President Bush is preparing to give away the store at this week at Annapolis for a chance at Legacy

And he's dragging Israel along for the ride.

By Jeff Emanuel Posted in | | Comments (42) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

The largest of the al Aqsa mosque's four minarets on the Temple Mount in Jerusalem towers over an Israeli flag and the Western Wall of the old Jewish temple. The 'peace agreement' being proposed by President Bush at this week's Annapolis conference on Palestinian Statehood would transfer sovereignty over the Temple Mount and over East Jerusalem to the Palestinian government.
(photograph by Jeff Emanuel)



It seems somehow fitting that this week’s Annapolis Conference on Palestinian Statehood, featuring appearances by Israel, the Fatah leadership of the Palestinian West Bank, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and other regional players, will be taking place just over a year from the time that President George W. Bush is scheduled to leave office. In what has become somewhat of a time-honored tradition among recent American presidents, President Bush, like Bill Clinton before him, has turned a hopeful eye to the Levant as a solution to his “legacy” problem as the time for him to leave office draws near.

Like his predecessor, the Bush and his presidency stand to be remembered largely for poor choices, big-government policy, and abysmal public relations (the latter not being a trait shared by the Clintonistas) rather than for any large successes in the domestic or foreign policy realms. In an attempt to correct (or obscure) this, Bush and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice are venturing forth into the well-traveled territory of the Israel-Palestine conflict, in hopes of succeeding where all others have failed and creating a lasting peace between the Jewish state and her Arab enemies.

Read on.

Unfortunately, as they have done in other areas of foreign and domestic policy to poor result, the Bush administration has once again decided to ignore history, and are attempting to negotiate this ‘Middle Eastern peace plan’ – built, of course, on Israel’s giving away both land and sovereignty – in the same fashion, and with the same terms, as those who have failed in the past have done, while inexplicably hoping for a different result.

The apparent drive to salvage their legacy before it is too late has driven the administration to make several mistakes in their push for Middle Eastern peace through the Annapolis conference, whose purpose has been radically altered since it was first proposed by the President this summer as a means of measuring the progress of “Palestinian institutions.”

The first, and arguably the largest, of these mistakes is the fact that the administration is allowing Palestinian and Arab representatives a seat at the negotiating table (and thereby conferring legitimacy upon their positions in the exchange) without setting the recognition of Israel’s right to exist as a precondition. Unfortunately, the President used his position as head of the negotiations to issue ultimata to Israel, while kowtowing to Arab governments in hopes that the promise of concessions (rather than a desire for actual peace) would spur them to show up at Annapolis. An example of this is Syria, a state which has officially been at war with Israel for nearly 60 years; the Damascus government agreed to attend only after it was promised that the potential return of the Golan Heights would be “on the table.” Rather than making concessions to Israel’s neighbors in exchange for their promise to simply grace the conference with their presence, the administration should have made clear that stipulating that Israel has a right to survival is a requirement for beginning any 'peace process,' rather than being used as a point of negotiation by regional representatives.

The second of these mistakes is the decision to follow the lead set by previous administrations and failed negotiators, who set the precedent of unilateral concessions by Israel as a starting point for peace negotiations. Among the massive concessions the administration is asking Israel to make this time in the name of “peace” is the abandonment of Judea and Samaria and a return to the state’s pre-1967 borders – a move which would not only make the over 100,000 Israelis living in those areas into refugees, but, more importantly, would also eliminate the security buffer currently created by the Territories of the West Bank, thereby deeply threatening the Jewish state’s security. In an era when Arab fighters are employing rockets and other standoff weaponry, moving the border of an unregulated Palestinian state up to the border of Israel would not only endanger Israeli citizens living in those border areas, but would also put major coastal cities like Tel Aviv, which is a mere eleven miles (18 km) from what would be Palestinian land, well within range of Katyusha rockets.

