NRCC Aiming to Alienate the Conservative Base
Rep. Tom Cole: 'I don't think the problem was spending'
By Bluey Posted in 2008 | Featured Stories — Comments (15) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Rep. Tom Cole, chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, is a smart man and savvy political strategist. But could it be that he's too smart for his own good?
A lengthy profile in today's Washington Post boils down Cole's strategy for winning back the House in 2008: recruit moderates and improve messaging. The Oklahoma Republican wants to emulate the Democrats' strategy in 2006, which brought many moderate and conservative Democrats to Washington.
Cole's job is to win elections, so I don't blame him for doing whatever he can to find the best candidates. But I will not stand idly by as he sacrifices the principles of Ronald Reagan. The most alarming part of the article is Cole's belief that the GOP's abandonment of fiscal discipline had nothing to do with its electoral losses.
"Oh, I don't think the problem was spending," Cole told the Washington Post. "People who argue that we lost because we weren't true to our base, that's just wrong."
Read on ...
The statement has left me bewildered. Not only is Cole alienating nearly everyone who believes in limited government, but he's also suggesting the GOP doesn't need to change its behavior. Following his surprising defeat last November, then-Rep. Jim Ryun of Kansas wrote this for National Review Online:
When it came to fiscal restraint, Republicans abandoned core conservative principles — principles developed as part of the Reagan revolution and amplified by the Contract with America. Rather than reforming government, as we pledged to do, too many of our members were seduced by Washington. Even though the American public still supports the principles of limited government, they came to see the Republican party as what was wrong with Washington and no longer as part of the solution.
Ryun got it right. A survey taken by the Club for Growth following the 2006 election confirmed that view:
If Republicans can strongly reclaim their previous branding of being the party of smaller government, or, conversely, if the Democrats refuse to extend tax cuts or curtail massive pork spending, then the Republicans have a chance to again win over many of these swing districts in the next election. Alternatively, if the Republicans continue to present voters with no reason to prefer them to the Democrats on fiscal issues, they likely will fail to reclaim these lost swing districts.
Cole's recruitment strategy -- to target moderates as opposed to conservatives -- could keep someone like Ryun off the ticket in 2008. The conservative Kansas Republican lost by 4 percentage points last year and is intent on a re-match with Rep. Nancy Boyda. He's already blowing her away in fundraising. However, Ryun will have to square off against a moderate, state Treasurer Lynn Jenkins. The Post article suggests that Cole would prefer Ryun give up his quest.
Conservatives should remind Cole that they don't want him doing any more damage to the party by recruiting the next Jim Leach, Joe Schwartz or Charlie Bass. They might seem like attractive candidates in the short term, but if history is any lesson, they'll stand in the way of limited government once they arrive in Washington.
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NRCC Aiming to Alienate the Conservative Base 15 Comments (0 topical, 15 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
didn't I just see him giving away $120 million of my children's future money because of what the Japenese did.
Adam, I love loyalty, and I know Tom Cole USED to be a good conservative, but he seems to have slipped a notch. Not saying I wouldn't support him again, but I'd certainly take JC Watts over him any day of the week.
Signature disclaimer: I'm not currently paid by any campaign, but I am available. Current preferences for President: 1) F.Thompson; 2) Romney; 3) McCain; 4) Gingrich; Guiliani removed 04/03/07
Cole is a joke. Cole ran the campaign of the guy who ran against fabulous Brad Carson, and Cole's guy lost. Cole pretty much ran the campaign of Coburn's OPPONENT in the Oklahoma Senate primary, and Cole's guy got trounced. And if you talk to former staff of Largent's campaign, they'll tell you that Cole's polls heading to election day were completely wrong and paved the way for Largent's defeat.
strong unapologetic conservatism wins everytime its tried. It causes erstwhile poll catagorized independents and conservative dems to turnout and vote GOP.
These catagories by polsters are quite amorphous and self defining.
Besides, the main factor in 2006 was that it was a rare year 6 grievance election and not a map to guide us much at all in 2008.
France's recent election is more instructive.
Go Right!
Your humble servant who may be wrong!, gamecock, Adam C's biggest fan
Gamecock DeVine
The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson
http://www.redstate.com/stories/archived/this_is_for_all_you_way_to_cool...
How could anybody described as "libertarian" vote for that?
Kevin Allen
or "getting out the message" should be required to help Hillary squeeze in and out of her elastic pants suits. First you're up against the free advertising provided by a media intent on seeing America suffer, therefore a liberal media.
Second, it's the type and content of the message that counts,messages that should include exposure of absurd and ugly Democratic statements, policies, and corruption.
Attack ads work and work better when grounded in fact and the issues. Look what they have done for the Dems who don't care what they say.
As for the independent vote, I don't know just what a moderate is, common sense tells you that this is who the Republicans have to hold on to. Spending and a notable weakening of principles achieved for them what the base held it's nose and supported. So the theory concerning loss is made viable by an application to the swing vote, most of whom follow politics like I follow the submarine races up the Hudson River.
Elect moderates ,whatever they are, and the Democrats will always beat you at whatever game you play, which more often than not, will be their game.
