Why I mildly support the immigration bill
the current situation is failing and we need to face the political reality that we no longer control the agenda
By Charles Bird Posted in Immigration — Comments (55) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
There are lot of things I don't like about the immigration bill. The guest worker program looks like a failure waiting to happen and--like the current surge strategy in Iraq--there are signficant unknowns that need to move in the right direction in order for us to say that it's a success. But in looking at the overall benefits and the overall costs, I come out mildly in favor of the legislation. I'm basing my judgments on the White House fact sheet here and a MS Word summary of the bill here. I'm pretty sure I'm in the minority among the other Redstate moderators and the directorship, but the GOP is a big-tent party and I would expect the same of Redstate.com and its commentariat. So here goes my reasoning.
Read on...
The current situation is untenable. There are 12 million reasons to explain why the current laws and current policies have failed. The existing law is not being adequately enforced, there is no real mechanism for moving immigrants from illegal to legal status, border security is porous, employers are seeking cheap immigrant labor and illegal immigrants are motivated to work for those cheap-labor-seeking employers. There is neither the money nor the political will to ramp up enforcement of existing law, and this is why the "enforce the law" appeals from the anti-bill folks are unrealistic. Trying to deport all the illegals immediately or over a number of years is fantasyland. There are many reasons why the current law failed, and those reasons have not gone away.
If "kill the bill version one" succeeds, then who knows when better legislation will happen. November 2006 changed everything. The GOP doesn't control the legislative agenda anymore, the president's agenda is stymied because of 30% to 35% approval ratings, and the Democrats are too partisan to let a clean GOP bill come to the floor. What's more, there's no assurance that we will regain the majority in either house of congress in the coming years, so who knows when the next opportunity for decent immigration reform will come about. The Democrats in general don't seem particularly concerned with border security or that 12 million are breaking the law by inhaling and exhaling on our soil, so don't expect much to come from them.
If the bill gets shot down, we get zero miles of security fence, no additional border agents, no UAVs, and 12 million still remain here illegally. The incentives that lure illegals to the United States do not go away, and the disincentives that inhibit illegal border crossings do not get implemented. While the antis may feel good about killing the legislation, the conditions that brought us 12 million illegal immigrants remain in full force and effect, and there is no reason that 12 million couldn't rise to 20 million a few years hence. To me, such a "victory" would be pyhrric.
With the bill, we get more border security and it starts right away. In its most recent form, we get 370 miles of fence and 18,000 more border agents and additional monitoring capabilities. We'd all be better off with more than twice that many miles, but the question is, why kill the bill and get zero miles when we can exhort our GOP members to push for 870 miles?
It seems to me like we'd all be better off if we organized a lobbying effort to support changes to the proposed bill rather than kill it altogether. We're not without influence here, especially when you consider that congressmen, presidential candidates and White House representatives are stopping by to make their views known.
Increased penalties and enhanced employment verification. Title III covers that. This is the part where most people agree with the language but have concerns about whether the law will actually be put into practice. In effect, the objection is "yes, it sounds good but I don't believe the feds will live up to their end of the bargain." I share that concern, and my confidence ranges from scant to none that the Bush administration will do a good job of it. But just as I am mildly optimistic that we can turn things around in Iraq, I am also mildly optimistic that workplaces can be adequately enforced under the new visa system. It depends on the quality of the men or women whom Bush will appoint to manage the effort.
This part of the bill is just as critical as border security. To me, the immigration issue is a supply AND demand problem. Good border security addresses the supply of illegal immigrants, and good workplace enforcement will help dampen the demand for illegals to come here. If an employer refuses to hire someone who doesn't produce a Z card, then that illegal won't find work and might as well go back home.
A population the size of Missouri is officially recognized. Provided that Z visas are sufficiently tamper-proof and forgery-proof, illegal immigrants are brought out of limbo and can more fully assimilate. Such a measure acknowledges an unfortunate reality. Immigrants came here illegally and the population is so vast that there's damn little we can do about it. As Kerri Rushton from White House noted, Z-visa applicants have to pay fees to get a visa and pay additional fees to renew. The price for staying may be relatively cheap, but it's not amnesty, by the very definition of the word. To call the bill "amnesty" is inaccurate and does nothing to persuade, especially if the person is undecided and has a copy of the bill and a dictionary handy.