At top is a Palestinian city in the West Bank; at bottom is Israel. Were Israel to withdraw its security forces from the West Bank, the distance between the Jewish state and a population which has repeatedly demonstrated its willingness to use violence against Israeli civilians would simply be the width of the Israeli-built security fence shown here (which the United Nations has condemned as a human rights violation against Palestinians).
(aerial photograph by Jeff Emanuel)



Further, the administration is expected to propose the transference of sovereignty over Arab neighborhoods in Jerusalem to the Palestinians and the surrendering of Israeli sovereignty over the sacred Temple Mount in that city. As if that weren’t enough, an agreement regarding the so-called Palestinian “right of return” (the right of Palestinians to re-populate the areas they left or were driven from during the 1948 war for Israeli independence) is expected to be on the table, as well. Were this last to be agreed to and acted upon, Israelis would immediately become a tiny minority in their own country.

The third major mistake lies in the administration’s assumption that the Palestinians and their leaders, as well as the surrounding nations, actually desire peace with Israel in the first place, despite the fact that history seems to clearly show otherwise. Since the last Israeli-Palestinian cease-fire was agreed to last November, inhabitants of the Gaza Strip south of Israel have launched nearly 400 homemade Qassam rockets (fashioned from water pipes – was anybody wondering why Gaza has no infrastructure? – and rebar, and filled with nails and ball bearings) at the Israeli town of Sderot, as well as at the Israeli power plant which provides Gaza with electricity. Though Secretary Rice has publicly stated her belief that the Palestinian people hold the same fundamental values and worldview as Americans, and are equally desirous of peaceful, prosperous lives, a brief look at Palestinian state television clearly demonstrates just how different the Palestinians’ view of “quality of life” is from Americans’ and Israelis’. The glorification of suicide bombers (or “martyrs”) and the veneration murdering Israelis as the ultimate goal to strive for in life – on children’s programming – is standard fare on both Hamas and Fatah-funded state television. The sermons and speeches aimed at adults are far worse.

In April of 2004, President Bush wrote a letter to then-Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, in which he reiterated his commitment to Israel’s keeping of the "defensible borders" created in 1967 when the tiny Jewish state took on its massive neighbors and defeated them in battle. Unfortunately for Israel, it appears that the quest for legacy has led yet another American President to attempt to tread the path of least apparent resistance to Middle Eastern “peace.” Thus far, this path has always passed through Israeli concessions and Arab gains, with no positive results, and it is most unfortunate that the man who has arguably been the most pro-Israel President in recent history would cast reality aside and follow in the failed footsteps of his forbears.

The Israeli-Palestinian conflict cannot be ‘solved’ in the mere fourteen months that President Bush has remaining in office. It especially cannot be solved through unilateral Israeli concession, many of the details of which almost exactly mirror the concessions that former Prime Minister Ehud Barak agreed to, and PLO leader Yasser Arafat walked away from, under Clinton. The fact that the Bush administration is going down this well-traveled path in the last months of its tenure clearly demonstrates that clichéd attempts at legacy-saving are more important to the President and his Secretaries than are meaningful policies. Further, the fact that Bush and Rice are going about doing this in exactly the same failed manner that their predecessors Clinton and Albright did only seven years ago (in fact, Rice consulted Clinton, as well as former President Jimmy Carter, on how best to go about negotiating a peace settlement) demonstrates that the decision-makers in the administration are apparently content to maintain, for the duration of their remaining time in office, the same lack of historical and practical understanding that led them into the other foreign and domestic policy mistakes that they have made to this point.

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President Bush is preparing to give away the store at this week at Annapolis for a chance at Legacy 42 Comments (0 topical, 42 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

If there is any PR value to putting together the conference, it is substantially outweighed by the tone of the conference invitations and in the pre-conference discussions.

In the mind of states such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others---their "concession" is in bothering to attend the conference. Once they show up, the attitude will be "now it is your turn."
Meanwhile the Israeli PM is probably the weakest there has ever been. Kind of like of taking a smoking break in a room with a gas leak.

In summary, President Bush is setting forces in motion that will almost certainly lead to a lot of trouble and pain.

If Clinton had done this, we would be furious. In many ways, I think this is worse than Oslo since the cast of characters is larger and the demands will be more outrageous. At Oslo, recognition of Israel was a requirement. At Annapolis, it will merely be a topic for discussion.

