The Money Race: GOP Incumbents vs. Dem Challengers
By young pundit Posted in User Blogs — Comments (18) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
From the diaries . . .
Here is how the money race is stacking up for this 2006 election cycle's 7 most competitive Senate races: Arizona, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Virginia
Overall Funds
GOP Incumbents 40.3 Million
Dem Challengers 16.1 Million
-------Some Specific States------
Arizona
Kyl--7.0 Million
Pederson--1.7 Million
Montana
Burns--2.2 Million
Tester--500,000
Ohio
DeWine--6.6 Million
Brown--3.7 Million
Pennsylvania
Santorum--9.4 Million
Casey Jr.--5.2 Million
Virginia
Allen--6.6 Million
Webb--400,000
This is obviously a huge funding gap that the Democrats will have to try and overcome by using resources from their campaign committee. Although I don't know if a 24.2 Million dollar shortfall will be something that they can make up so easily. Based on a funding perspective, it looks like these Senate Republicans are poised to hold their seats as incumbents this fall.
I love the research. Any chance we get to see the open seats or the flip side (D incumbents). I'm interested in MN, MD, NJ, TN, WA, and MI especially.
The Green Papers has great info about midterm elections here.
I pulled the numbers from various sources but will be working on finding links with some comprehensive data. The FEC numbers for this quarter were just reported so I'm still looking for media coverage. Bear with me and I'll have something up ASAP.
(or less up to date perhaps???) than your numbers:
Pennsylvania
Santorum - $14.5 million
Casey - $8.4 million
Virginia
Allen - $10.4 million
Webb - $1.1 million
Arizona
Kyl - $7.6 million
Pederson - $3.9 million
Ohio
DeWine - $5.6 million
Brown - $3.7 million
Montana
Burns - $4.9 million
Tester - $.85 million
Here are some of the D seats asked about:
Minnesota
Kennedy - $5.1 million
Klobuchar - $3.7 million
Maryland
Cardin - $3.9 million
Steele - $2.7 million
Mfume - $.62 million
New Jersey
Menendez - $7.2 million
Kean, Jr. - $3.0 million
Tennessee
Ford - $4.5 million
Corker - $3.5 million
Van Hilleary - $1.8 million
Bryant - $1.8 million
Washington
Cantwell - $8.6 million
McGavick - $2.7 million
Michigan
Stabenow - $6.0 million
Butler - $2.2 million
Bouchard - $1.4 million
Hope that helps!
Raising cash for the one issue very important to his supporters in San Francisco and the leftwing blogosphere. Feel free to guess what that issue is, and it doesn't start with a "I".
In Tennessee as soon as the dust settles between the three R's, look for money to pour into the R nominee's coffers. Ford will scramble to keep up out-of-state, but Republicans are holding their wallets until the dust clears b/w Corker, Bryant & Hilleary. Don't want to bet on the wrong horse just yet.
but here is the date from the absurdly expensive Hotline. Parse it at your leisure:
<blockquote>
2ndQ 2ndQ 2ndQ
Indiv. Total Net Cash
Contr. Receipts Spent PACs Debt On-Hand
Arizona
KYL (R) 1,409,938 1,959,104 2,127,772 447,973 0 7,119,562
Pederson (D) 297,066 2,342,180 3,337,513 72,050 0 1,722,661
California
FEINSTEIN (D) 1,120,203 1,413,202 405,651 244,353 28,879 8,046,402
Mountjoy (R) 19,304 19,479 9,612 175 5,000 20,854
Chretien (G) 13,261 13,396 19,827 0 0 4,928
Connecticut
LIEBERMAN (D) 1,296,219 1,609,429 2,090,611 296,117 0 4,279,089
Lamont (D) 892,380 2,028,439 2,161,051 3,584 178,268 276,977
Schlesinger (R)*************Not Available******************************
Ferrucci (G) 600 600 580 0 0 684
Delaware
CARPER (D) 193,787 278,413 229,510 83,351 0 2,457,419
Ting (R) 107,056 122,192 43,801 500 14,900 78,091
Protack (R) 22,510 52,510 48,258 0 0 32,132
Florida
NELSON (D) 2,067,802 2,509,568 712,808 279,310 0 12,081,889
Harris (R) 1,099,602 1,142,433 2,081,099 22,700 $3.362M 2,628,781
