The Blue State Exodus (Blue State (in)Fertility)
By RedShift Posted in User Blogs — Comments (17) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
As we have previously noted in this diary, Blue States are suffering from a shrinking population. While it may not be true that all Blue States are shrinking, or that all Red States are growing, there are general trends and attributes which can be correlated to the Blueness or Redness of a state.
As we noted here, some of those attributes have to do with fertility, abortion rates, union membership as a percentage of workforce, estate taxes, fuel taxes, etc...
We were intrigued, therefore, that Phillip Longman identified not only the regressive population trends in the US, but correlated them with State Blueness. His March 2006 article, The Return of Patriarchy, strikes a familiar tone:
"This dynamic helps explain, for example, the gradual drift of American culture away from secular individualism and toward religious fundamentalism. Among states that voted for President George W. Bush in 2004, fertility rates are 12 percent higher than in states that voted for Sen. John Kerry. It may also help to explain the increasing popular resistance among rank-and-file Europeans to such crown jewels of secular liberalism as the European Union. It turns out that Europeans who are most likely to identify themselves as "world citizens" are also those least likely to have children."
We might also add that it could explain the gradual, southwesterly drift of America's population center. There are, of course, other observations to be made. I.e., US citizens who are most likely to call for a "global test" before implementing US policy, are the least likely to procreate. We have elsewhere observed that liberal social and fiscal policy may have something to do with that, and Longman agrees:
"As governments going as far back as imperial Rome have discovered, when cultural and economic conditions discourage parenthood, not even a dictator can force people to go forth and multiply."
We believe that Longman's observations support our theory that Blue State social and fiscal policy is creating an environment in which "cultural and economic conditions discourage parenthood."
Many readers have objected to the linking of the Blue State Exodus to just one cause, and we do believe that several causes together are bringing about the effect. We are not the first to observe this. We recall, of course, Professor Vedder's observation that there was a strong correlation between outmigration and primarily tax rates, but secondarily union membership.
We have also noted that both Rhode Island and New York are starting to act red in order to cut losses. And if a Blue State can shift Red economically while the rest of the country shifts Red demographically, it works well for all of us. Especially if it means that Blue States welcome the Return of Patriarchy, which is really just a return to the traditional nuclear family.
Who would have thought that the propagation of civilization would be so simple as a man and woman, in a monogamous relationship, having children?
Perhaps Hollywood would consider a new movie genre in which the dominant theme is that of boy meets girl, falls in love with and marries her, and raises children. Kind of wacky, we know.