Like with the security fences, rather than kill the bill, why not support changing it? Why not try to raise the cost of a Z visa. After all, it looks like the payment of back taxes was taken off the table, so this would be a perfect reason to double the Z visa fees, for example.
Like with workplace enforcement, there is a concern with the administration and enforcement of Z visas.
The guest worker program should be whacked. Title IV looks unwieldy and unworkable. Two years in-country and one year out looks totally arbitrary, and I get nervous when our federal government is making decisions about what market demand will be.
Anyway, those are my thoughts. In my view, the bill has dysfunctional aspects, but there are enough attributes in the plus-column to put me in favor of it, but not by much. You get extra credit in the comment section by engaging in discussion without using misnomers such as "amnesty".
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Why I mildly support the immigration bill 55 Comments (0 topical, 55 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
I am going to keep saying it as loud and as long as I need too. I know I am not alone on this one.
However, I know the Republicans in office will do us wrong again. I am ready for it. However, I do not think they are ready for the voter anger that is going to be thrown at them when they do it.
The farmers up here in my area are flipping mad over this, and they feel betrayed. I know I do too.
"Wubbies World" - MSgt, U.S. Air Force (Retired): "Call to Me and I will answer you, and I will tell you great and mighty things, which you do not know." -Jer 33:3-
#1) Nothing, or #2) Some variation of this Secure Borders, Economic Opportunity and Immigration Reform Act of 2007
I pick #2.
The ghost of George Orwell writes the titles for legislation. Typically, nothing in the title is germane to the legislation. In this case, it's especially true:
Secure borders. We've had laws on the books for 20 years mandating secure borders. As a matter of fact, since the 1988 "immigration reform" bill.
Economic opportunity. For who? Mexicans getting access to our public welfare system?
Immigration reform. Been there '65, '88. Done that. Got the bill for it. No interest in doing it again because in 2020 we'll be having this discussion again.
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CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.
and every year in between, but if this gets killed, we may very well not see real legislation until 2020. But by then, the number of illegals may well be 30 million and the problem becomes that much more intractable. Your position does not make sense to me. Why not make some progress today instead of waiting for a more purified version 13 years later? This is a classic case of letting the perfect be the enemy of the slightly favorable.
Where you fail here is assuming this legislation will do anything at all to slow the pace of illegal immigration. On the contrary, it will provide a huge enticement for anyone who might want to come here and get in on this amnesty action with falsified documentation... or just wait and get in on the next amnesty in 2020.
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Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. - Milton Friedman
We have the laws to solve the problem now. We have the manpower. What we need is the will.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
Not when employers can hide successfully behind forged documents that their employees supply, as happens now. If the laws were sufficient, we wouldn't have the problem. You can arrest employers, but if you can't convict them, what good is that? It's an absolute myth that sufficient laws are on the books now. They are not.
http://www.redstate.com/blogs/joliphant/2007/may/20/100000_million_immig...
This is about the will in enforcing the law.
Achance has posted in the theoretical stating what would need to be done. I found this showing a republican president had put in to effect exactly what Achance had outlined.
As to arresting employers let me tell you something. No employer can deal with an unreliable labor supply. It kills a business.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
The political will to enforce the existing law doesn't exist, not with Democrats in the majority and not with a president where a 35% approval rating is a pretty good day.
the same group of bozos (sorry B) will enforce this piece of crap.
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CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.
...the Bush admin will enforce Medicare Part D? We don't, but there they are putting the law into practice. Maybe not very good practice, but it's being applied. The political will exists for the proposed bill, but not for a flawed existing law that doesn't address the reality of 12 million illegals.
"entitlements". They have no history that says they will enforce immigration law.
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CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.
The political will exists for the proposed bill, but not for a flawed existing law that doesn't address the reality of 12 million illegals.
All you seem to be saying here is that the people in DC want an anmesty, not enforcment. Well, duh!
Meanwhile, the people in the country want an enforcement, not an amnesty. This would seem to be opening up some promising ground for a political party and movement with an eye to gaining power. Admittedly, that seems not to be the Republican Party or the conservative movement. But that just goes back to their general level of political incompetence, which I mentioned elsewhere.
