"Gloomy And Demoralized . . ."

By Pejman Yousefzadeh Posted in Comments (5) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Is the description of those trying to get Harriet Miers confirmed to the Supreme Court. And well it should be--I have a hard time remembering when a self-inflicted political wound turned out to be so utterly devastating:

Strategists working with the White House in support of the Supreme Court nomination of Harriet Miers are becoming increasingly demoralized and pessimistic about the nomination's prospects on Capitol Hill in the wake of Miers's meetings with several Republican and Democratic senators. On a conference call held this morning, they even discussed whether Miers should simply stop visiting with lawmakers, lest any further damage be done — and so that time spent in such get-acquainted sessions will not cut into Miers's intensive preparation for her confirmation hearing.

The strategists discuss issues on a twice-weekly conference call led by Leonard Leo, the executive vice president of the Federalist Society who has taken leave to help the White House shepherd the nomination through the Senate. A number of people who have taken part in the calls described the conversations to National Review Online. None wanted to be identified, because they do not want to openly oppose the White House or defy loyalists like Leo who are trying hard to defend Miers. Nevertheless, they paint a grim portrait of morale among those close to the nomination.

"The number of participants is declining," says one knowledgeable source. "With Roberts, these calls occurred five or six or seven times a week. Pretty early on, the calls on Miers were scaled back to twice a week. That says something in and of itself."

"It's been a gradual descent into almost silence," says a second source of the calls. "The meetings with the senators are going terribly. On a scale of one to 100, they are in negative territory. The thought now is that they have to end....Obviously the smart thing to do would be to withdraw the nomination and have a do-over as soon as possible. But the White House is so irrational that who knows? As of this morning, there is a sort of pig-headed resolve to press forward, cancel the meetings with senators if necessary, and bone up for the hearings."

This nomination has the smell of death about it. The first high profiled Republican Senator to come out against it (Sam Brownback, I'm looking your way) will likely start an avalanche that will bury the nomination. I thought up until now that perhaps Miers would be able to be confirmed by the skin of her teeth. Maybe that will still be the case. But for the first time, I am thinking that the chances are better than even that the Senate will reject her.

And evidently, the market agrees

Meanwhile, we have a good question! Why hadn't I thought of asking it?

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"Gloomy And Demoralized . . ." 5 Comments (0 topical, 5 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

I'm glad I have company.  I hope the WH does the right thing before we run out of room.

If no indictments come down next week the White House takes all the political wind that will fill their sails and easily pushes Miers through to confirmation.

If indictments are handed down, Miers could be quickly tossed overboard as a means to change the headlines and reach out to, and rally, some solid base support for the rough patch ahead.

Criminal indictments in the Plame case will overshadow any withdrawal of Miers. Even if she dominates the news cycle for a day or three, the indictments have a much longer half-life. They're far juicier, from the perspective of our ratings-driven media.

If Bush is going to withdraw Miers, throwing her overboard as a political decoy is the wrong reason, and could uniformly tick off the people who were still on-board with him because of Miers.

No one is on board with because of Miers.  Some folks support him anyway and think she's good, but she's the apple of  no one's eye.  Even folks like Beldar and Hewitt, who've gotten emotionally committed, will get back in line if the next nominee is good.

I'm not sure I understand how the Miers nomination affects the stock market.  Please enlighten this financial novice.

 
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