McBride (R) 302,501 212,699
Monroe (R) 123,750 244,783 106,086 0 100,000 128,658
Collins (R) 69,525 89,535 21,624 0 0 67,911
Moore (I) 6,411 11,611 7,101 0 4,700 4,010
Hawaii
AKAKA (D) 561,249 784,663 625,309 184,600 0 1,025,500
Case (D)* 239,947 251,471 133,519 11,500 0 392,821
Indiana (4/13-6/30)
LUGAR (R) 169,391 285,929 140,942 71,000 0 4,011,244
Maine
SNOWE (R) 285,724 528,441 267,228 188,500 0 2,201,993
Hay Bright (D) 12,608 19,613 19,878 2,100 12,660 120
Maryland
Cardin (D)* 776,272 937,031 1,227,318 156,256 0 2,331,103
Rasmussen (D) 37,028 282,528 69,759 500 245,000 278,385
Lichtman (D) 37,947 44,483 101,000 0 250,000 271,107
Rales (D) 97,149 991,127 1,245,669 100 0 235,295
Mfume (D) 132,442 133,748 118,234 1,000 0 117,931
Steele (R) 1,461,828 1,899,271 598,270 273,853 25,482 3,039,132
Zeese (G) 13,733 17,418 18,182 0 0 16,135
Massachusetts
KENNEDY (D) 527,240 651,740 610,012 43,757 0 8,708,256
Chase (R)*******************Not Available******************************
Scott (R)*******************Not Available******************************
Michigan
STABENOW (D) 986,011 1,302,098 593,271 194,909 98,426 6,963,463
Bouchard (R) 491,496 602,050 554,113 56,392 13,641 1,088,972
Butler (R) 350,475 395,677 450,471 6,939 48,664 649,136
Minnesota
Klobuchar (D) 1,452,979 1,836,985 808,703 230,286 0 3,506,805
Praught (D) 0 0 0 0 0 30
Kennedy (R) 946,797 1,622,108 949,898 350,650 0 4,061,414
Shudlick (R) 465 13,034 12,569 0 0 415
Mississippi
LOTT (R) 160,682 695,800 172,608 486,765 0 2,018,214
Fleming (D) 7,869 7,869 12,273 0 0 -2,812
Missouri
TALENT (R) 1,261,277 2,218,388 740,421 557,125 0 7,123,023
McCaskill (D) 1,108,467 1,451,088 685,399 149,230 21,638 2,779,994
Montana
BURNS (R) 511,975 868,653 1,995,998 298,525 0 2,206,690
Tester (D) 634,823 864,377 608,952 192,254 0 514,907
Nebraska
NELSON (D) 590,519 1,103,440 2,202,876 468,285 0 2,118,843
Ricketts (R) 385,840 2,984,930 2,638,458 121,000 975,000 1,066,193
Nevada
ENSIGN (R) 304,266 647,385 315,882 284,598 20,574 3,315,722
Carter (D) 441,853 482,978 508,893 40,350 25,000 420,888
New Jersey
MENENDEZ (D) 1,911,404 2,587,708 1,474,872 475,250 0 7,392,277
Kean (R)** 778,080 1,184,176 884,935 199,025 51,761 2,279,312
New Mexico
BINGAMAN (D) 195,454 485,811 566,440 273,974 0 1,763,103
McCulloch (R) 45,041 58,693 201,171 2,000 0 2,487
New York
CLINTON (D) 5,121,352 5,679,413 3,200,314 245,770 706,790 22,000,937
Spencer (R) 1,255,175 1,271,425 961,911 16,250 301,186 646,336
McFarland (R)* 224,042 324,073 451,836 31 307,590 282,131
Russell (L) 3,520 5,520 2,918 0 0 2,602
North Dakota
CONRAD (D) 124,504 368,878 341,842 174,800 0 3,464,713
Grotberg (R) 40,801 45,976 26,780 125 5,000 19,196
Ohio (4/13-6/30)
DeWINE (R) 1,270,588 2,136,010 687,117 496,493 0 6,635,440
Brown (D) 1,232,427 1,594,520 668,924 271,246 0 3,717,548
Pennsylvania
SANTORUM (R) 2,958,611 3,603,962 3,088,356 467,581 0 9,439,268
Casey (D) 2,514,375 2,765,753 2,097,492 160,579 0 5,173,064
Rhode Island
CHAFEE (R) 289,613 732,777 1,310,040 288,400 330,000 1,276,547
Laffey (R) 351,248 369,134 522,867 15,650 360,000 933,426
Whitehouse (D) 739,472 1,014,927 1,014,608 186,050 360,000 1,812,439
Sheeler (D) 83,210 85,310 21,452 2,100 282,164 274,042
Tennessee (4/1-7/14)^
Corker (R)******************Not Available******************************
Hilleary (R)****************Not Available******************************
Bryant (R)******************Not Available******************************
Ford (D)********************Not Available******************************
Texas
HUTCHISON (R) 615,641 922,210 461,641 192,300 0 9,246,354
Radnofsky (D) 187,356 217,044 156,838 29,500 0 339,456
Utah
HATCH (R) 411,756 652,931 418,711 204,750 41,453 2,491,960
Ashdown (D) 38,914 38,914 40,390 0 60,975 12,759
Vermont
Sanders (I) 880,900 1,006,697 1,067,485 104,052 0 2,031,393
Tarrant (R) 21,415 2,274,964 1,794,141 0 46,564 848,021