Are you going to take notice of Bluey's post in the financial costs of this bill, or just ignore it?
The current situation is untenable.
But this bill perpetuates the situation rather than ending it.
With the bill, we get more border security and it starts right away.
Congress passed a bill last year for more fence than this. Why do we need this bill, which seems like a step backward?
Increased penalties and enhanced employment verification.
Nobody believes this, except those who still belive in Santa Clause.
The guest worker program should be whacked.
I agree with you there.
I get nervous when our federal government is making decisions about what market demand will be.
This whole bill is government fiddling around with the labor market at the behest, or even the bribe, of the busness community. No point in getting squeamish now.
Provided that Z visas are sufficiently tamper-proof and forgery-proof, illegal immigrants are brought out of limbo and can more fully assimilate.
Why do people keep assuming that they will do this? This strikes me as liberal law making at its worst, with the glib assumption that everyone will do what the people writing the law think they should do. I'm sure a lot of them will pass on the Z visa, Why shouldn't they? What are we going to do, deport them?
I suppose the next step will be to sweeten the offer to get them to "come out of the shadows". No doubt we will be offering them thousands of dollars to do so at some stage.
While the antis may feel good about killing the legislation, the conditions that brought us 12 million illegal immigrants remain in full force and effect, and there is no reason that 12 million couldn't rise to 20 million a few years hence. To me, such a "victory" would be pyhrric.
There are already 20 million here. If the Democratic party wants to pass this bill, the GOP should stand back and let them.
We are being encouraged to go along with this to provide cover for a few different people. One group is the Democrats, who plainly badly want the GOP to jump over this cliff with them. Why should we do what they want? The other party is President Bush. It would be awkard to keep up the fiction that he is a Republican if he signs off on a bill supported only by Democrats. I don't think that would stop him if it came to that, but he still wants the cover.
My advice; Kill this bill, or dare the Democrats to pass what they and Bush like against the GOP's wishes. If they do they will be screwed with the public. Which is why I'm guessing they won't do it. Say what you like about the Dems character, but they have ten thousand times the political savvy of the Bush administation or the GOP leadership.
because the Amnesty & Anarchy Act of 2007 has potential to be much worse. remember, the Muslims only want to kill us. the commies want to make us slaves.
also, you're just naive (or, worse, intentionally misleading) if you expect any of the half-baked security components to be enforced or effective
I'm pretty sure I'm in the minority among the other Redstate moderators and the directorship
I can count at least half a dozen Redstate moderators/directors who are for this bill. And there may be more. But you are in the distinct minority of the readers of this site and the Republican Party. It would be interesting to see a site poll matching up enforcement first vs comprehensive immigration reform.
You know, if somebody were to suggest that you - or any other regular opposed to this immigration bill - did so because you don't like brown people, the resulting stink would be seen and smelled from orbit. And rightly so.
So guess what? You don't get to do the equivalent. If you can't trust the Contributors here to speak sooth, read some other weblog. This will save us all valuable time in the long run.
Moe
PS: You will now apologize to Charles Bird. In your next post. This is not negotiable, and I could care less about any excuse that you might hope to make.
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC.
...to scroll through my blogs and posts, you would realize you don't know what the eff you're talking about. Oh, and what Moe said.
I count four, generously. I actually count three, with one leaner, but maybe you can help me out here. I'm actually aware of no Director in favor of this.
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We are all heroes, you and Boo and I. Hamsters and rangers everywhere, rejoice!
While the Directors/moderators are certainly not as vocal as some of us out here in the weeds (hmmm, maybe that's why we live in the weeds...) I haven't seen much in the way outspoken support for this bill.
Erick came out against it and prompted a White House response. At last count there was maybe one or two comments in favor of the bill out of about 130. Most were very negative and I don't recall any defense of the legislation by D/M's.
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CongressCritter™: Never have so few felt like they were owed so much by so many for so little.
This is nothing more than the "Immigration Surrender Act" of the American Homeland.
Any bill in any form is worthless and means nothing without taking real action to secure borders. How can you take internal action without securing the border first?
That is like bailing your boat without plugging the hole. A lesson in futility.