"a man's admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him". Tocqueville
if that's not a banable comment it should be. If I was a moderator, I'd take out your whole zip code.
Yeech.
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Those who live by the sword get shot by those who don't.
Convincing Mississippians to vote for Pickering in '96 was as difficult as convincing a dentist to brush his teeth. Although the seat he got was a democrat's (Montgomery) Mississippi wasn't all that enamored with democrats on the national stage since the mid 60's (see Goldwater receiving 87% of the vote in 64). Mississippi still has a problem of re-electing incumbent D's (see Taylor, although Taylor was one of only two D's that voted against the recent Guam Reparations bill).
JC Watts was a hero in Oklahoma and not that difficult of a job either, he came in on the Contract with America wave while replacing a fairly centrist democrat, McCurdy (who actually started the DLC which is as moderate of a democratic organization out there, or at least was at the time of its founding).
Steve Largent is in the same boat as Watts. He replaced Inhofe's seat in '96 when he ran for Senate, and never dropped below 60% in election results.
Cole, based on your examples, didn't exactly turn OK red, he really never stepped out there and did anything to make a ripple in the political atmosphere, and in fact his suggestions of what went wrong with the election, fly completely in the face of the kinds of people who he helped get elected in the first place.
Were in open seats where the Republican was already the overwhelming favorite. The JC Watts and Steve Largent seats were already very Conservative seats in 1994 and there was no viable Democrat running for them at the time. The Pickering seat in 1996 was another example. This was a very, very Conservative seat where any Republican was the obvious favorite to pick it up when it became open.
Cole is good at spotting Conservative open seats and electing Conservatives to them, but he is untested elsewhere.
I wrote this blog a few days ago:
http://www.redstate.com/blogs/rjd27/2007/may/06/how_to_loose_elections
If Republicans want to win elections opposing Liberal ideology, then Republicans must run as Conservatives. I believe it really is that simple.
I also believe that issues like spending and government size will become ancillary, because voters will know they are electing Conservatives, who will actually – and this is important – govern conservatively.
This alone was why 2006 was a lost election. The Republican Party abandoned its Conservative principals.
At least give voters – left, right and “swing” – the opportunity to decide between two truly divergent candidates. There is absolutely no reason for the Republican Party to shift left. If this happens, the Conservative movement will need to either find a new home, or create one from the ground up.
R.J.
The Oklahoma Republican wants to emulate the Democrats' strategy in 2006, which brought many moderate and conservative Democrats to Washington.
The Dem strategy was to get a bunch of liberal Democrats to lie that they were moderates in order to get elected - if we didn't see it then we can certainly see it now that no more than a handful at most of the new Dems in DC are even moderate.
It wasn't spending.
It was a series of debacles and blunders by the GOP that let the Dems back into victory.
"Life is too short, can't we all just eat pork and kill some terrorists?"
Gamecock DeVine
The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson
Gamecock DeVine
The Charlotte Observer
www.race42008.com
www.hinzsightreport.com
"One man with courage makes a majority" - Andrew Jackson

is a good conservative and a great strategist. I feel its important to remember that he was at least partly responsible for turning OK "red" by helping J.C. Watts, Steve Largent, and Tom Coburn get into congress. He holds Watts' district now and earned Watts' endorsement in the race to succeed Watts.
He has also helped Pickering win in MS and Lingle become GOV in HI (the only moderate on this list).
Finally, it's important to note that all polling and exit polling support this statement: "People who argue that we lost because we weren't true to our base, that's just wrong."
Conservative support stayed at the same level as 2004. Conservatives did turn out. For a more in depth look at these numbers, see here. The highlights are:
"1. Republican turnout did not falter significantly. The partisan makeup was 38D/36R compared to 2004 when it was 37D/37R. The overall vote in the House was 53D-45R. The shift in results from 2004 where President Bush won 51-48 came from independents and moderate Republicans who voted for Bush switching to vote Democratic in 2006....
3. Swing groups took a swing against Republicans. Let's compare the full house exit poll numbers for certain constituencies in 2004 and 2006: Hispanic support of Ds went from +11 to +39. Indepedents support for Ds went from +3 to +18. Catholics went from not supporting Ds -1 to supporting Ds +11. And those who report "no religion" went from supporting Ds by +34 to +51 (although these are not generally a "swing group")."
Now the leap to thinking spending was not important is odd. But reading Cole as favorable as possible, his statement was "I don't think spending was the problem." My analysis would be that spending was a problem. And it alienated moderates and independents because the R no longer stood for good government and anti-pork efforts. Rs "went native" and that cost them support. In that case, spending along with other issues made Rs look like they were no longer representing the will of the people but rather their own reelection and a "I get my share" mentality. Thus spending wasn't the problem, the out-of-touch nature of the R caucus was.
If Cole were a Chafee or Wittman, then maybe a charitable reading would not be accurate. But given Cole's record (and libertarian-conservative leanings), it's hard to see Cole as calling for an abandonment of conservative ideals.
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Bobby Jindal Saves Louisiana