Parke (R) 325,318 325,318 371,678 0 26,356 13,385
Virginia
ALLEN (R) 1,207,039 1,800,751 2,328,440 169,334 0 6,617,620
Webb (D) 740,325 882,915 651,145 103,200 100,000 424,246
Washington
CANTWELL (D) 1,947,545 2,041,253 1,152,703 2,450 $2.449M 6,434,994
Tran (D) 17,996 18,246 9,418 0 0 8,828
McGavick (R) 1,430,228 1,774,410 1,576,352 259,657 46,085 1,086,932
Dixon (G) 16,179 21,029 12,042 0 0 10,334
Guthrie (L) 10,886 10,886 3,399 0 0 7,487
West Virginia
BYRD (D) 416,218 529,313 753,528 110,686 0 2,592,798
Raese (R) 215,910 1,052,910 920,586 62,000 $1.417M 183,645
Wisconsin
KOHL (D) 2,019 52,289 1,154,535 0 $4.701M 1,955,432
Lorge (R)*******************Not Available******************************
Vogeler (G) 10,787 12,087 5,538 0 0 13,682
Wyoming
THOMAS (R) 71,417 249,750 247,541 132,953 0 1,097,806
Groutage (D) 6,342 19,846 16,030 0 19,307 8,004
^ TN figures not available due to late pre-primary deadline
* Based on combined House/SEN filings
** Does not include debt from Kean's '00 NJ-07 bid. </blockquote>
Sorry for the lack of formatting, I can't right now. But if someone else would like to, I'd be qutie appreciative.
you have to change the state initials manually in the url (eg MD to MN), as well as changing between 1 and 2 to get the right race.
YOu can also get congressional races by changing the last four, eg from MDS1 to AZ08, AZ07, etc.
I remember reading somewhere yesterday (and someone please correct and/or elaborate if I get this wrong) that the DNC has pledged $12 million to candidates, but only has $10 million in its purse at the moment. Will be interesting to see how that pans out.
I tend to hold off on my contributions till the primaries are over (for multiple reasons).
The numbers I posted above are those with the 2Q reports which are almost all in now. Note for example, the MD SEN race.
2ndQTotalReceipts 2ndQSpent CoH
Maryland
Cardin (D)* 937,031 1,227,318 2,331,103
Mfume (D) 133,748 118,234 117,931
Steele (R) 1,899,271 598,270 3,039,132
Compared to the Open Secrets site which only has updated information for Cardin. The other candidates are showing a latest update of 3/31/06 which was the end of Q1. It's a great site, but it is not the place for the quickest posting of data.
While I'm on it, note that in MD the primary is helping Steele a lot. He now has a CoH advantage on Cardin. Cardin spent $300,000 more than he raised in Q2 while Steele added 1.3 million to his CoH. Further, note that if Mfume wins the primary the money differential is enough that Steele will be able to advertise without much push-back.
It is great that the good guys are doing so well on the campaign finance. But let us be ever mindful that these funds are required to buy media and advertising exposure. The Democrat candidates and causes get non-stop free coverage -- as well as a host of other free services:
- negative opposition research against Republicans.
- fake scandals cooked up, passed around, hyped up, and served continually in all the national papers and TV news, even long after they are thoroughly discredited.
- non-stop carping about the current administration.
- fictional news about how bad the economy is doing in GOP hands.
- heavy coverage of the homeless, who magically exist only during GOP administrations.
- fiction-filled push polls conducted, misrepresented, and front-paged.
- Democrat scandals minimized or simply ignored. Same-day service provided to generate fake GOP scandals to push the Dem scandals out of the news.
- Continual body count news from Iraq, nothing whatsoever on progress.
None of the above is new or surprising. I just want to say that we are doing a great job on campaign funding. But we must not grow complacent.
Aside from Tennessee, it sends a pretty clear message about the Republicans whose stats are unavailable.