Real change requires real change. -Newt Gingrich
I just thought I'd post this link to the recommendations of the US Commission on Immigration Reform, delivered by Barbara Jordan, that nativist, in 1996.
Read it and weep at what our country has ceased to be.
I hate hearing the excuse of, "We had better pass this bad legislation now, or something worse may come later."
Why not raise taxes now, maybe the rate increase won't be as bad if a Bush signs the legislation instead of a President Obama?
I've got a novel idea, how about Republicans fight this to the bitter end, and let the chips fall where they may?
If this legislation passes with bi-partisan, Republican support, it will tear the Republican Party apart.
I can guarantee you a Tancredo-type third party will emerge, and justifiably so, and then hand the White House to the Democrats.
This is a golden opportunity to bludgeon the Democrats, amnesty is not a political winner, and the Dems are scared they will be exclusively tied to this legislation.
If the Democrats want to destroy this country, and themselves, the Republicans shouldn't give them any cover.
"Back in the thirties we were told we must collectivize the nation because the people were so poor. Now we are told we must collectivize the nation because the people are so rich. "
William F. Buckley, Jr.
I really don't get it. We have -educated- people from the world over looking to work here, yet we are willing to to give 12 million citizenship for simply being "workers". The cost of having an uneducated mass willing to do "jobs that Americans won't" is too great to bear. They have already proven a reluctance to assimilate (live in Phoenix for awhile), and costs will only continue to rise. Why hasn't anyone mentioned the problems in Mexico that cause this influx? Time spent there would be better spent. Secure the borders, and help make their homeland a place to live in peace with good jobs. We do this in other places of the world, why not our backyard?
If we made it easier for educated immigrants from most of the world's countries to come here, especially eastern Europeans, we'd not only have more productive citizens but also more sensible voters.
Supposedly the argument for severely limiting tourist visas to many unmarried foreign nationals is to keep them from overstaying their visas and staying here illegally. I would submit that if more of them with the means to travel are welcomed here as tourists, they might find inspiration to live and work here legitimately.
"The current situation is untenable. There are 12 million reasons to explain why the current laws and current policies have failed. The existing law is not being adequately enforced, there is no real mechanism for moving immigrants from illegal to legal status, border security is porous"
This is exactly why any "compromise" needs to be based on the principle of "enforcement first". The current administration and congress simply have no credibility whatsoever when they promise increased enforcement this time around. That the already passed border fence is already being neutered is hardly a good sign. (Odds are, that just as in 1986, nothing will be done, and ten years down the road, we will be looking at another 10-20 million amnesty.)
Hence, the current bill (which is being rammed through in roughly the same fashion that a high-powered salesman would sell Florida swampland to retirees) must be killed.
"If "kill the bill version one" succeeds, then who knows when better legislation will happen."
Well, no legislation is better than the current legislation. Which is good enough reason to kill the bill.
"Increased penalties and enhanced employment verification."
They promised that the last time around as well. Fool me once... Again, they are the ones with zero credibility on this issue. They must prove their sincerity first.
"A population the size of Missouri is officially recognized. "
Apart from the fact that, empirically, Mexican-americans on average 'assimilate' towards African-american norms in social variables such as income (even after three generations, or a hundred years), this will indeed be the largest possible incentive that could have been given for even larger illegal immigration. After two amnesties, why should border-jumpers not expect a third? Or a fourth? Because "this time we're really, really serious"? Please. There really is no crisis here that motivates the breakneck pace of legislation and legalization.
"The current situation is untenable."
So your solution is to make it worse? Both past Ted Kennedy-authored amnesties have done nothing but exponentially worsen the problem, just as critics said it would. Only in Washington can repeated massive failures be rewarded with "more of the same". There is absolutely no reason to think, especially in reading the bill and its many deliberate loopholes, that the result will be any different this time. I, for one, am not insane enough to try the same thing over and over and over and expect a different result.
"Trying to deport all the illegals immediately or over a number of years is fantasyland."
And, for the billionth time, completely unnecessary. This is the straw man argument most thrown out there by open border's types - that the choice is "mass deportations" versus "comprehensive reform". That is simply a false choice designed to confuse the public and obscure the real, easy solution.