We could have one of these every month for a year and it wouldn't move anyone any closer to a resolution. Maybe it wasn't the best idea, but whatever the outcome, no one will be talking about it by Thursday. These tend to be more about pre-conference hype on who will gain or lose, then any substance presented at the conference. If this is the best we can do, fine; but you'd think we would learned by now that no one in the Middle East is going to embrace Israel, ever - end of story.

or three

"There isn't a man alive who hasn't wanted to boot an infant." - W.C. Fields

Most Americans COMMUTE more than 11 miles one way

That area's called the "Narrow Waist" of Israel. Just north of Tel Aviv is Netanya, which is only 9 miles from the West Bank.

Jeff,

Before we start calling a Bush a betrayer of Israel, let's see what happens. Remember, after the election last year, how everyone thought Bush would take the quickest exit out of Iraq; he didn't. He doubled down, because he believes in what he's doing.

Let's just see how this plays out; I can't believe he'd sell Israel down the river. He believes Israel has a right to exist and is our strongest ally in the region; I just don't see it.

Pam

...but what I've laid out here is what he is calling for at the Conference.

your presumptions
re bush's record and the above require a Rooster crowing blog tonight to get RS back on track and off the get along beltway CV track FNS is on too often

We should be making the news, not following...

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

Ok! by pwest

Fair enough, but I'm willing to wait to see how this plays out before I call it a Legacy thing, like what Clinton tried to pull with Yasir and Barack!

Pam

If all the sultanate and other petty leaders of the oil rich Middle East were soooo concerned about Palestinian suffering, why not put all their money together, contact the Sultain of Dubai's contractors, and build them some new land. Seriously, if it works for Dubai, why can't we do it for the Palestinians.

The answer to that question isn't one of money or cost, it's simply these very same leaders use the Palestinian "suffering" as propaganda against the Jews and the West.

Rightly or wrongly, Israel MUST be seen giving concessions for ANY attempt at a serious peaceful solution to be reached.

I, however, would like to see the United States not get involved with the conflict anymore. We aren't honest brokers*, except that we really do want peace.

*My comment only refers to the fact that we tend to support Israel over the "Arab" view, and in my humble opinion, rightly so.

to understand that elementary truth (in your first 2 paragraphs).

"There isn't a man alive who hasn't wanted to boot an infant." - W.C. Fields

in his dealings with the Palestinians.

Clinton's interference with and pressure on the Israelis led them to give away a great deal in return for nothing concrete - merely a lot of false promises. And it encouraged Arafat to launch the 2nd intifada.

Bush's willingness to give the Israelis a free hand has been very beneficial, leading, for instance, to victory against Palestinian terrorism.

It is very unfortunate - and will be even more unfortunate, likely - that he has abandoned this policy.

"There isn't a man alive who hasn't wanted to boot an infant." - W.C. Fields

count the number of blogs like this that have predicted Bush would fold on nat security issues

he NEVER has

and the man that wouldn't speak to Clinton's White House sleep over pal won't now

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

...loyalty and enthusiasm, but I'm going from inside information on Bush's address for tomorrow and the joint declaration between Bush/Olmert (who has a 9% approval rating for just this reason) and Abbas.

I'm sorry, man, but the Israel-security-first side has lost, and Rice's State Dept has won. It's unilateral-Israeli-concession time as far as the admin is concerned.

however, you probably aren't.

but I wouldn't characterize it as Rice's State Department. There has been plenty written about how the career types have figured out greatly how to turn the Provost turned Secretary to their way of thinking. After all, she was the NSA during the hawkest time of Bush's presidency.

This is the same State Department that hired the likes of Joseph Wilson... it's more his State Department than Rice's.

At least that's my humble opinion.

will "say" does not mean you know that Bush is giving away the store; that his motives are clinton crass; or that Bush's ultimate goal is not to force Israel's enemies to show their evil.

Moreover, your throwaway paragraphs that trash Bush's record of the past 6 years, despite peace and proseperity since 911, as like Clinton's, and suggesting that history will judge same as the beltway libs does, were, quite

wrong.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

he can propose all he wants. He is the lamest of ducks and no one is paying attention.

"Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty"
Kyle

Most of this reads as if Bush is doing something wrong by currying favor with Arab governments at Israel's expense. I agree that's what's happening, but what's wrong with it?

Frankly, we need their goodwill far more than we need Israel's. And if Bush still plans to win Middle Eastern Muslim hearts and minds, well, what better than helping to control this invasion in their midst?