I sooo have my fingers crossed for Mfume. That said, I have a hard time seeing how he gets to 50%. THAT said, his troops are probably more likely to GOTV for him.
Not all of us have access to the hotline stuff, and its good to know about the opensecrets site for after this thread gets buried in the archives. ;-)
...with some of the less interesting races not included, because this took a long time!
Financial Update- As of Close of 2Q 2006
All data in millions of dollars
Name Ind. Rec. Spent PACs Debt On Hand
Arizona
Kyl $1.4 $2.0 $2.1 $.45 0 $7.1
Pederson $.29 $2.3 $3.3 $.07 0 $1.7
California
Feinstein $1.1 $1.4 $.40 $.24 $.03 $8.0
Mountjoy $.02 $.02 $.01 $.0001 $.0005 $.02
Connecticut
Lieberman $1.3 $1.6 $2.1 $.29 0 $4.3
Lamont $.89 $2.0 $2.2 $.003 $.18 $.27
Schlesinger - No data available
Florida
Nelson $2.1 $2.5 $.71 $.28 0 $12.1
Harris $1.1 $1.1 $2.1 $.02 $3.3 $2.7
Hawaii
Akaka $.56 $.78 $.62 $.18 0 $1.0
Case $.24 $.25 $.13 $.01 0 $.39
Name Ind. Rec. Spent PACs Debt On Hand
Maryland
Cardin $.77 $.94 $1.2 $.16 0 $2.3
Mfume $.13 $.13 $.12 $.001 0 $.12
Steele $1.5 $1.9 $.59 $.27 $.02 $3.0
Michigan
Stabenow $.97 $1.3 $.59 $.19 $.98 $6.9
Bouchard $.49 $.60 $.55 $.05 $.01 $1.1
Butler $.35 $.39 $.45 $.007 $.05 $.65
Minnesota
Klobuchar $1.4 $1.8 $.81 $.23 0 $3.5
Kennedy $.95 $1.6 $.95 $.35 0 $4.0
Missouri
Talent $1.3 $2.2 $.74 $.56 0 $7.1
McCaskill $1.1 $1.5 $.68 $.15 $.02 $2.8
Montana
Burns $.51 $.87 $1.9 $.29 0 $2.2
Tester $.63 $.86 $.61 $.19 0 $.51
Name Ind. Rec. Spent PACs Debt On Hand
Nebraska
Nelson $.59 $1.1 $2.2 $.47 0 $2.1
Ricketts $.38 $2.9 $2.6 $.12 $.97 $1.0
Nevada
Ensign $.30 $.65 $.31 $.28 $.02 $3.3
Carter $.44 $.48 $.51 $.04 $.03 $.42
New Jersey
Menendez $1.9 $2.6 $1.5 $.48 0 $7.4
Kean, Jr $.78 $1.2 $.88 $.19 $0.5 $2.3
Ohio
DeWine $1.3 $2.1 $.68 $.49 0 $6.6
Brown $1.2 $1.6 $.67 $.27 0 $3.7
Pennsylvania
Santorum $2.9 $3.6 $3.1 $.47 0 $9.4
Casey $2.5 $2.8 $2.1 $.16 0 $5.2
Name Ind. Rec. Spent PACs Debt On Hand
Rhode Island
Chafee $.29 $.73 $1.3 $.28 $.33 $1.3
Laffey $.35 $.37 $.52 $.01 $.36 $.93
Whitehouse$.74 $1.0 $1.0 $.18 $.36 $1.8
Virginia
Allen $1.2 $1.8 $2.3 $.17 0 $6.6
Webb $.74 $.88 $.65 $.10 $.10 $.42
Washington
Cantwell $1.9 $2.0 $1.2 $.002 $2.4 $6.4
McGavick $1.4 $1.8 $1.6 $.26 $.005 $1.1
West Virginia
Byrd $.41 $.52 $.75 $.11 0 $2.6
Raese $.21 $1.1 $.92 $.06 $1.4 $.18
Key:
Ind.=Individual Contributions
Rec.=Total Receipts
Spent=Net Spent
Debt=Cash Debt
Whew! There you go!
Outside of Memphis and the Vanderbilt area in Nashville just waiting for a Bryant/Corker/or Hilleary bumper sticker. No one has one now out of fear of having to remove it and replace it with one of the other 3 come August.
Thanks for cleaning it up. I'd give you a 5 if I could. Oh wait, I think I still can... yes, I can. But I don't think it shows up on the screen. Well anyway, thanks of the effort.