The solution? Merely enforce existing laws and add very tough employer sanctions for those that hire illegals. With this you will take away the ability for illegals to find any work, and cut them off of any social services. As a result, they will have no choice but to SELF-DEPORT. Go home themselves.
This solution is fair, common-sense, and very low cost. It needs no fence and no massive overhaul of the system. And it will not destroy the Republican party forever by willfully importing tens of millions of new Democrat voters, which the Democrats recognize will occur with glee but "party men" who are for this seem clueless about.
You say "we won't enforce existing laws", so you'll say this solution won't work. I would ask you if we won't enforce the easier existing laws why on earth do you think we'll enforce the more difficult laws in this monster of a bill? THAT is a fantasyland. Head-in-the-sand style.
"If "kill the bill version one" succeeds, then who knows when better legislation will happen."
Better no bill and try to get a chance later than a bill that will make things dramatically worse, as it has in the past. The enforcement provisions simply won't happen - the bill itself has loopholes to prevent them already. And at least with no bill, we won't be gifting the Democrats with millions of new elligible voters to change the political orientation of the country forever.
"The incentives that lure illegals to the United States do not go away, and the disincentives that inhibit illegal border crossings do not get implemented."
Again, none of this will happen anyway. It hasn't with past amnesties, and the enforcement provisions are already hollow and loop-holed out even in this bill. And past amnesties have given us no enforcement and a massive increase in illegal immigration for those wanting to get in on the NEXT ride. No bill might not change the status quo, but this bill will do what all the others did before it - add MORE incentive for MORE illegals, which has happened time and time again before.
Why would it be different now?
I'll get to the rest later, as I need to get back to work.
But one question - why are Republicans laying down for this thing when it will be the death of Conservatism and the Republican party? It's a demographic certainty. The Democrats are jumping for joy about this and we're laying down for it. Why?
But again, the solution is low-cost and simple, and should be tried FIRST before we do anything massive and potentially so affecting to America. I believe most people don't realize how simple the "attrition" argument really is, or that it even exists. Becuase time and again, I see pundits like Fred Barnes or you, or others talking about this and acting like it's a choice between comprehensive reform or amnesty and "sending them all back!" They often use the "we can't send them all back!" line as some kind of trump card.
But that's just an obscuring of the issue. That confuses, it does not enlighten. So most people think those are the choices, but they are pissed off enough to want to even TRY to "send them all back" anyway.
I believe if we just rejected the way the argument is presented, and present the easy solution I layed out above as the alternative, that it is so simple, cost-effective and common-sense that people will outright demand that we try that first.
That's how we can win - stop letting the open borders operatives define this debate with the false choice of "mass deportations" versus "amnesty". That's not the choice at all.
At the end of the day, this is a huge problem, but the solution could hardly be more simple.
Think about what comes next if this passes. Is there any doubt that the Democrats will come up with something like this:
"Instead of putting this onerous financial burden on those hard-working people who are least able to afford it, why not take money we'd spend building a fance that a) will make Mexixo mad and b) won't work anyway and use it to offset the fines in the bill we just passed? We'll save money in the long run because it will make these members of the working poor less dependent on social services than they would be if we took away so much of their hard-earned money."
I also expect to hear: "Given that these people had to prove they were breaking the law working here as long as possible, the only fair thing is if we go back and give them credit for social security payments for that period of time and allow them to file income tax returns so that they can receive refunds based on Earned Income Tax Credits."
So the bottom line to me is that this bill lays the groundwork to make things much much worse.
1) We know how the Dems feel about enforcement since they've already gutted half of last year's bill on the wall - the other half won't be far behind regardless of what this bill says.
2) We are going to make 50-60M more citizens and, just like people predicted in 1986, will encourage a new set of people to replace them "in the shadows" to wait out the next exercise in 15 or 20 years when we'll hear the same stuff about being unable to deal with so many millions yada yada yada.
3) Dems will find a way to pour even more free government money at all these potential Democratic voters, whether it be back SS credits, back income tax credits, reduced/eliminated fees/fines, etc.
Impeachment of the President for not doing the most important job for which he is elected, protecting the sovereignty of the US, however as this selling out of America moves forward I am sure I can be made to support it more.
I am not really keen on just handing people citizenship that came here illegally. But I am not sure making them all go back to where they came from, and applying to come here legally is realistic, so I am not really opposed to the whole Z-visa idea.
