I'm No Four-Star General . . .

By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in Comments (8) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

But I just don't think that this is a good idea:

Intent on demonstrating progress in Iraq, the top U.S. general there is expected by Bush administration officials to recommend removing American troops soon from several areas where commanders believe security has improved, possibly including Al Anbar province.

According to the officials, Gen. David H. Petraeus is expected to propose the partial pullback in his September status report to Congress, when both the war's critics and supporters plan to reassess its course. Administration officials who support the current troop levels hope Petraeus' recommendations will persuade Congress to reject pressure for a major U.S. withdrawal.

The expected recommendation would authorize U.S. commanders to withdraw troops from places that have become less violent and turn over security responsibilities to Iraqi forces.

But it does not necessarily follow that Petraeus would call for reducing the overall number of troops in the country. Instead, he could move them to another hot spot, or use them to create a reserve force to counter any rise in violence.

"That is the form of the recommendation we are anticipating him to come back with," a senior administration official said. But referring to the redeployment options, the official added, "I just don't know which of those categories he is going to be in."

Read on . . .

David Petraeus knows a heck of a lot more than I do about what is going on in Iraq. That much goes without saying. And it is perfectly reasonable to think that some troops might be removed from places like Al Anbar and redeployed elsewhere.

At the same time, while we have made a great deal of progress in Anbar and Diyala, I can't believe that our work is done there. I have to imagine that there remains an al Qaeda force in Anbar that needs to be completely cornered and defeated and I would argue--at least from what I am hearing in the news--that now is not the best time to let al Qaeda out of that corner. I think that Maj. Gen. Walter Gaskin makes a good point:

Not all military commanders favor reducing the number of troops in more stable areas. In a news conference last month, Marine Maj. Gen. Walter E. Gaskin, the commander of U.S. forces in Al Anbar, cautioned against cutting back forces there too quickly.

Gaskin argued that the added forces had allowed the Marines to eliminate havens used by the insurgent group that calls itself Al Qaeda in Iraq.

A "persistent presence" of U.S. forces, he said, would help give Iraqi security forces more experience and confidence, and the ability to keep militants out.

"It takes time to gain experience," he said. "I see that experience happening every day, but I don't see it happening overnight. I believe it's another couple of years in order to get them to do that -- and that's not a political answer, that's a military answer."

Of course, I trust that Petraeus will do well and do good in Iraq. I certainly think highly of his skills and talents, whatever minor disagreements I might have with some tactics. Disagreements are unavoidable, after all. But I have to believe that a continued presence in places like Al Anbar is advisable. And I have to believe that Petraeus is basing his tactical decisions in part on what he fears Congress might do if he doesn't recommend some kind of troop pullback. I don't necessarily blame him for that. But it may not be the objectively best tactic to pursue.

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I'm No Four-Star General . . . 8 Comments (0 topical, 8 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

When Democrats hear the buzz word, "pulling back" it will be the only phrase they will chew on. Hey, at least it's a bone, and we get to keep the meats. To me, it's more about keeping in touch with political reality here on home front.

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Daniel 2:20 And he [God] changeth the times and seasons: he removeth kings, and setteth up kings: he giveth wisdom unto the wise, and knowledge to them that know understanding.

I have never viewed Petraeus as being overly concerned with the politics of any of his moves. I doubt he is starting now. Neither one of us is a general and I can see that the logic is to go after the terrorists wherever they are and if we have cleared them from an area, we need to move troops to whatever area they have moved to. This is what I think he is trying to do.

"The nine most dangerous words in the English language are 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help'"

Ronald Reagan

www.proprietornation.blogspot.com

if anything, gen. petraeus will ask for more troops overall, if he's bold enough to counter bush.

i wouldn't be surprised if this article is incorrect.

www.win-the-war.com.

I'm pretty sure this is a pure numbers issue. With numerous generals coming out against extending the already increased 15 month deployments and 12 months at home there is simply no way to sustain the troop level there past April. I don't know if the reduction is 10k or 30k but it is going to go down then. Since it has to occur, you might as well talk about reducing numbers in the future since it's a forgone conclusion.

There are also insufficient levels to proceed on all the active fronts right now. Therefor the only way to get the extra forces in the short term, or to keep levels in hot spots longer term, is to redeploy from quiet areas. If nothing else we need to find out which areas can stand on their own...

Exempting the unusual bombings in the North recently, don't we still have troops up there? Even if just in support? Might as well leave the area to the Kurds and focus elsewhere.

I'm not an expert either, but I am not worried about this report. From what I have read, IA has much more confidence and ability than they did just months ago. This is * not * the Iraqi Army of 2005. IP still has a lot of work to do...part of it though is letting them do the job and learning from their own mistakes. We've taken a lot of the pressure off by securing Anbar and Diyala (probably misspelled) so it's getting easier and easier for IA to stand up.

You might be interested in reading Bill Roggio's or Michael Yon's account of things--very informative.

is the kind of thing lefty blogs are into, they are all busy fitting out Petraeus as the Colin Powell of the second term (the credible military guy who fronts for the administration).

Unlike Powell, and unlike previous Generals with their happy talk and rosy scenarios and stay the course rhetoric, Petraeus is a realist who enjoys a spectacularly high level of crediblity with the American people (80% according to Gallup).

We would all be wise to wait for his report.

And I have made clear my respect for Petraeus repeatedly, including in this post. I am reacting to the story, however, and am concerned with its import.

"At times one remains faithful to a cause only because its opponents do not cease to be insipid." --Friedrich Nietzsche

 
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