement would survive and remastisize.

Deploying a extra Carrier (not surging Deploying) 20-50k extra troops I think has little to nothing to do with the Iraq phase by itself. Its all or nothing guys suck it up and prepare its going to get a hell of a lot worse before better. We have been smoking the hives on the limbs only to find the tree to be hollow and full we can either run for the lake or cut her down. All or nothing guys

I don't know if he was the problem or not, but it sure seems like a lot more fresh ideas are being offered to the President without Rummy getting in the way. BTW, are you guys surprised Bush haters aren't supporting a troop surge? lol I'm not. They would love to see us lose in Iraq and that's a fact. If they wanted us to win they would offer more than "cut and run". Enough said. Then you have weenies like Bill Oreilly who make dumb statements like "The Iraqi people don't want freedom, because they won't stand up to the terrorists". Ummm, well I wouldn't either. If they rat someone out, they get killed by a miltia group. Here are 3 steps to winning:

1) Add more troops to Baghdad. Clear out the bad guys and hold the area with US and Iraqi troops.

2) Go after Sadr and militia groups hard.

3) Pressure Maliki to work with allies/moderates in the government to agree to an oil profit sharing deal and create more jobs. The more money Iraqi people have the less likely they will go out and blow things up.

If I remember, the choices were:
Go Strong, Go Long, or Go Home.
The problem here is that sending more troops (Go Strong) implies that we haven't already. In turn, this implies that we went to war without the goal of complete military victory.
Who in their right mind, wages war without trying to win? Who in their right mind, would correspondingly sacrifice their soldiers?

The statement says there are two ways to success, Go Long or Go Strong. It doesn't say one of them is wrong. Within the Special Forces community, and it would seem within the CENTCOM staff, there is a feeling that maybe we have too many troops in Iraq. If they are right, then Go Strong means that troops may be put at risk unnecessarily.

Kind of confusing when you can't answer a problem on a bumper sticker, isn't it?

Waging war without trying to win? Let's see, the Pacific Theater until 1944, the Korean War, the Cold War all come to mind as instances where holding on rather than winning were the objectives.

But that isn't the case here as the strategy being pursued was to win.

I see all this as frittering around the margins because the situation is not as bad as most people make it out to be except for the US politics.

3000 troops lost in 3 years is tragic for each an every brave individual and their families, but a drop in the bucket for a major war effort by any historical military standard. The US lost a roughly similiar number of KIAs on the first day of the invasion at Iwo Jima. How did we come to define 1000 deaths a year as "losing the war"?

Lots of Iraqis are being killed by other Iraqis. They have long standing issues that we are neither responsible for, nor that we can resolve. How did we end up defining victory as creating peace between two factions that have been at war for hundreds of years? Having the extremists on both sides blow each other up is bound to alienate the middle against them over time, as well as create attrition for the extremists themselves. Other than the Kumbaya Factor, what's the downside?

Meanwhile we have a whole string of successes in Iraq -- from toppling Saddam, killing Uday/Qsay, drafting a constitution, ratifying it by popular vote, electing a new government notwithstanding it's frequent dysfunctionality.

The big question in Iraq is how America decided we were losing.

This war has come to be viewed not as a military/strategic conflict but one driven by domestic politics. Everything gets filtered through the Bush Lens. There is a constituency which will defend the way the war is fought because they want to protect Bush, and another that actively wants to see an American defeat in order to hang it around his neck. Unfortunately the latter group is in ascendency.

Bush has to do "something" to change the political chemistry so that we are not forced to discontinue the fight as happened in Vietnam. Maybe that something is the surge. My only hope is that they slip some changes in the ROE in on the side. But for Bush to come back from this process with no changes at all is simply not politically tenable at this point.

When, as a young sargeant, I first began helping plan operations for intelligence and combat patrols, my instructors told me to always think twice about adding troops. Every additional troop deployed is also an additional target. I was trained to consider, in addition to the asset value of another pairs of boots on the ground, the liability of another body to protect and/or conceal. Additional troops in Iraq mean additional targets for enemy action. This is asymetrical warfare, so one thing we don't need are a lot of additional targets. Our major problem in Iraq is that we have not been able to upgrade our intelligence services. Without good up-to-date intelligence, more troops means more targets.

...to all my leftie friends who were saying back in 2004 that we needed half a million troops to win. I hope they're not planning to send any more tanks over there, either, unless they are ramping up for some Iran action.

DaMav is right Historically speaking the Iraq phase of the WOT is a unbelievable success. And the only reason why it has been turned into a failure is un-checked politicaly motivated attacks and the ME setting unacheivable bars to meet.

That un-checked part is my main to only beef with Bush. A presidents main job in war is not stradegy thats generals work it is first and foremost Rally the PEOPLE then keep them rallied. He started good but quit early and in my view has been AWOL on the job.

C Low,
I'll second that without placing all the blame on our prez.
Karl Rove has misguided what should have been Bush's 'Rally of the American People'.
Blame the MSM all you wish but it did appear to the public that Bush was attempting to minimize the cost of the war, the cost in Billion$ and the blood of our young heroes.
Americans have wanted to understand the sacrifice and to participate but they haven't heard that call from our Recruiter in Chief.

 
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