I also agree with you that the guest worker program should get scrapped. I have long been in favor of raising the number of legal immigrants allowed into the country anyway, I would rather raise that number and to streamline the proccess to make legal immigration easier than to put people in perpetual limbo, and honestly give people the legal opportunity to come, and the illegal opportunity to just hang around and not leave, which is what I think will happen with the guest worker program. They will just be illegal on the far end rather than from the beignning.
My biggest beef with this bill and previous bills is the enforcement. Previous bills have had enforcement provisions, but our government has never bothered to really pick up that aspect of the bills and do their job to stop immigration.
If we are going to stop immigration we have to make coming here painful for those who would do so illegally, and we need to especially make hiring illegal workers painful for employers. The pain has to make legal immigration the better option.
I don't see our government actually picking up that mantel, so what I see is another almost amnesty bill (I agree with you that the Z-visa technically isn't amnesty, but it is pretty close) that in the end will short shift the endforcement end, because the government isn't going to really go out of its way to enforce.
We may get the extra border agents, and we may get the fence, but I bet we don't really go after the illegals, and we sure as heck won't be going after the employers.
After the disaster of past reforms, which promised enforcement and amnesty but only gave us the latter, and made the problem exponentially worse in the process, don't you think that this time the government owes it to us to do it the other way around?
Considering this history, don't they owe it to us to PROVE that enforcement will actually occur this time BEFORE we address any of the rest of it?
That would seem both common courtesy and common sense.
Demanding the same thing from the country yet again, after past catastrophic failures, strikes me as particularly arrogant and dishonest.
We fell for it twice. We shant fall for it again. Prove it this time, or get out of our faces and stop wasting our time trying to sell Immigration Disaster Part 3.
Do nothing. If they wanted to secure the borders for real, it could have been done in separate legislation. This legislation is a fraud with agendas that will contribute to the end of America's borders, language, and culture.
American culture is conquering the world faster than any army ever could, yet we're inviting its destruction at home.
This bill is not perfect, but it is better than the present situation and better than the likely alternatives.
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
otherwise I could say that bread looks a little moldy however it is better then nothing, or that employer is only willing to pay $2 an hour for me mop up the factory floor however it's better then nothing because if I don't take that money an illegal will. I just do not understand why we should be forced to accept something is better then the likely alternatives. The only alternative is enforcement first and only. That is the perfect bill, we do not have to as American citizens accept anything less then the protection of our borders, nothing less, period.
That kind of thinking doesn't work in the real world .... otherwise I could say that bread looks a little moldy however it is better then nothing, or that employer is only willing to pay $2 an hour for me mop up the factory floor however it's better then nothing because if I don't take that money an illegal will.
No, because your analogies are faulty. In your first attempt, you liken the immigration deal to moldy bread, and argue that one shouldn't accept it because mold-free bread is available. But it's not: there is no enforcement-only plan that will (1) pass Congress, (2) be signed by the president, and (3) actually work. You're looking at bread with a little bit of mold on it, and choosing the slow starvation of the current system -- which is assuredly broken.
In your second attempt, you conflate legal and illegal immigration. The proposal being discussed is an attempt to bring illegal immigrants into the system and prevent employers from taking advantage of them at the expense of documented workers. Moreover, the most recent economic studies suggest that immigration has a negligible effect on low-skill native-born workers, and a positive effect on the rest of the economy (e.g., http://papers.nber.org/papers/w11547).
The only alternative is enforcement first and only.
"First and only" hasn't worked.
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
What we have now has worked.
http://www.redstate.com/blogs/joliphant/2007/may/20/100000_million_immig...
It just needs to be enforced. After what we have is in enforced then we can talk about guest worker programs, and amnesty.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
It just needs to be enforced. After what we have is in enforced then we can talk about guest worker programs, and amnesty.
Eisenhower was forced to abandon "Operation Wetback" (yes, that's its real name) because it's broad-based methods -- e.g., stopping folks who were "Mexican looking" and deporting US citizens -- were unsustainable. They would be less sustainable today. "Operation Wetback" also required the express agreement and involvement of the Mexican government, something that is also unlikely to be repeated today. The one-million-left figure has always been suspect, and, in any event, there was only the political will & money to sustain the effort from Spring through fall of '54, at which point it ended. It has not been repeated since during the past 53 years. Perhaps there's a reason for that.