And there is the awkward fact that Israel is still playing foreign occupier, with no sign of ever making the Palestinians full citizens. We generally discourage this sort of thing, at least at the empty-word level. I don't think anything beyond the empty-word level is going to happen here. Neither side has wanted peace badly enough to meet the other's full demands. There's not a thing the U.S. can do about that.

The only objection I can think of offhand is that it somewhat rewards terrorism, in that there would be no Palestinian Authority without it. But frankly, this is water long, long under the bridge.

And there is the awkward fact that Israel is still playing foreign occupier, with no sign of ever making the Palestinians full citizens.

Quoi? There are a great deal of Arab citizens of Israel; in the Territories, on the other hand, the Palestinians are self-governed, with Israelis only there to assure homeland security.

And if Bush still plans to win Middle Eastern Muslim hearts and minds, well, what better than helping to control this invasion in their midst?

What invasion would that be? The state of Israel, established in 1948 by the United Nations and secured by the Israeli War of Independence that year, when five nations attacked the tiny state and were soundly beaten?

Do not seriously think that favor can be curried with the Middle East via concessions. Power is understood there far louder than words and goodwill -- and concessions show weakness. Don't make the mistake of thinking that your/our worldview is universal.

I agree that a firm hand is going to win a lot more hearts and minds that diplomatic games. Bush's Iraq policy over the last few years shows he disagrees.

As for Israel, of course the Middle East thinks it was an invasion. We wouldn't be happy if the UN gave Kansas to a new Muslim nation, or consider their action justified. We'd be even less happy if the Muslims conquered an adjacent state or two when we tried to take it back. Naturally brushing back Israel as far as possible would please them.

There is also some dispute about exactly what territories are occupied, and how oppressive Israel is. I'm not going to get involved in the claims and counter-claims. I note only that we generally demand that anyone who annexes land also annex the people. Israel hasn't done this, and they really can't and still be the Israel they want to be.

This is kind of the point. It's not a problem that can be solved at this point in time. That's why Bush can have his meeting, score whatever brownie points he cares to score and is able to, and then move on with life.

And who knows? Maybe some useful suggestion will actually get the sides working together on something. A few generations of that, and then maybe there can be lasting peace.

(which is why the land is referred to as "occupied territories") . . . so they don't need to annex the people.

The dignitary list isn't complete yet. He'll invite Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton to help with the negotiations.
____
CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.

especially the demonstrations of his remarkable(!) negotiating skills. My son and stepson had a bargaining session at a Monopoly game on Thanksgiving which brought that video back to her remembrance.


And Rightly So!

Great job, Jeff. This is one of the most ridiculous moves that President Bush could make.

line on what "Bush will be remembered for" is quite sad, and obviously a result of hanging out with them and/or judging your work against what beltway types must say to stay friends and be well thought of with the crowd they have drinks with at happy hour..

sad

more later

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

just because both views are critical of Bush

"There isn't a man alive who hasn't wanted to boot an infant." - W.C. Fields

the trashing of the Bush legacy as:

"Like his predecessor, the Bush and his presidency stand to be remembered largely for poor choices, big-government policy, and abysmal public relations (the latter not being a trait shared by the Clintonistas) rather than for any large successes in the domestic or foreign policy realms."

sounds like the MSM verbatim

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

he is "about" to do and suggest that Clinton's PR is more important that Bush's substance?

Sometimes us chatterers need to be reminded how trivial we are, and

how great Bush has been as a leader.

He deserves more respect than this.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

the world for what the US, THE BUSH LED US,

MUST and WILL DO

before he leaves office.

It will also help the GOP candidates to clarify to voters why they cannot trust a dem to defend the country when Bush leaves.

Mike Gamecock DeVine @ The Charlotte Observer
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
www.fred08.com

Isn't it the Israeli's who can or cannot choose to "give away the store?" Its their store!

We definitely have a huge stake in this, but your attacking Bush prematurely and unfairly IMO. Let things play out.

is this a functioning technology there-anyone know?

If they're far enough south, and they're a desert, then yeah, you can probably get a decent amount of power from solar cells.

The trick though is that they're never going to be cheap to get started, heh.

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the US. But I never saw solar panels on a house until I saw Jeff's picture.

Intriguing.

 
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