RedState Radio - The New Hampshire Primary Edition
By Erick Posted in Podcasts — Comments (14) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
Townhall's Amanda Carpenter and Redstate's Jeff Emanuel join Ben Domenech for a discussion of the New Hampshire results.
Discussed within:
Republican results and Democrat results
Patrick Ruffini on the Hillary comeback
Theories to explain polling vs. results
Maggie Williams joins Clinton campaign
You can hear the whole podcast here.
or listen here:
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RedState Radio - The New Hampshire Primary Edition 14 Comments (0 topical, 14 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
While it could certainly change, I think the polls there are absolutely accurate.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina...
Fred is going to be living there until the primary. It is almost a must win for McCain. Both of those two are going to have to attack Huck hard, they can't sit back and watch as Mitt and Huck attack each other. Fred will hit Huck from the right on taxes, foreign policy, pardons, and immigration. McCain will hit Huck from the right on spending, Iraq, and experience. Ultimately, he's not going to have a reliable base of gullible class warfare eating evangelicals to carry him like he did in Iowa. I don't expect those numbers to hold up.
“.....women and minorities hardest hit”
I just think Huckabee has a much better shot at SC voters than Fred does. I expect him to do no better than third there, and now Romney's desperate, so he'll dump massive cash in the race.
As for McCain: He has the best organization in the state, by far. A win here would be huge for him. He's the one Huckabee has to worry about. But I still think Huck walks to a significant victory barring some miraculous shifts.
I hope he does, but I also wanted Steve Forbes to do better in 96. McCain will not do better than 3rd in South Carolina---Immigration is a big issue there.
I am looking forward to voting for Fred in Michigan.
I'm talking overall. FoxNews is reporting McCain 66k, Romney 57k, Clinton 86k, Obama 79k. On the surface, it looks like more Ds voted but the Rs have more candidates running than Ds. Interesting.
www.scottbomb.com
Click here to donate to the Fred Thompson campaign.
That this was really just viewed as a two-person race on both sides.
Which makes Obama's loss even more of a shocker.
Clinton 89,095
Obama 82,397
Edwards 38,177
Richardson 10,397
Kucinich 3,045
Biden 513
Gravel 317
Dodd 156
Total (D): 224,097
Republicans
McCain 69,476
Romney 60,113
Huckabee 20,804
Giuliani 16,304
Paul 14,503
Thompson 2,275
Hunter 948
Total Republicans: 184,423
"Don't ever be afraid to see what you see." ~Ronald Reagan
Please forgive my lazy speculation :o)
www.scottbomb.com
Click here to donate to the Fred Thompson campaign.
NH is one of the most "republican" states in the country by registration. And it went for Bush in 2000. It's a perfect swing state. So while it's not as bad as the IA turnout difference, that's still not a good sign for November. But it could be worse, I guess.
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Ron Paul is close to Giuliani and will take over soon.
Watch this video to find out why he should.
--
Raphael
Some people can see it on iTunes, some can't. Odd.
SC is different than Iowa. Iowa is really a liberal state. It's very populist, and even the Republicans are not extremely conservative. In SC, the electorate is far more conservative and far more interested in foreign affairs. Huck is going to get slammed from Fred, McCain, & Romney down there. There won't be any more of this "beat up on Romney" strategy anymore. These guys have to make something happen for themselves now.
“.....women and minorities hardest hit”