Sources: http://www.pbs.org/kpbs/theborder/history/timeline/20.html and http://www.tsha.utexas.edu/handbook/online/articles/OO/pqo1.html.
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
Jon -
Did you mispost this comment? Charles Bird's post concerns his mild support for the immigration deal. It has nothing to do with "discussing the issue with the White House," save, perhaps, in the context of Charles' views.
Thanks,
von
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
Why did you think my comment was "trolling"?
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
Obviously the author must not live in a border state as I do. When it gets to the point that the population is between 33% and 50% hispanic, drugs are flowing across the border like mad, gang violence and higher crime rates permeate the entire southwest, and every phone call you make asks you to press "2" for Spanish, then maybe you will realize that the answer to the problem is deportation of all illegals.
The INS, Border Patrol, and US Customs services are inept, undermanned and the most corrupt police agencies in America.
And I'm not being flip with this. It's fairly obvious to everyone that a lot of people who live near the border think like you.
So where's your breaking point? Let's assume this immigration bill becomes law. What will have to happen before you and your neighbors start getting into some serious civil disobedience?
When it gets to the point that the population is between 33% and 50% hispanic, drugs are flowing across the border like mad, gang violence and higher crime rates permeate the entire southwest, and every phone call you make asks you to press "2" for Spanish, then maybe you will realize that the answer to the problem is deportation of all illegals.
There's a lot I dislike in your post, but I'll limit myself to one factual correction. As of 2001, Drug use in the Southwest (excluding California) was lower than drug use in the Northeast by a substantial margin. (see here: http://www.policyalmanac.org/crime/archive/drug_abuse.shtml, scroll to by geographic region.) Do you have any evidence for a massive change in the last six years?
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
First - why exclude California in your citation? Don't they have a high immigrant population, and as such, should be included?
Next - maybe you think his post is ugly, but the passion stirred by living with what people are debating here is quite justified. There is shockingly little effort made at assimilation, and "giving back to society" is apparently not a part of the proud culture of these illegals.
Live with it for a while, then report back.
First - why exclude California in your citation? Don't they have a high immigrant population, and as such, should be included?
The breakdown I cited excluded California, as best I understood it, and I didn't want to make a claim that wasn't supported by the evidence. Drug use in California may be substantially higher or lower than drug use in New England -- I just don't have the evidence.
Next - maybe you think his post is ugly, but the passion stirred by living with what people are debating here is quite justified. There is shockingly little effort made at assimilation, and "giving back to society" is apparently not a part of the proud culture of these illegals.
I have no doubt that the passion is real, but I question whether it's supported by the evidence (as opposed to anecdote or one or two experiences).
For we have a peculiar power of thinking before we act, and of acting, too, whereas other men are courageous from ignorance but hesitate upon reflection.
Re: CA - Got it.
I would say that opinion is shaped by experience, and the data be damned. Since illegals do "live in the shadows", evidence and data would seem not to be valid.
Anyway, let me give you just one of my experiences. First, all three of my daughters go to the same public elementary school here in Durham, NC. In this particular school, there has been a marked influx of Hispanics. My estimate is half are the children of illegals, but I could be a little off.
These children do not know a word of English. Not a word. So the most simple instruction, like "Put your coat here" or "Time to go eat" take a very long time, even with only one child. There are 25 children in the class, and the extra time taken with these children - not teaching them, mind you, because that is not possible due to the language barrier - but just communicating basic things to them takes a substantial time away from real instruction. This happens in each of my children's three classes. The non-English speakers do not care at all whether or not they learn to speak the language, and happily segregate themselves during school hours and chatter happily in Spanish. Assimilation? A joke.
Who gets the shaft? My kids. What they cannot learn at school has to be learned at home through hours of instruction and homework. Since you cannot possibly score well on a test you cannot understand, our school is suddenly in trouble for low test scores. This means more intervention by local authorities, even more attention paid to the kids who don't know English. Since my kids do well on the standardized tests (because of the hours we spend with them at home), they get paid no attention at all. Who gets the shaft again? You guessed it. My taxes are among the highest in the state of NC, and more and more of it is being used to subsidize this type of "help". To Hispanics, elementary school is a day-care setting for their kids so they can go out and work.
I could go on about my police officer buddies who are involved in stemming outrageously violent crimes by hispanics, or my construction worker buddies who have seen their wages take a horrible drop due to the horde of illegals. But I won't.
Am I pissed off? Yep. Have I gotten ugly yet? Nope. But I am, and soon.
There is data - plenty of data, actually, on the social statistics of Mexicans in the US. Crime is not included below, but Hispanic violent crime levels are roughly 3-400% of the current white rate. (DoJS)
The data below is from the census, and to the extent it has excluded illegals, that is likely to make the results look better, not worse (legal immigrants as a rule have higher SES). I throw this data dump around a lot these days, but people appear to have no good grasp of Mexican social statistics - a huge problem in the immigration debate.
Sources:
http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/stp-159/native.pdf
http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/stp-159/STP-159-Mexico.pdf
http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/stp-159/foreignborn.pdf
Labor force participation:
Natives 60.2%
Other Foreign born 57.1%
Mexican 54.3%
Poverty rate - this one is probably the best indicator of welfare dependency, etc:
Natives 8.3%
Other Foreign born 11.4%
Mexican 24.4%
Per capita Income - are Mexicans going to want massive redistribution? You betcha!
Natives 22.000 $
Other Foreign born 25.000$
Mexican 13.000 $
Share speaking English at home: (Pretty good assimilation metric)
Natives 91% (remember that 8% of natives are already hispanics)
Other Forign born 22%
Mexican 5.6% (Yowza!)
We always hear how important education is for people's future.
(The importance is exaggerated, so let's leave that out of the discussion for now)
Share of population with no high school diploma:
Natives 17%
Other Forign born 25%
Mexican 70%(!)
Higher education:
Natives 25%
Other Forign born 32%
Mexican 4%(!!)
Second generation (born in the US) school enrollment for Mexicans and other immigrants:
16-20 years:
Asia 76%
Europe/Canada/Australia 67%
Mexico 57%
21-25 years:
Asia 37%
Europe/Canada/Australia 28%
Mexico 15%
Now, all of this bad stuff will go away with a couple of generations of that good ol' american melting pot, no? Not really. Even when looking at cohorts and attempting to give a positive spin, Mexicans are just slightly ahead of African-Americans (the US permanent underclass) after three generations in income. (A mere 100 years or so.)
However, I would look forward to them being explained away in the same way crime and poverty statistics on blacks are. Example:
"If you would simply let these people come out of the shadows, they would have no reason to resort to crime. Their families have been torn apart because of America's racist immigration policy, and white Americans have been content to keep them in the underground instead of giving them a hand up."
You get the drift. This is a dangerous, dangerous situation, and dovetails with national security.
I was going to write a blog entry explaining why I cautiously support the immigration bill, but you did that for me. Thanks!!
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And statesmen at her council met
Who knew the seasons when to take
Occasion by the hand, and make
The bounds of freedom wider yet
- Tennyson, _To the Queen_
Mildly support is a copout. This is an up or down vote. Do you vote yes or no, and why?
Real change requires real change. -Newt Gingrich

The roll back of the fence from 700 miles to 350 miles is unbelievable. The fact that the congress and the president went back on their word on that only shows that they will be ready to go back on their word and not enforce this bill either.
I am sick of them stabbing us in the back and going back on their word. I want to see them keep their word on the 700 miles of fence. I want to see them keep their word and enforce existing laws! If they keep their word on that, and the increased border security, then, and only then, am I ready to swallow the rest.
To quote another post here, I am tired of us being Charlie Brown and the Republican Party in office being Lucy Van Pelt. We are smart enough to know that the ball is going to be pulled away again, and I am for one am not buying it anymore!
At the very least, the clear and measurable benchmarks to demonstrate the increase in border security will be the spoon full of sugar to make the rest of it go down a whole lot easier. ...but I want to see the increase in border security first!
"Wubbies World" - MSgt, U.S. Air Force (Retired): "Call to Me and I will answer you, and I will tell you great and mighty things, which you do not know." -Jer 33:3-